مدي 1 تي في : ملامح المغرب الجديد من خلال نتائج الإحصاء العام للسكان والسكنى - 18/12/2024
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00We welcome you to a new episode of Masaa Toh, through the process of counting the number of people in Morocco, but also the social and economic characteristics of the people of the Kingdom.
00:22One of the most important data that indicates the lack of danger is related to the unemployment rate, which has fallen by 21%.
00:29This worrying number was announced by Al-Mandoub Al-Sami for the planning of Sayyid Shakib Bin Moussa during a complex press conference yesterday in the capital, Rabat, to provide detailed results for the process of counting.
00:39These results also referred to the population gap that is heading towards its peak by a noticeable decrease in the percentage of children under the age of 15.
00:47On the other hand, the percentage of the population who are over the age of 60 has increased, which will be a challenge for the economy in the future.
00:54Many results have been lost by the process of counting, including the number of Moroccans who speak Darija, Amazigh and Hassani.
01:02In Darija, we welcome you to know the details of the details presented by Al-Mandoub Al-Sami for the planning.
01:08Joining me in this episode is Mr. Youssef Al-Filal Al-Grawi, President of the Moroccan Center for Governance and Development.
01:13Welcome.
01:14Welcome, Mr.
01:15As well as Mr. Khaled Ashiban Al-Khabir, Economic Analyst.
01:19Welcome, Mr. Khaled.
01:20Thank you for the invitation.
01:21Welcome.
01:22In this episode, there are many numbers and data that have been used for the process of counting.
01:27As we said at the time, there is more than one continuation.
01:32The process does not only mean that we know the number of people living in the Kingdom, or even the foreign communities, or things like that, or from this tribe.
01:40Mr. Youssef, 21.3% unemployment rate.
01:44An alarming and unprecedented number.
01:47It shows more than a question mark.
01:49Here, we will not agree with Mr. Shakib Bin Moussa, who said it is normal in the press conference.
01:54Because, regardless of the numbers, 12.3% in the time of Al-Sulhimi, not a long time ago, to 21.3% is an alarming number.
02:07Reasons?
02:08Yes, of course.
02:09The impression of Moroccan kings on the street is that there is a high unemployment rate in the age group of young people.
02:19Before this number was announced by Mr. Bin Moussa, I had another number.
02:25The rate of unemployment rate in the age group of young people.
02:28Rates are double.
02:31I mean, double, excuse me.
02:33We moved from 20% to 40%.
02:34In the last 10 years, the rate of unemployment rate in the age group of young people was 20%.
02:38You mean 2014?
02:392014.
02:40Yes.
02:41In 2024, we moved 40% to the age group of young people.
02:43Yes.
02:44We may separate this in the future.
02:45This is different.
02:46But, 21.3% is between 13.7%.
02:50It is not a long time ago.
02:55To be honest, Mr. Bin Moussa, according to my understanding, I think this 21% is due to a comparison with the previous calculation.
03:03I mean, from the calculation in 2014 to the calculation in 2024, in these 10 years, the rate of unemployment rate is 21%.
03:12Why?
03:13Because the rate of unemployment rate in the age group of young people from 2023 to 2024 is 13.9%.
03:19Correct.
03:2013.7%.
03:2113.7%.
03:22Yes.
03:23And the result is that we have reached 14%.
03:25This is due to a comparison between 2023 and 2024.
03:29But...
03:30I will go with you to...
03:32This is...
03:33If 7 million Moroccans are unemployed?
03:36For me, this number is...
03:38By the number.
03:39From 21% to 14% to 13%.
03:41Mr. Khaled?
03:42Let's go back to this number.
03:4421% is due to unemployment rate.
03:49As a result of the calculation.
03:51It is different from the cycle of unemployment rate.
03:55Because the calculation method is completely different.
03:57In the calculation, we depend only on personal statements.
04:00When we ask a person if he is a worker or not.
04:03He says what he wants.
04:04He says what he wants.
