सोने और चांदी के लिहाज से मौजूदा साल यानी 2024 धमाकेदार रहा. सोना का भाव करीब 30 फीसदी तक उछला. ऐसे में नए साल में सोने और चांदी में कितनी तेजी रह सकती है? साथ ही किन फैक्टर्स से दोनों की कीमतों में जोश देखने को मिल सकता है? इन दोनों एसेट में निवेश की क्या स्ट्रैटेजी होनी चाहिए? इसे लेकर गुडरिटर्न्स ने कमोडिटी मार्केट एक्सपर्ट अजय केडिया से बातचीत की.
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NewsTranscript
00:00The central banks are also continuously buying.
00:04If we look at the long term,
00:06in 2025, when we reach December,
00:10what level will we see gold?
00:12See, 2025 is going to be a very viable period.
00:15We have seen extreme volatility here.
00:17Because it can't be without Donald Trump and volatility.
00:20We saw in the last term as well,
00:21there was a tweet and there were changes in gold.
00:24So definitely, it will be more volatile than 2025-2024.
00:27But my opinion, as of now,
00:29this first half will be volatile.
00:31In the second half, we will see corrections.
00:33So in the first half, the currents that we have discussed,
00:36Interstate, Geopolitical Tension, De-Dollarization.
00:38Because of this, I think,
00:39we can see gold at the level of $3,000-$3,100 in the international market.
00:43Right now, it is trading at around $2,750-$2,600 in the first half.
00:48If we talk about silver,
00:49looking at the industrial demand,
00:51we can see a level of $38-$40.
00:53If this was taken to the domestic market,
00:56then the drop in the currency will make gold and silver a little expensive.
01:00But if we talk about gold conservatively,
01:02we can see a level of $85,000-$86,000 minimum before June.
01:08And silver will show a level of $1,30,000.
01:10We should review this for the second half.
01:12But I think in the second half, we can get some profit booking.
01:16But overall, if someone takes it for the next 2-3 years,
01:19then I think it is more comfortable than the current level.
01:22Take it with you.
01:23Your investment should be in gold and silver.
01:25In the first half, you are saying that prices will increase.
01:29So, in the season of weddings, which is from April to May,
01:34in that season, we will get costly gold.
01:37And in the next year, when the wedding is in winter,
01:39we can get a little cheaper gold. Is that so?
01:41Yes, there is an improvement in physical demand.
01:44You see, when we saw an adjustment of 9% in duty,
01:47we saw that price for just 2 days.
01:49After that, the market recovered immediately.
01:51What is there in gold?
01:54When it falls, no one wants to take it.
01:56But when it increases, people get more chances.
01:59So, definitely, I think the first half,
02:00physical demand, investment demand, and central bank demand,
02:04these three will be preferred.