IHSG berbalik melemah, dengan asing kembali bukukan net sell cukup tinggi di tanggal cantik 12.12. "Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Market Buzz, Jumat (13/12/2024) dengan tema Asing Berbalik Net Sell, Bagaimana Analisis Selanjutnya?"
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00:00New! Soyou Intense Lip Stain. Intense color, lasts up to 12 hours. Buy now!
00:05Yes, Pemirsa, even though the price index of the Kembali joint salons is under pressure,
00:09led by Samsung Blue Chips from Perban,
00:11of course there are emittents that are still in the market on the 12th, Pemirsa.
00:17Do we have to focus on weak salons or those that are under pressure?
00:22We will discuss this later with a number of global sentiments.
00:26Let's move on to the economic agenda.
00:28First, Pemirsa, there is a new loan from China in November.
00:32Then, China's cumulative debt growth data, also in November.
00:36And there is an agenda from the United States in the form of a reserve position
00:43in the Federal Reserve Bank and also the King of Trade from Germany.
00:48We move, Pemirsa, to the emittent agenda from the domestic market.
00:51There is RUPS from TLDN, FAPA, Pemirsa's cash dividend from GDST and several other agendas,
00:59including DPS, Interim Cash Dividend from Brand and Cash Dividend Payment from PNGO.
01:05An update from the Asian exchange, Pemirsa, when the US and European exchanges weakened,
01:10Asia also compactly weakened, Nikkei fell almost 1%,
01:14Stratimes fell by 0.03%, KOSPIK Korea Selatan fell by 0.16%, Hang Seng fell by 0.96%.
01:31We will discuss this morning in MarketBus with Henry Widiantoro,
01:36Investment Specialist, Erdika Elite Securitas.
01:39Good morning, how are you, Henry?
01:42Good morning, Patricia, how are you?
01:45Thank you for your time this morning.
01:49It's an amazing news.
01:51How do you see the movement from the global exchange so far?
01:56Is it amazing or how?
01:59Even though the US, Europe, and Asia compact are in a negative territory.
02:05Yes, I think it's amazing too.
02:08It's amazing for the profit-taking momentum.
02:12Today is Friday.
02:14Mostly, the global and regional markets will be profit-taking.
02:18Today is Friday.
02:19We can see that the US and European markets have strengthened significantly.
02:23Almost 2-3 stocks.
02:26Even Nasdaq is almost all-time high in terms of the Fed's decision, which is likely to be lowered from the interest rate.
02:34Therefore, the significant increase in the last 2-3 stocks is a part of the momentum for profit-taking in the global market.
02:47Okay.
02:48It's normal for profit-taking to happen because of significant strengthening.
02:52For example, Nasdaq, which has surpassed IDR 20,000.
02:56Then also from Europe, which had a record.
02:59Okay.
03:00Let's move to Europe.
03:02The impact of the Central Bank, which finally decided to cut the flow of flowers first from the Fed.
03:0725 basis points.
03:08It's already in line with expectations.
03:10But it's quite normal when this moment is used as an opportunity for profit-taking.
03:16And the impact for other global exchanges, including Indonesia, what will it be like to cut the flow of flowers?
03:23Okay.
03:24Cutting the flow of flowers.
03:26The problem in Europe before was the high inflation problem, high purchasing power, which was generally low.
03:32When the flow of flowers is cut there, the global market will run out of liquidity.
03:40But overall, the industry, manufacturing, and business in Europe should be able to run again there.
03:47And the productivity is higher.
03:49This is the expectation from the government in Europe itself.
03:51If we look at the impact on the regional market and Indonesia,
03:55for Indonesia, this should also be a good thing.
04:00This is in line with the trend of the Central Bank of each country, which tends to cut the flow of flowers.
04:08So the economic policy tends to be more loose in the middle of the geopolitical challenges that are not so good right now.
04:18Okay.
04:19Looking at the ECB, which cut the flow of flowers before the meeting of the FED on December 18th or next week,
04:26which is also projected to be 95%, the current market consensus is that the flow of flowers will be cut from the FED 25 basis points.
04:33This means that the FED is more and more convinced that the FED will definitely cut the flow of flowers.