04:05So, he can be a worker and say that he is not a worker.
04:07Or he can be not a worker and say that he is a worker.
04:09Correct.
04:10So, the calculation is different from the cycle of unemployment rate.
04:16And here, you get the information from other sources.
04:19You don't ask the citizens.
04:21You don't calculate and say that he is a worker or not.
04:23No.
04:24You get the information from other sources.
04:25There is data.
04:26There are sectors that explain how they work and how they lose their jobs.
04:29A unified social prison.
04:30So, this is why there is a difference in the number.
04:35This is from one side.
04:37Secondly, if we take the numbers in pairs.
04:39They explain that the unemployment rate has increased.
04:44If we take 21% or 13.7%.
04:47They say that today, the unemployment rate in Morocco has reached measurable levels.
04:53We don't want to agree.
04:54I don't understand.
04:55Should we read the news?
04:56No, no.
04:57Read it.
04:58It is 21%.
04:59It is 21%.
05:00Dear viewers.
05:01You are the economic experts.
05:03It is from 2014.
05:04In 2014, the unemployment rate was measurable at 21%.
05:09It is not 21%.
05:10It is this.
05:11It is not 21%.
05:12In 2024, it will be 21%.
05:14In 2024.
05:15This is what happened.
05:16In 2024, the unemployment rate as a result of the national census is 21%.
05:22Wow.
05:2321% of the population.
05:24So, we understood.
05:25We understood the last census in 2014.
05:28We understood this point.
05:30Secondly, as the professor said, in terms of the census,
05:34this comes from all the data that comes from the Constitution.
05:38The statements of the citizens that give their impression.
05:41Most of the time, we say that the citizens are honest.
05:46In some cases, citizens may do a job that is not considered a job in the black market.
05:57Therefore, it is stated that it is not included in the census.
06:00This is the first comparison.
06:01As for the second number, 13.7%, there are two different comparisons.
06:06Very different.
06:07A comparison based on the technology.
06:09It is the statement that the citizen made.
06:11The difference in this 13.7%, according to the data that I have received,
06:15is that in the national census, you calculate even the people who work,
06:18even if it is only for a few hours a day,
06:20in an official way, you calculate their income.
06:23For me, the number today is 21%.
06:26It is closer to reality.
06:28This is true.
06:29Also, the way the census was done and the investments that were distributed,
06:33as we said, it provided us with social and economic characteristics
06:37for the residents of the Kingdom of Morocco.
06:39There were questions about several things.
06:43Do you own a residence?
06:44Are you an employee?
06:45Who provides for you from the family?
06:47But this number is very low, Mr. Khaled.
06:5221.3%.
06:54Of course, this is not new.
06:57Now, the government says that the priority is to work,
07:02and we have reached a percentage that we did not reach in the last 30 years.
07:06We did not reach this percentage in the last 25 or 30 years.
07:09Therefore, we are in front of very high taxes.
07:12Otherwise, as the colleague pointed out,
07:15technically, if we calculate this,
07:17the one who serves a non-qualified job,
07:19or the one who works in the market,
07:21he is a servant.
07:22But he is the one who says that he does not have a job.
07:25Therefore, he says that he is unemployed.
07:27So, the number 21 is closer to reality.
07:32The process is huge,
07:35and it measures the percentage.
07:40We say that 99.99% of Moroccan citizens
07:44give you a number that you should trust.
07:47Today, unemployment should be in line with the priorities
07:52of the policies that will be implemented,
07:54based on the data that came out.
07:57Therefore, we should not try to find excuses
08:01to lower this number a little,
08:04because we want to read some comments
08:07that try to find some excuses.
08:09No, the situation is difficult.
08:11Today, unemployment is high.
08:13As Mr. Youssef pointed out,
08:15unemployment in the ranks of young people
08:17between 15 and 24 years old is 40%.
08:20Yes, and 20% in the ranks of men,
08:2220.1% and 25% in the ranks of women.
