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00:00The Chiefs are 13-1, they're two games in front of Buffalo with only three left to hold
00:11on to that number one overall seed in the AFC.
00:14It was minus 195 on Monday, it's now minus 260.
00:20Of course, Buffalo has that head-to-head tiebreaker, should both teams end with the same record.
00:25So DRS, a buy or sell question to you.
00:29The Chiefs need to be the one seed more than the Bills do.
00:33What do you say?
00:35It's a slight buy on this one, like it's not an all-the-way, because the reason I say that,
00:38you can just go back to last year, oh, the Chiefs, they always have home food advantage,
00:41that's the only way they actually get the Super Bowls.
00:44Did you watch last year, where after beating the Dolphins at home in Arrowhead, they go
00:47on the road and it's like, they can't beat the Buffalo Bills there.
00:49Oh, they beat them, oh, now the Ravens, boy, it's payback now, they beat the Ravens on
00:53the road.
00:54Oh, they can't win the Super Bowl.
00:55Oh, there's no way on a semi, it's a neutral site game per se, but not a home game, they
01:00can't win this Super Bowl.
01:01Oh, they beat the 49ers.
01:02So it is a buy for me, technically, that Kansas City needs home field advantage, because I
01:07don't think they're as talented, if that makes sense, as last year.
01:10But there's no way I can sell this and be like, oh, we've never seen Kansas City go
01:13on the road and beat good teams in a way to a Super Bowl.
01:15They just did that last year.
01:18Out slash should, absolute buy, need because of what Donnie just laid out, I'm selling
01:25that.
01:26In fact, I think if you were to flip this question, the Bills need home field advantage
01:30as the one seed, more than the Chiefs do, I'm fully buying into that idea.
01:35But outside of buying into the idea, Donnie, it's a matter of should or will at the end
01:41of this regular season.
01:42Here's what we have at stake for the three teams still in the running.
01:46The Steelers do have a case, but really it feels to be a two-team race.
01:50And again, the Bills have the direct head-to-head tiebreaker advantage over KC.
01:57Buffalo would need Kansas City to drop two of its final three, and the Bills would have
02:01to win out.
02:02Buffalo will be a hefty favorite in all of their final three games, twice against the
02:07Patriots.
02:08Buffalo hosts New England on Sunday as a two-touchdown favorite at the moment.
02:13So DRS, we buy the idea that maybe Kansas City should.
02:17Are you buying the idea that Kansas City will be that one seed in the AFC?
02:22Yes, they will.
02:23And also keep in mind, I do think they beat the Texans now if Patrick Holmes is competent
02:27in the pocket.
02:28There's a good chance they lose to the Steelers on the road.
02:30That's just a tough game.
02:31But game number three, the Broncos, ooh, the Broncos can sting them.
02:34Keep in mind, there are scenarios where the Broncos might not even need that football
02:37game, and if Kansas City needs it, that might be a walkover victory.
02:40So yeah, I'm buying.
02:41They're going to get the number one seed.