"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Market Buzz, Jumat (13/12/2024) dengan tema Analisis Saham Pilihan: ISAT, ANTM, EXCL, JPFA"
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00:00POMIARSA
00:05Thank you for joining us again, POMIARSA.
00:07We're going to review the recommendations of the selected stock
00:09from Mr. Henry Widiantoro,
00:11Investment Specialist, RdK Elitesekuritas.
00:13We summarized the data of POMIARSA
00:15in the following graphic.
00:17The first one, POMIARSA, is an ISAT stock
00:19that is well-recommended.
00:21As you can see on the POMIARSA screen,
00:25the target is from IDR 2,570 to IDR 2,640.
00:30The stop loss is below IDR 2,440.
00:34The entry level is from IDR 2,450 to IDR 2,520.
00:39Antam Buy on Weakness,
00:41ASJL Trading Buy,
00:43Jaffa Buy on Weakness.
00:47These are the recommendations of POMIARSA
00:49that we're going to review
00:51for the range that should be considered
00:54according to Mr. Henry this morning.
00:58There's no property, right, Mr. Henry?
01:01No, there isn't.
01:02Because I see the property here
01:04is probably the momentum is in January
01:06after the cut credit.
01:07What's the name in Indonesian?
01:08After the fact, Pangkasuku Bunga,
01:11then the momentum is to look at the property.
01:14At the moment, this is what you think is interesting, right?
01:16Yes, that's right.
01:17Okay.
01:18We've already discussed about Antam.
01:20It's interesting to review ISAT.
01:22What's interesting about ISAT?
01:24So you recommend this stock.
01:26In the middle, the competitors are
01:29Friend and also Excel
01:31that will merge to create a new entity.
01:35Okay, I see it.
01:36From my perspective,
01:38after the equity for ISAT
01:40is relatively high compared to others,
01:43I see the revenue generated by ISAT
01:45is generally stable compared to other entities.
01:47But there is a fundamental issue.
01:49The valuation is also generally relatively cheaper.
01:51After that, if I look at it technically,
01:53here ISAT is interesting.
01:55I see that it has the potential
01:58to experience a technical rebound
02:00reverse trend.
02:01From the previous downtrend,
02:03in the last month,
02:05it seems that ISAT is starting to have signs
02:06to experience a technical rebound.
02:08After that, ASING also in ISAT
02:10started to accumulate
02:12in the last month.
02:14Therefore, I see that ISAT
02:16overall, both fundamentally
02:18and technically, is quite interesting.
02:20Quite interesting.
02:21But it's more of a trading buy.
02:22It means that in the short term,
02:24it will take advantage of the momentum of the year.
02:26Yes.
02:28If we expand a little
02:30to the merger of Friend and also Excel
02:33that will create a new entity,
02:34the news will make the market
02:36almost equal to ISAT
02:38or Indosat.
02:40But what is also worth paying attention to
02:42is the fate of the investor
02:44from Friend.
02:45Because later it will be deposited to Excel.
02:48Yes.
02:50If we look at the fate,
02:52maybe what I read
02:54is that there is a potential delisting.
02:56But here there is a mechanism
02:58of tender offer.
03:00And later there will be a certain ratio
03:02so that about
03:0493-94
03:06Friend shares
03:08can be converted
03:10into one Excel share.
03:12Which is, if I look at it,
03:14actually from the
03:16potential scenario
03:18that exists,
03:20it's actually not that interesting.
03:22The interesting thing is that there is a standby buyer.
03:24But what's not interesting is
03:26the range buy from the standby buyer
03:28is generally limited.
03:29It's already at the current level.
03:31For example, at 25,
03:33while Excel here is at
03:35the current price,
03:37Rp 100 above the current price.
03:39What is the fate?
03:41If, for example, the price of Excel
03:43rises significantly,
03:45do the tender offer.
03:47But if, for example,
03:49Excel doesn't move
03:51and the price tends to go down,
03:53just let it be bought back by the emitter.
03:55Okay. And you recommend buy
03:57EXCL, right?
03:59EXCL buy means
04:01it's not just short-term?
04:03Yes.
04:05Actually, the long-term
04:07range is good,
04:09but the short-term
04:11is often
04:13limited.
04:15As I said earlier,
04:17the range buyback that was spilled yesterday
04:19is not far from now,
04:21around Rp 2,430
04:23or Rp 2,380.
04:25So it's not interesting?
04:27In the short term, it's less,
04:29but in the long term, it should be interesting.
