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00:00With Trump's re-election in the U.S., fears about a shift in the Ukraine war have started
00:05to emerge.
00:06While Trump's exact policy is unclear, he has previously said that as president he would
00:11settle the war within 24 hours, raising fears that he may reduce or cut off aid.
00:16In Kiev, analysts and policy experts are discussing the likely impact.
00:21Well, Trump is an incredibly unpredictable politician, maybe the most unpredictable politician
00:25who's ever been in the White House, so it's always a bit of a guessing game.
00:31I think what we can say is that fundamentally he's inclined to make a deal with Putin.
00:38Trump's world view is very much about the top players sitting down together at the table
00:43and making the deals and deciding everything amongst themselves.
00:47The Trump campaign suggested a deal to end the war could include blocking Ukraine's NATO
00:52and EU access, but optimism remains in Kiev.
00:56We'll see if President Trump will surprise us.
00:59We're not exactly sure yet what that surprise will be, but I think we are looking forward
01:04to working together with President Trump, with the new administration, with the transition team.
01:10Even if Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin come to an agreement to end
01:15the war in Ukraine, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky needs to agree to this.
01:21For many of Kiev's residents, the election results have only brought mixed feelings.
01:28The fact that he doesn't see it as an actual fight, but just as a misunderstanding between
01:32both the presidents, I'm really scared about what type of decision he can make.
01:37Maybe he can help us to solve this more quickly and this solution will benefit us. I hope so.
01:46Facing an uncertain fate, Ukraine's president, who was amongst the first to congratulate Trump,
01:52has appealed to the U.S. President-elect's commitment to peace through strength.
01:57Good day. We're here with Klaus Struntz, chief editor at Euronews.
02:13Good day.
02:14You've been working in Berlin as a journalist for 20 years.
02:19The end of the European Union, possible new elections in 2025.
02:24There have been problems for a long time. Why the divorce now?
02:29I think most Germans think it's finally over, because in the last weeks and months
02:35it has been a catastrophic representation of the government.
02:39Bad craft, bad sales, bad decisions.
02:43It's finally time to put an end to it.
02:45That's what Chancellor Olaf Scholz did yesterday.
02:48He dismissed his finance minister, Christian Lindner.
02:51That's a pretty unique act.
02:53After that, he also insulted him.
02:55That's an even more unique act.
02:57And with that, the worst government in the history of the Federal Republic of Germany is now at an end.
03:04Will the government crisis lead to a bad time for Europe?
03:09After Trump's re-election?
03:11Yes, the answer is clearly yes.
03:13This total collapse of the German government is at the same time a heart attack for Europe,
03:20because the most important power, the strongest partner, the most reliable partner
03:25is now in its weakest situation.
03:28All European partners, all partners worldwide, including the new American president Donald Trump,
03:34will ask themselves, can I rely on this chancellor and this government
03:40with whom it will come to an end anyway.
03:42With whom it will come to an end.
03:44It's just a matter of weeks and months.
03:46Is Germany still the reliable partner?
03:49And the answer from a political point of view is, of course, Germany is a reliable partner.
03:54But the acting people are just a few weeks and months away.
03:59And that's the weakest situation you can imagine.
04:02Germany and the USA are decisive supporters of the Ukrainians.
04:07What are the consequences of the new situation for Kiev?
04:11Yes, in the short term, today and tomorrow, none.
04:13The chancellor has determined, and it was important for him to mention this,
04:17that the support will remain and that nothing will change here.
04:21But the question is, can he still implement all that he intends to do now?
04:25And he himself seems to believe that, because from my point of view,
04:29he has made the wrong decision to remain in office
04:32instead of immediately stepping back or immediately freeing the way for new elections
04:38to give the citizens, the people in Germany, the opportunity to decide
04:42how they want Germany to be governed in the future.
04:45No, Olaf Scholz still wants to go on.
04:48Until Christmas he still wants to pass laws
04:52and then only on January 15th he wants to ask the so-called question of trust.
04:56What does that mean?
04:58It means that by the end of March next year, March 2025,
05:02as long as that is still possible, elections will be held.
05:05And until then, Germany is not a strong partner in Europe,
05:10but the weakling in Europe.
