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00:00George Pickens, all right, let's stay there.
00:0570 and a half is the receiving yards number.
00:07If you believe Wilson to go over 225 and a half, do you believe
00:11Pickens to go over 70 and a half?
00:13Well, he's gone over this three straight games.
00:16So even though Russell Wilson was a little underwhelming in week 10
00:19against the Washington Commanders, George Pickens against the Jets with Russell
00:25Wilson, 111 against the Giants, 74.
00:28So over this number last week, 91, I think he's got a real shot at
00:31a hundred yards this week.
00:31So this goes back to approach, right?
00:33How we're approaching some of these things that we like.
00:37So if you put the George Pickens over 70 and a half, you put the Russell
00:41Wilson over 230 and a half, and then George Pickens to score a touchdown
00:45because George Pickens has been doing that, you're getting more
00:47than three to one odds on that.
00:49So that is the way you take a look at an opportunity in a matchup in fantasy
00:54and then invest in it in the wagering market.
00:55You have a bad secondary for the Baltimore Ravens.
00:59You have a confident passing attack now and a competent one
01:03for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
01:04You put those things together and you say, what are the outcomes?
01:07Well, if I like Pickens to have a good day with Russell Wilson, those
01:10are overs, and then I like Pickens to score a touchdown potentially
01:13in this game at some point too.
01:15That's a great way to make a three to one.
01:16I would bet them all separately just in case one doesn't hit, you kind
01:19of end up pushing for the day.
01:20But if you hit everything and the parlay, it's a really good day at the office.
01:25So consider your Steelers against the Ravens today, because it just keeps
01:29on working every time they go out there and take the field.
01:32I love it, folks.
01:33Smart money talk with Joe Pizzoppia.
01:35Let's carve out a half hour or a couple of days a week and have a new
01:38show because this is what it's about.
01:40All right, Joe, let's continue.
01:41Actually bring forward that conversation.
01:43The Chargers have the Bengals here today.
01:45The Bengals, we assume them to be a soft secondary, expecting
01:48a high point total here.
01:49Justin Herbert, 227 and a half through the air, over or under?
01:54I think people are going to be antsy about this one and they shouldn't be.
01:58Last time we saw him against the Tennessee Titans, it was 164.
02:01Okay.
02:01That wasn't good.
02:02But three of the last four games, he's gone over this number and against
02:06Denver on the road, he was at 237.
02:09So very close to it in week six.
02:11So Justin Herbert, not only is trending in the right direction on this, he's
02:15got a fantastic opportunity to go and crush this 227 and a half against
02:20the Cincinnati Bengals.
02:22Another team that can't stop anybody through the air.
02:25We keep seeing it time and time again.
02:27There's no fix for it because it's the personnel.
02:29It's not the scheme.
02:29It could be, it could be everything combined.
02:32There's just no way to fix it this year.
02:34It's not happening.
02:35If they could have fixed it, they would have fixed it already.
02:37So Justin Herbert's in a good spot here.
02:39And I think it's kind of ideal because you're getting a lot of people who are
02:42just a little bit skeptical after a kind of a down week for Herbert statistically
02:47last week with the 164, that's not a great number, but some games you could
02:50just pound the rock and get out of town in this one here.
02:53You're going to have to throw the football because Joe Burrow is certainly
02:56going to go throw a football and Joe Burrow is going to put a point.
02:59Putting a points is not the problem.
03:00And they get T Higgins back along with chase now.
03:02So Joe Burrow is going to be aggressive with the football, which means
03:05Herbert might have to be, which is a really good thing for this number.
03:08And then you combine the matchup.
03:09I love it.
03:10Give me the over for Herbert.