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00:00That is Missouri still ranked inside the top 25 according to
00:07the college football playoff selection committee and only
00:10two losses. South Carolina also in the top 25 as well. At
00:16number 21 is the Gamecocks have figured something out here in
00:20the last month. 11 and a half point spread now in favor of
00:24South Carolina in our second top 25 tilt of this week 12
00:30Saturday. Kev, the reason the number has moved by two points
00:34in the last hour or so, Brady Cook, Missouri's quarterback
00:37was listed at doubtful on the initial injury report out of
00:41Columbia earlier this week. He is now said to be a true game
00:44time decision. Some media outlets there in Columbia
00:48reporting they expect him to start and play today for Mizzou.
00:51Yeah, so I go back and forth on this game, right? Boom. Boom.
00:54Boom. We're doing some spread math here at the time. I'm not
00:56expecting Brady Cook to play and the final line is in
01:01brother. This is three points less than I can't say that
01:04word. Alabama laid no way man. I'm on Missouri here. Brady
01:09Cook playing has I feel just like you Joe. You taught me
01:12well don't care that Brady Cook's playing. It's not about
01:14that. It's about the number not that I would sure I'll take
01:17Brady Cook playing right. I can't get there with South
01:20Carolina laying this type of number. I understand the
01:23performances that they've been putting on. You know you say
01:26they found something out this last month. It's just been good
01:28this year again like they are arguably Ole Miss's best
01:31performance of the season. Yes of the season. I know what
01:35happened last week. I stand by that like this to me though
01:38Joe's a spot where we're seeing South Carolina the top of the
01:41market. I think we can buy low on Missouri here. You bring up
01:44good points now from the series perspective. Missouri has won
01:47five straight. They've won those games by an average margin of
01:50victory of 13 points per game. They won this ball game 34 to 12
01:54last year but you have a team in South Carolina hitting on
01:57all cylinders. They Oklahoma win A&M and Vandy. They won those
02:01games by an average margin of victory of 23.6 points per game
02:05but it's not just a rushing attack. Back to back 200 yard
02:08performances right. 286 a couple weeks ago against A&M.
02:12They back it with 216 on the road in Nashville. That front
02:16seven is holding opposing offenses to 2.9 yards per carry.
02:20Back end is only giving up 195 passing yards per game. Holding
02:24opposing quarterbacks 55% completion percentage and I'll
02:28go back to the Alabama game. The thing that scares me is
02:30Bama Russ for 271 on them. I I they they shut down that
02:35offense. I granted it was limited without Nate Noel and
02:38and Brady Cook in that lineup. He played but did not complete
02:42the game. Right. They were limited. They more vanilla but
02:45they got beat up in the interior. I'm not suggesting
02:47maybe South Carolina is on the same level as Alabama but man
02:51they are close. They are running the football hard and
02:54shutting down the run. This is not a best bet for me but due
02:57to the physicality of the defense of South Carolina I
03:00would lay it at home. South Carolina's front seven. One of
03:03a few teams around the country with 30 plus sacks this year
03:07and also limiting opponents on the ground to less than 110
03:11yards and you're and you're right Kevin in terms of
03:13figuring it out. They have been a highly competitive team
03:15all season long. They are absolutely blitzing teams here
03:19as of late. They have covered in four consecutive games. Six
03:23of their seven in SEC play so far this season. The only non
03:26cover that loss at home against Ole Miss but as a favorite
03:31South Carolina has been as good as anybody with Shane Beamer
03:35since he became the head coach in Columbia back in 2021. Twelve
03:40and one against the spread. One of four FBS programs in the
03:44last three and a half years to cover in 70% or more of their
03:49games as the favorite side which also then leads to
03:52Missouri against Power Four competition this year. Two and
03:56four ATS. They're only two covers. Narrow wins against
04:00Auburn and last week in a wild ending against Oklahoma and oh
04:04by the way the Tigers and the Sooners are a combined two and
04:07ten in SEC action. For me, I look at the total in this game
04:12because Joe to your point, Missouri has had a lot of issue
04:17slowing down teams that are expected to beat them. Missouri
04:20as an underdog one and two ATS but over in two of those three
04:25games, they've allowed at least twenty-three points in all
04:28three and it's not just that defense that's great defending
04:31the run and providing pressure. It's also Lenora Sellers and
04:35Rocket Sanders who have been eating on the ground here in
04:37this three-week stretch. They have. I said 286 a couple weeks
04:41ago. They average well over six and a half yards per carry.
04:44They're averaging 180 yards heading into this matchup per
04:47game. Lenora Sellers is a mobile quarterback again and he's
04:50being protected in terms of third downs. When you protect
04:53the quarterback, you give your playmakers an opportunity in
04:56terms of one-on-one one-on-one matchups and that's what they're
05:00doing. Winning on third down as well from a defensive
05:02perspective. Thirty-four percent third down conversions
05:06and eleven interceptions on the year. That's that's a great
05:09recipe. This is going to be an interesting game because if
05:12Missouri can push the envelope, I think we'll get over this
05:15forty-one and a half but I need to see it before I believe it
05:18because I still believe Kev, Missouri's that finesse type of
05:22offense. They get pushed around by bigger defenses. I just want
05:25to make this point though with both of these two teams because
05:28we are getting closer and closer to people talking about
05:32the CFP and all the SCC bias, right? And you know that I know
05:38there was a comment. Oh, I'd I'd have a hard time leaving out of
05:40three loss SCC team and this okay. Missouri is seven and two
05:45and drink of it's had to beg essentially to for people to
05:49pretend like they could still make the playoff. Correct. When
05:52we all know they cannot make the playoff. They could win out
05:56finish ten and two in the SCC. I believe Ben preseason as
06:00someone who's in on Missouri. If I said, hey, they finished
06:03ten and two. Sure. You would have guaranteed yourself. You
06:06cash tickets on them making the playoff. Missouri is ranked.
06:09They should be ranked. I think that they are fine to be inside
06:12the top twenty-five but again, there is no SCC bias that is
06:16elevated Missouri into a conversation. We all know they
06:19do not belong in though II tell you, man, it'd be nice if the
06:24Big Ten could have a team of a Missouri or a South Carolina
06:28instead of insanely putting four teams in the top five and
06:32the same amount in the top twenty-five.