08:25Therefore, the number explains itself.
08:28The number explains itself.
08:30Therefore, we talked about numbers,
08:32and the language of numbers, or numbers.
08:34Do not lie.
08:35As it is said, in 2024,
08:37in the previous statistics,
08:39the number of women who were fired
08:41was 25.9% and it was 29.6% in 2014.
08:44Why do we say 2014?
08:462014 is the last statistic before the September operation
08:49that was carried out this time.
08:5120.1% of men,
08:53while it was 12.4% in 2014.
08:58And what do we say?
09:00Corona, years of drought,
09:03an increase in inflation in recent years,
09:06poor purchasing power,
09:08lack of investment due to geopolitical changes,
09:12the Russo-Ukrainian war,
09:14and other conflicts that led to the result we see today.
09:18Yes, indeed, there were external claims.
09:21Everyone knows about it.
09:23The Russo-Ukrainian war,
09:25what is happening in the Middle East,
09:27Corona, the health crisis,
09:29these are issues we know about.
09:31Indeed, there was an increase in inflation,
09:34an increase in imports,
09:36an increase in construction,
09:38and the number of materials lost,
09:4010% or more.
09:42In the fifth year of drought,
09:44the level of water receded,
09:46there was a huge water pressure.
09:48But what we need to pay attention to
09:50is the government's measures
09:52that have been taken
09:54in order to strengthen the situation
09:56and take urgent measures.
09:59No, you said what are the measures
10:01that have been taken by the government.
10:03Fursa, Awrash, Ana Mukawel.
10:05These are the programs
10:07that are being run by the government.
10:09It is not enough for the government
10:11to come and announce programs
10:13that have a nuclear declaration
10:15and give numbers.
10:17When we come and look at the reality,
10:19we see that the number of contractors
10:21in Tanja, Rabat, and Dar Al-Bayda
10:23is something else,
10:25it has nothing to do with numbers.
10:27They have not benefited from the last year.
10:29They went in the same direction
10:31but they were told that they have reached
10:33the goal and they will not receive funding.
10:35People had contracts,
10:37they took loans,
10:39they paid rent,
10:41it is not logical.
10:43The program Juntia Laqa,
10:45the program Jumaliki,
10:47was launched,
10:49Dar Al-Nas, Bab Al-Hajar,
10:51and we withdrew it.
10:53The number of contractors
10:55is still not enough.
10:57We are still in five years of drought
10:59and we have a sick law in 2025
11:01and there are still classical assumptions
11:03that depend on agriculture
11:05and agricultural added value is impossible.
11:07They say that Morocco wants to become
11:09an industrial country.
11:11Where is the industrial added value?
11:13Where is the new economic vision
11:15that the Kingdom should follow?
11:17And the opposite is true in financial laws.
11:19You said a little while ago
11:21that the priority is employment
11:23and this is what the president of the government
11:25said in his evaluation of half of the state.
11:27He said that what the government achieved
11:29in half of the state is equal to a full state
11:31and he gave a lot of numbers.
11:33Today, the programs related to the employment sector
11:35in this national context
11:37are especially difficult
11:39and we are talking about unemployment
11:41not limited to the rural world
11:43or the women's world
11:45or men's world, it gathers everyone.
11:47Therefore, today the priority is employment.
11:49How?
11:51What are the initiatives?
11:53You know that there are reforms
11:55in the foreign policy
11:57that might have discouraged
11:59a group of people
12:01from going to the structural sector
12:03and preferred to stay in a non-structural sector.
12:05First, there is a methodological problem
12:07because employment is related to growth
12:09and if you want to do employment
12:11you have to stimulate growth.
12:13You have to invest.
12:15You have to stimulate growth.
12:17Today, growth in Morocco returns in the last year.
12:19There is a 5% growth rate.
12:21There are expectations of 4.6%.
12:23No, these are expectations.
12:25The Moroccan Bank said yesterday
12:27that this year we will achieve 3.6%.