04:38How about our stock market, which was weakened last time, led by companies that are quite sensitive to the flow of flowers, such as banks?
04:49Well, if we look at Indonesia, when the interest rate is reduced,
04:54I think some sectors of property should have a good opportunity to rebound.
05:03Because as we know, the tendency of banks to weaken yesterday is more likely because it is foreign companies that continue to rise.
05:11It's not just a profit taking from local investors,
05:15but also because foreigners are not quite confident in the Indonesian market, especially in the banking sector.
05:20So it's only natural for them to profit taking.
05:22Well, the opportunity here when the interest rate in Indonesia should also be reduced,
05:27I see that the property sector is quite interesting.
05:31The property sector is quite interesting.
05:32If we talk about the sensitive emittance to the flow of flowers, there are several,
05:36but you are more interested in looking at the property right now, right?
05:39If we talk about the flow of flowers.
05:41The momentum is a lot for properties right now.
05:43In this case, the government's decision to subsidize the house is long in the hands of the government,
05:50which is expected to be extended next year.
05:53Then the target is to accelerate the construction of houses in the future.
06:00So in my opinion, the best opportunity here is in the property sector, in the residential sector.
06:08Okay, we will discuss more about the property sector stocks later,
06:11not included in your stock recommendation list.
06:14But let's move a little to commodities.
06:17Gold is down from the top five stocks.
06:19If we talk about commodities,
06:21you are more interested in commodities that are moving in what field?
06:26And is it so far, at the end of the year and the beginning of the year,
06:31this commodity is interesting to look at besides the property?
06:36Okay, if I look at commodities,
06:38maybe around the time of the end of the year or the month of January,
06:43we focus on nickel and also nickel.
06:49Because back to nickel, here we see the demand is starting to rise.
06:53Then there is also a policy from the government that is likely to close the RKF,
06:59a few smelters in Indonesia to anticipate the excess supply there.
07:05So I think the nickel commodity,
07:07whether it's a stock or a commodity that is in the bottom position,
07:11should be quite interesting too.
07:13In addition to nickel, I also see oil,
07:15but this oil is generally very volatile.
07:18But I see the trend when OPEC maintains,
07:24to not limit the production of oil,
07:26and there is also an opportunity for the raw oil sector here to think too.
07:31Stocks related to nickel, then oil, which do you think has the most chance?
07:37More to what stock?
07:40If we look at the nickel-based stock here,
07:46I see there is inco here.
07:49Inco at the current price is relatively cheap.
07:53However, inco here tends to move a little slow.
07:56Then the second priority is antam.
07:59Antam here, after it does have a reference stream of gold,
08:04I see here that antam also has a reference stream of nickel,
08:08which is quite large, so it's interesting too.
08:10Considering the current price of antam,
08:12it tends to be in the bottom,
08:13the technical rebound momentum of 5200,
08:15in my opinion, is fair for antam.
08:17So is antam more interesting or inco?
08:19If I look at the price and momentum, it's antam.
08:24Antam, yes.
08:25Okay, let's talk a little bit about antam.
08:27What is the best way to buy antam?
08:31Should we buy on witness first, or can we just buy it right away?
08:35If I look at it, the antam movement is actually interesting.
08:38It moves in the uptrend phase,
08:40which is reversed from the previous downtrend to the uptrend here,
08:43seen above MA20, MA50, and MA200.
08:46However, the momentum that has been happening for the past week or two
08:50tends to be quite strong, quite significant.
08:53There is no technical correction yet.
08:55I think the strategy used for antam tends to buy on witness
08:59or buy on break out.
09:01Because for the past 2-3 days,
09:03antam has been consolidating in this range.
09:06Okay, we buy at what level range and what position is the target?
09:12If we look at it from a technical perspective,
09:15I see there is a range by DMA50,
09:18which is a bit far, at level 1.540.
09:21This is the level of buy on witness, the lower range.
09:24However, if we just consolidate,
09:26I see here at the next buy range level is 1.480 to level 1.6.
09:34Okay, there is a 1.6 chance for antam.
09:38Later we will go over the recommendations and options
09:41other than antam, what else is there in the property sector,
09:44or other commodities, or other sectors?
09:47Stay tuned with us on MarketBas.