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00:00Steelers heading one way. Feels like the Chiefs heading the other. We're talking about a field
00:10goal or less here. Tomlin as a home dog has been profitable over the years. Who wins this
00:17game?
00:18I honestly think the Steelers come away with it, but it's going to be super close. Like
00:22I can't fault people for wanting to take the Chiefs at minus two and a half, which is,
00:26you know, the argument people have always made, like, oh, they're not covering these
00:29numbers that are six and a half or seven or ten and a half when they're going up against
00:32the Panthers. But, you know, they end up winning by a field goal. Surprise, surprise, and Butker
00:35is back. So they're that much better. You know, I don't want to lay the minus one twenty
00:39at two and a half. So I am on board with taking the Steelers. I also side with the under in
00:43this game. This is a super important game for a Steelers team that's kind of reeling
00:47at this point, like you said. And I don't know what you feel about the other game, which
00:51we can get into, but that's that's a very straightforward, winnable game for the Ravens.
00:55And if they win that and the Steelers lose this, the Steelers had control of the division
00:59all season and now they've seen it slip away over the past few weeks. So I think this has
01:02to be a game where the Steelers look to control the ball and control the clock and just keep
01:07out of my home's hands as much as possible and hopefully lean towards the under like
01:11that's how they win this game. I don't think putting the ball in Russell Wilson's hands
01:1435 times is a path to them winning. They don't want to turn this into a barn burner back
01:19and forth.
01:20Well, yeah, I mean and to your point on the under here, it's it's not like this is the
01:26high-flying Kansas City Chiefs offense of years past here. I mean, they their games
01:31are just averaging about 42 points here and you can see the total at 44 and a half 43
01:38and a half. The only problem I have is have you seen this Pittsburgh defense over the
01:44last couple of weeks? They've been getting gashed haven't they? And it's not what I mean
01:51Watts playing. So what's the deal with this secondary and Tomlin's defense here at a certain
01:58point. They were they were so good that a they may be in for a little bit of regression,
02:03but at a certain point, we're also just dealing with that. They were so good, you know, attrition
02:07is starting to hurt them where they're just slowly taking steps back. It's not like a
02:11massive performance. Like you're saying like week by week. They're getting just slightly
02:14worse slightly worse. And you know, this is a point where I think Pacheco and Kareem Hunt
02:19could have a big game on the ground as much as I think the Steelers need to play things
02:22into their hands and play like how they need to like force the Chiefs to play their style
02:26Pacheco and Hunt both having big games. I think is on the table and we're looking at
02:30Kansas City team total at 23 and a half. We're getting Pacheco at plus 150 for a touchdown.
02:38So everyone is plus money in this game. So really expecting us a solid amount of scoring.
02:42I like Pacheco. I also mind don't taking a shot on Hollywood Brown up at plus 330 like
02:47a quarter unit kind of play on that. He's back. He's healthy grant. He only played 27%
02:51of the snaps last week, but they want to get him back in the mix after, you know, his first
02:55game last week. So I think this has to be a very straightforward game from both teams.
03:00Like you said, it's not necessarily a must win for the Chiefs, but this is a huge statement
03:04game for the Steelers if they're able to come away with the win.
03:08How big does Pickens playing change your change the way you look at this game? If he plays
03:16correct, their offense has been terrible over the past two weeks. Like it's just completely
03:20different when they don't have that downfield threat. If they have that I actually think
03:23it opens up a path for nausea Harris to have a big game because you know, we're looking
03:27at other other games or the past few weeks where opponents can stack the box against
03:32the Steelers. There's no viable can pass catching options like Pat Fryer move. I think is good,
03:37but we can getting the ball to Van Jefferson Calvin Austin, like Mike Williams, like these
03:41aren't consistent pass catching options. So if Pickens is out there and he has that default
03:45threat that moonshot that we know that Russell Wilson likes to give, I actually think it
03:48opens up a bit for nausea Harris to have a solid game.