12:29The government expected something else.
12:31The government expected 4.7% or 4.8%
12:33and the Moroccan Bank said
12:35that in the best conditions
12:37we will achieve 3.6% or 3.4%.
12:39Expectations are expectations.
12:41The reality says that the unemployment rate has increased
12:43and the growth rate is low
12:45and this is the real reason
12:47why the unemployment rate is low.
12:49There is another thing.
12:51The choices you make.
12:53Today, the major importance
12:55is given to foreign investment.
12:57Foreign investment is good
12:59but today foreign investment
13:01does not create enough job opportunities
13:03to be able to understand the unemployment rate.
13:05At the same time,
13:0788% of Moroccan contracts
13:09are small and very small companies.
13:11No one is given enough importance.
13:13Today, more than 15,000 contracts
13:15are small and very small companies.
13:17No one talks about the problems.
13:19No one tries to solve the problems.
13:21This is an additional benefit.
13:23Today, one of the solutions
13:25that you may be in a hurry
13:27because half of the states
13:29talk about growth,
13:31talk about direct foreign investment
13:33and this does not create job opportunities.
13:35It should motivate small and small companies.
13:37It should motivate small and small companies.
13:39It should motivate small and small companies.
13:41It should motivate small and small companies.
13:43We have opportunities and we have to find them.
13:45But what is the impact?
13:47What is the benefit?
13:49What is the benefit?
13:51All these problems must be solved.
13:53Today, what is required is that
13:55any young person who has an idea
13:57must find the right conditions.
13:59These are opportunities that we have not understood
14:01for a long time.
14:03But it gives an idea
14:05about the climate that creates the unemployment rate.
14:07We know that in the north of Morocco
14:09the conditions that create the unemployment rate
14:11are very important
14:13because young people
14:15either do not study the projects
14:17in advance as they should
14:19or they do not find the right conditions
14:21to solve the problems they face.
14:23Therefore, what is the solution?
14:25Unemployment.
14:27Unemployment means unemployment
14:29for the owner of the project.
14:31Mr. Youssef, at the same time
14:33you talked about the financial law.
14:35I think that solving the unemployment rate
14:37by more than 20%
14:39or even two years
14:41will be a national project
14:43in order to create job opportunities.
14:45You made a very important point.
14:47Our economy
14:49is of course an agricultural
14:51and tax economy.
14:53This is not related to
14:55rain from the sky.
14:57It is related to the movement
14:59to accelerate the national economy
15:01and local circumstances.
15:03It may be international.
15:05Today, these are the solutions
15:07without waiting for a long time.
15:09They may lead us to other problems
15:11because the same statistics show
15:13that the society is moving towards unemployment.
15:15Of course,
15:17since there is no unemployment rate
15:19in Morocco,
15:21other social problems start to appear.
15:23For example, the unemployment rate
15:25is increasing.
15:27Marriages are being cancelled.
15:29Every child is a woman.
15:31Today, other social problems
15:33start to appear.
15:35This is related to the financial law
15:37and the approach of the bill
15:39for the next few years.
15:41This is related to the
15:43construction of the gas pipeline
15:45and the agricultural dam.
15:47This is related to agricultural growth.
15:49Today, agricultural growth
15:51does not create job opportunities.
15:53This is related to public policies
15:55to create job opportunities.
15:57I think that the first thing
15:59to do today is to create
16:01an artificial income.
16:03We need to contribute to the growth
16:05and to rely on the new indicators
16:07for the artificial income
16:09which are at least 4% or 5%
16:11because we do not want to
16:13follow the same path
16:15as the cinema industry.
16:17We need to be at 700%
16:19to reach the level of 2030
16:21or above 2035.
16:23Today, we have a lot of companies
16:25in the industrial sector.
16:27We have private companies
16:29that bring foreign factories
16:31to the industrial sector.
16:33Therefore, they rely on exports
16:35and do not create enough job opportunities
16:37and do not have an added value
16:39in the industrial sector.