05:12Society in the USA is very divided.
05:16Is this also the case in Germany?
05:20The phenomenon of the complete division of our societies
05:23is, in principle, due to large parts of the Western world.
05:27America is the largest and now the most famous example by election.
05:32But also in Europe we see this trend in many countries and also in Germany.
05:36That is why the parties that are not currently in government
05:41benefit from this step that Olaf Scholz has now taken.
05:44And they will now stand up in such a way
05:47to achieve better results in the next year with possible new elections than they had.
05:53And this can result in a completely changed political landscape in Germany,
05:57which in turn has great significance for the radiance of Europe
06:02and for the role of Germany in Europe and for the politics of Germany in Europe.
06:06Which party benefits from Linz-Schachzug?
06:10I would say that the AfD benefits the most.
06:13Because the goal of the AfD, our far-right party in the political spectrum,
06:19has always been to destroy this government.
06:22This is a legitimate goal of an opposition.
06:25But in Germany there are many, many critical voices
06:29who say that if the AfD gets stronger and stronger,
06:32then the entire political climate in Germany,
06:35the entire position of Germany will change.
06:38Especially what Germany stands for.
06:41It worries many people, but it also gives hope to many people
06:45who wish for a change and not a continuous search.
06:59What will happen next in the war on our continent?
07:03Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election
07:06has cast a pall of uncertainty over the future of Ukraine.
07:10He had announced his intention to end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours, if elected.
07:17Mr. Trump has signaled his willingness and his capacity
07:22to secure a super quick peace deal,
07:25which could very well imply that Kiev would be forced
07:29to concede to Russian demands that it certainly doesn't want to, to end the war.
07:36On the corridors of the European Parliament, reactions are mixed.
07:41Delighted by Donald Trump's victory,
07:44this member of the far-right Patriots for Europe group
07:47certainly hopes that the end of the war in Ukraine is near,
07:50but also reaffirms his support for NATO.
07:56I hope we'll stop the war in Ukraine,
07:59and that everybody likes a solution, number one.
08:02And we are not involved in that, as you know.
08:04We support Ukraine, but we're not directly involved in that.
08:07That's one thing.
08:09The other thing is Europe must invest in defense.
08:12In defense, in defense industries,
08:15and because you don't have to make a war to have a defense.
08:20You prevent wars having a good defense.
08:24Faced with the return of America first and American non-interventionism,
08:28this socialist member, and former prime minister of Belgium,
08:31calls on the old continent to adopt its own industrial policy
08:35in areas such as energy, security and defense.
08:38There has not been this determined will
08:42to be at the forefront in terms of new technologies,
08:45to be at the forefront in terms of defense,
08:49in terms of our fellow citizens' own security.
08:54Today, we are totally dependent on the security of the United States.
09:00Within NATO, we must have our own capacity.
09:05We are friends with the United States,
09:09but I don't want to be the caniche of the United States.
09:13Although it is a bitter pill to swallow for some,
09:16others in Brussels hope that Donald Trump's victory
09:19will act as a wake-up call for Europe
09:21to finally take the reins of its own security and defense.
09:282024 will be the hottest year on record.
09:32According to the European Climate Service,
09:34this year's global average temperatures have been 0.71 degrees Celsius,
09:39above the 1991 to 2020 average.
09:42Copernicus Climate Change Service said this year
09:45has been 0.16 degrees Celsius warmer than last year.
09:50Our record goes back to 1940,
09:54but it's quite possible that this record stands on a much longer time series.
10:01And 2024 not only will be the warmest on record,
10:05but will also be the first calendar year
10:08above the psychologically important threshold
10:11of 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial.
10:15Limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius
10:18is one of the main goals of the Paris Agreement.
10:21Though a year-long breach doesn't mean this long-term target has been missed,
10:25what experts warn the world is getting dangerously close.
10:28If you look back at the ozone hole,
10:30we managed to get together as a global community and find a solution.
10:34Now the problem is incredibly more complex,
10:36has to do with our economic model,
10:39has to do with our way of using resources,
10:41and inevitably this means much more complex conversation.
10:46Scientists say the latest data should be a cause for concern
10:50ahead of next week's COP29 UN Climate Conference.