04:31Because Excel can be one of the biggest
04:33telecommunications companies
04:35in Indonesia.
04:37So is it better to buy
04:39for the medium term
04:41or trading first?
04:43Actually, for trading,
04:45we use MA200
04:47as the first resistance level.
04:49At the current level,
04:51at level 2,280.
04:53Maybe later we will consolidate
04:55first.
04:57For the strategy,
04:59I prefer mid-term or long-term.
05:01Okay. And the target price?
05:03With the target price,
05:05in the short term,
05:07MA200 is now at level 2,280.
05:09From level 2,370
05:11to the next level,
05:13at level 2,650
05:17as the resistance level.
05:19At the same time, it's high in the medium-long term.
05:21The target is 2,600.
05:23Then it can break at 2,370.
05:25With the risk limit,
05:27if it goes down or stop-loss,
05:29in what position?
05:31If we look at the risk limit,
05:33this is the momentum
05:35to tighten the stop-loss level.
05:37If, for example,
05:39it breaks down at level 2,220.
05:43Because at level 2,220
05:45to level 2,280,
05:47there is a level where
05:49MA20, MA50, and MA500
05:51are narrowed.
05:53So when it breaks down,
05:55there is a potential for a downtrend.
05:57But if I look at the potential,
05:59after this long consolidation
06:01and it keeps entering the Axel,
06:03I think there is a potential for Axel.
06:05There is a potential for Axel in the medium-term
06:07to be pulled up.
06:09For now, at level 2,280,
06:11it's in the bullish-harami.
06:13That's it for Axel.
06:15One more thing,
06:17buy-on-weakness Java from Paltry.
06:19What's interesting about Java?
06:21If I look at it from Java,
06:23fundamentally it's good.
06:25There is a potential for a full year.
06:27From the opinion,
06:29there is a potential to grow
06:31with a significant growth.
06:33Other than that,
06:35we see government programs,
06:37there is a free food program,
06:39I think it should be.
06:41If Java is good at looking at this opportunity,
06:43the potential revenue that happens
06:45when it is run,
06:47when it is run,
06:49there will be another booster,
06:51another boost from the revenue
06:53and the bottom line.
06:55After that, if I look at
06:57investors,
06:59for Java,
07:01there is an accumulation.
07:03The accumulation is done by foreigners.
07:05I think Java is interesting
07:07from the perspective
07:09of the trend.
07:11Foreigners are also
07:13doing the accumulation.
07:15Foreigners are also doing the accumulation
07:17with the current trend
07:19of Java movement
07:21is in the bullish.
07:23Yes, it's in the bullish.
07:25Short-term, medium-long-term trend,
07:27it's all bullish.
07:29What level are you interested in?
07:31Because Java is now
07:33almost all-time high.
07:35I see the downside
07:37of the next level
07:39is at level
07:412000.
07:43This is the
07:45closest level.
07:47If it goes up to 2000,
07:49there is a potential to go up to 2100-2200.
07:51However, if this level does not pass,
07:53maybe I see there is a potential
07:55for Java to consolidate first.
07:57Moving sideways
07:59with level
08:011900 as support
08:03and 2000 as
08:05lever resistance.
08:071900 as support,
08:092000 as lever resistance.
08:11If 2000 can go up,
08:13what is the next target position?
08:15The closest is 2100,
08:17the next is 2200.
08:19We already know that it is
08:21a level of psychological resistance.
08:23Okay, 2100, then 2200.
08:25Is there anything else that is not included
08:27in the graph?
08:29I saw
08:31in the recommendation this morning,
08:33there is DKFT.
08:35I see
08:37DKFT is quite interesting
08:39in terms of short-term and medium-long-term.
08:41From the story,
08:43as I said, it will be a nickel.
08:45I think the trend will be bullish
08:47considering the demand of
08:49electric cars will go up
08:51because there is a policy
08:53of long-term subsidy or tax
08:55in the government
08:57for nickel companies
08:59so that the demand for nickel will be
09:01relatively large here.
09:03I see here, however, for
09:05DKFT, the movement is quite
09:07sharp, so I think
09:09when
09:11there is a breed up to the top,
09:13it must be accompanied by
09:15tighter profit-taking there.
09:17However, when there is a correction
09:19with a weakness
09:21below the level of MA20,
09:23in the area of 220-230,
09:25I think there will also be
09:27a stop-loss level there for DKFT.
09:29Okay, this is a bullish break-away.
09:31Yes, that's right.
09:33For DKFT,
09:35there is a target price
09:37at 236-242.