16:41This makes our added value
16:43in terms of size and growth
16:45related to the agricultural sector.
16:47The support of the Moroccan
16:49cooperative network.
16:51How do you accept it?
16:53Without funding.
16:55The big mistake is that
16:57the cooperative does not
16:59have the technology to improve
17:01its productivity, quality,
17:03attractiveness, and the quality
17:05of the general deals.
17:07How can it not work with the
17:09large and medium-sized national
17:11cooperatives in the private sector
17:13and the general sector?
17:15How can it not be part of
17:17the international production chain
17:19and export?
17:21All the developing countries
17:23have developed the cooperative network
17:25and through the small cooperatives
17:27in the private sector.
17:29Young people can work
17:31with the numbers given by Mr. Mendoob
17:33in his plan.
17:35We have a small cooperative
17:37that employs 10 people.
17:39We cannot do this.
17:41We have to create jobs.
17:43There are also
17:45a number of
17:47economic systems
17:49or economic features
17:51that Morocco has interfered with.
17:53But we need to expand more.
17:55We need to talk about the green economy,
17:57the blue economy,
17:59the global maritime trade,
18:01and the digital economy
18:03that generates billions
18:05on a group of countries.
18:07I would like to link
18:09the results of the statistics
18:11with recommendations and reports.
18:13I would like to bring to you
18:15the statements of Mr. Jouhary
18:17about the World Cup.
18:19Even though there was a cost
18:21for private investments in the world,
18:23it had a positive economic impact
18:25on the Kingdom.
18:27As Mr. Shakib said
18:29when he was president
18:31of the Development Council,
18:33stability does not guarantee
18:35a sustainable development
18:37and the creation of wealth.
18:39The report
18:41by the Supreme Council
18:43recently talked about social support
18:45and the need to create job opportunities.
18:47Even though the country
18:49has a broad budget,
18:51creating job opportunities
18:53is better than teaching me how to work
18:55and not giving me a salary.
18:57Of course.
18:59These reports do not stop there.
19:01Today, there is a problem
19:03in creating job opportunities.
19:05The priority should be creating job opportunities.
19:07Even if we have a social support system,
19:09it should not be a base for the poor
19:11to remain poor and continue their lives.
19:13No. It is a platform
19:15that we should step on
19:17to improve our situation
19:19This is what the report
19:21by the Supreme Council
19:23confirms.
19:25Creating job opportunities
19:27is the solution,
19:29not giving you a salary
19:31every month to support you
19:33if you need it.
19:35On the other hand,
19:37the majority of the profits
19:39can be spent on government programs.
19:41Let me give you an idea.
19:43The support came
19:45from a royal project
19:47during the pandemic
19:49and the poor.
19:51These families
19:53had to be supported
19:55to continue their lives.
19:57There were many goals
19:59such as paying school fees,
20:01eliminating the appearance
20:03of the school,
20:05and providing special needs
20:07to the children.
20:09This support was based
20:11on other issues
20:13related to the needs of the society.
20:15Today, the support is good,
20:17but there is a gap
20:19around the general financial
20:21management that allows us
20:23to spend money on these programs.
20:25But we have to consider it a solution.
20:27The solution is to create job opportunities.
20:29Creating job opportunities
20:31is the wheel of economic growth.
20:33We should build the national economy
20:35and create job opportunities
20:37that will guarantee
20:39the future of the people
20:41and their income
20:43and the economy of the country.
20:45Today, if you are given
20:47500 dirhams or 1000 dirhams,
20:49you can spend 5 years
20:51with your income.
20:53Therefore, we should not
20:55consider it a solution.
20:57Today, more than a million young people
20:59do not know
21:01what their situation is.
21:03They will not create a solution.
21:05We should find simple solutions
21:07to create job opportunities.
21:09Today, the Ministry of Employment
21:11provides programs
21:13for young people
21:15that they can understand.
21:17Today, there are young people
21:19who do not understand
21:21why they are not given
21:23the opportunity to create
21:25simple jobs in the field
21:27of baking,
21:29mechanics,
21:31and other simple things.
21:33However, their job opportunities
21:35allow them to start small projects
21:37and improve their situation
21:39because these young people
21:41receive direct support
21:43from their families.
21:45If we want these families
21:47to receive direct support,
21:49we need to improve the situation
21:51of these families.
21:53Two days ago,
21:55there was a second debate
21:57in Tanja.
21:59Regardless of whether
22:01the current government
22:03or the previous one
22:05supported the government,
22:07the second debate was
22:09about the environment.
22:11Today,
22:13the unemployment rate
22:15is 1.5%
22:17compared to the previous debate.
22:19The unemployment rate
22:21in the eastern region
22:23is 30.4%
22:25compared to the previous debate.
22:27The unemployment rate
22:29in Khenifra is 26.8%
22:31compared to the previous debate.
22:33The unemployment rate
22:35in Khenifra
22:37is 16.6%
22:39compared to the previous debate.
22:41As a result,
22:43the rate of unemployment
22:45is 38.1%,
22:47compared to the previous debate.
22:49The unemployment rate
22:51in Khenifra
22:53is 3.3%,
22:55compared to the previous debate.
22:57The unemployment rate
22:59in Khenifra
23:01is 1.8%
23:03in the Arab communities, where people have production facilities,
23:06in agriculture, in industry, in services, in traditional industry, in tourism,
23:10and where do you focus? You focus on the regions of the Kingdom of Tunisia.
23:14You don't focus on the area between Tanja and Dar Al-Badar,
23:17because even if we see the decline in the number of women,
23:21and high production comes from there,
23:23we bring the factories in Dar Al-Badar, in Tanja,
23:25and we want to get them out of this area,
23:27and we want the southern regions, and we want the eastern regions,
23:31and we want the southern regions to have high production.
23:34Of course, it's not the central government or the government
23:36that has to work on this, but there is a responsibility
23:38from the company, not the company, but the private sector.
23:40The big and medium-sized companies
23:42that have to trust the companies in the soil field,
23:44and give them the opportunity to work with them.
23:46There is a role to play.
23:48I mean, the civil society and the rural communities.
23:50There are also parties that have to work hard
23:52to have a local production.
23:54Unfortunately, the report,
23:56or the details of the details
23:58regarding the long calculation process,
24:00or a simple comment, if you prefer,
24:02of the difficulties that will increase
24:04because of what has been said about the fertility rate,
24:06and the double marriage rate,
24:08and so on,
24:10will provide the state with social and economic services,
24:12and so on, and retirement,
24:14and many other things.
24:16Perhaps, in the long term,
24:18it will need the workforce.
24:20Of course, and we are facing a problem
24:22in this whole chain,
24:24and we need to reconsider it,
24:26because there is a problem in the retirement fund
24:29and we don't know what will happen
24:31that will guarantee sustainability.
24:33And now, there is another issue,
24:35which is that people over the age of 60
24:37and 11% of the population
24:39and the pyramid is turning,
24:41meaning that 20 years from now
24:43we will be living in the same situation
24:45as the Western European countries.
24:47First, they will not find the workforce
24:49for the national economy,
24:51and secondly, there will be pressure
24:53on all the banks and all the services
24:55that will ultimately force the state
24:57to provide the national economy.
24:59This is just a simple comment
25:01regarding the retirement fund.
25:03I think that the leaders of the parties
25:05are not present in the committee
25:07that believes in the retirement fund,
25:09and this is enough to give you an idea
25:11of what we see in the opposition party
25:13today.
25:15We are waiting for the recommendations
25:17of the second debate in Tanja.
25:19Thank you very much, Mr. Khaled Ajiban
25:21for the economic solution.
25:23Thank you very much, Youssef Bilal Graoui
25:25For more UN videos visit www.un.org