09:39Yes, that's right.
09:41Stop-loss is also below 224.
09:43And just speculative buy, right?
09:45Yes, just speculative buy.
09:47I think I can buy here for DKFT.
09:49Okay.
09:51The problem is the small liquidity.
09:53But there are also those who like
09:55small liquidity, right?
09:57Depending on
09:59the profile.
10:01Okay.
10:03There is ISAT, then ANTAM,
10:05XCL, Javva, DKFT
10:07with various recommendations we have reviewed too.
10:09We will go to the opening of
10:11the first trading session
10:13this morning, where IHSG
10:15is still weak, although the weakness
10:17is not limited, Mr. Henry.
10:19It only dropped 0.28% at 73.71.
10:21What is the most highlighted
10:23from the current market
10:25at the end of the year that
10:27may be the main concern?
10:29Maybe in terms of emittance sentiment
10:31or overall sentiment
10:33for the capital market?
10:35If I look at the overall sentiment
10:37from the capital market,
10:39this is a matter of window de-raising.
10:41Actually, if there is a window de-raising
10:43in December,
10:45there is still a potential window de-raising.
10:47Considering that the price of Samsung
10:49is already at the bottom.
10:51However, it should also be noted
10:53that the overall sentiment
10:55in the last few months
10:57has experienced a new net sell.
10:59It was about a week ago, but yesterday
11:01it was a net sell again.
11:03I think we have to
11:05start seeing opportunities
11:07in Samsung Big Cap
11:09to start swinging
11:11Samsung Big Cap.
11:13However, after that,
11:15we have to pay attention to foreigners.
11:17When foreigners start to come out,
11:19I think we also have to come out.
11:21Because foreign goods in the Indonesian market
11:23still have quite a big impact.
11:25So we have to take care of ourselves.
11:27And it's quite tempting
11:29because the external sentiment
11:31is also quite strong at the moment.
11:33Okay, we will see
11:35the opening of trade from Samsung
11:37which will become Gainers and also Losers
11:39in the middle of the opening of IHSG
11:41Although it was not as deep as
11:43the closing in the trade yesterday,
11:45there is Adaro which recorded
11:47an increase of more than 2%
11:49in 2590.
11:51Adaro has changed its name to
11:53Minister of Indonesian Resources.
11:55Then the businessmen,
11:57there is Indonesian Stock Exchange,
11:59Indosat, which was recommended by
12:01Mr. Henry earlier, increased by 3% to 2600.
12:03Then Petrindojaya or Cuan,
12:05DKFT,
12:07which was also recommended
12:09by Mr. Henry,
12:11GPSO,
12:13TOWR,
12:15then the top losers are
12:17Blue Chips,
12:19BBNI, Telkom,
12:21BRMS, SCMA, DAAS,
12:23GOTU, PSAB, and SSEA.
12:25That's the opening of trade update
12:27where
12:29energy is strengthening,
12:31infrastructure is strengthening, and also property.
12:33Only three sectors are experiencing strengthening.
12:35A little bit about Mr. Henry,
12:37there seems to be a problem
12:39in the BNI body
12:41where there is
12:43Rp 600 billion worth of money.
12:45It looks like
12:47it's gone.
12:49How is it? You've heard this information
12:51and if we look at the losers
12:53led by BBNI, maybe there is a correlation.
12:55Although our time is limited,
12:57can you comment a little?
12:59Yes, if I look at it,
13:01from the new sentiment,
13:03it becomes a confirmation
13:05that the losers
13:07will be more confident
13:09to do net sales in BBNI.
13:11Okay, still net sales
13:13in BBNI. Avoid BNI first.
13:15For those who don't have it yet,
13:17if you already have it, what should you do?
13:19If you already have it, we will pay attention
13:21to the lowest level of Rp 4,710 billion.
13:23Because Rp 4,710 billion we see
13:25as one of the lowest levels of BNI
13:27as well as the gap level there.
13:29If for example, the gap is closed
13:31and experiencing rebound,
13:33I see there is an opportunity
13:35to pay back when
13:37BNI is at the appropriate level.
13:39Okay, can you repeat the position?
13:41Rp 4,710 billion.
13:43Rp 4,710 billion.
13:45Okay, right now it's Rp 4,790 billion.
13:47A little more warning for
13:49investors in BBNI, according to Henry.
13:51Yes.
13:53Thank you for sharing the information
13:55this morning.
13:57Always healthy for you. See you again.
13:59Thank you, Margarita.