MEDI1TV Afrique : MEDI1 SOIR 20:00 - 04/11/2024
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00:00New information on Mediantev Africa, thank you for joining us for this round of non-relative news.
00:23At 8-1 of the presidential election in the United States, no poll manages to divide Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, ever.
00:30The outcome of a presidential duel had been as unpredictable as the details in a few moments.
00:39In the Middle East, Israel has officially informed the UN of the interdiction of UNRWA,
00:44considered as the backbone, with the help of the refugees in the occupied Palestinian territories.
00:53Six days after the floods that killed at least 217 people in Spain,
00:57water tremors fell on Barcelona.
01:00We meet again right now for the debate.
01:07Welcome, ladies and gentlemen, and without further ado,
01:09let's take a tour of this historic presidential campaign in the United States.
01:24In the United States, the outcome of a presidential duel had been as unpredictable as the details in a few moments.
01:30At 8-1 of the presidential election in the United States, no poll manages to divide Kamala Harris and Donald Trump,
01:36ever.
01:37Out of 244 million voters, nearly 80 million Americans, including Harris,
01:42have already voted in advance.
01:44Explanations with Sheyma Fikrine.
01:48Harris or Trump, the suspense is at its peak.
01:51These are the last crucial hours of a historic campaign for the White House.
01:55The two candidates face each other on Monday in the last electoral meeting,
01:59on the eve of a vote on the major issues for the United States and the rest of the world.
02:04This American presidential election sees two radically opposite personalities.
02:09On the one hand, the current Democratic Vice President,
02:12who in July replaced President Joe Biden.
02:15At the age of 60, Kamala Harris could become, on Tuesday,
02:19the first woman to lead the first economic and military power on the planet.
02:32We have a day before deciding the fate of our nation,
02:35and this is what feeds my mind when I travel across our beautiful country.
02:39From one state to another and in the different churches,
02:42I see a nation determined to turn the page of hatred and division
02:46and to draw a new path.
02:58Facing her, the former Republican President Donald Trump,
03:01author of a spectacular political comeback after leaving the White House in 2021,
03:07in a chaotic context.
03:09The General Septuagint escaped two procedures of dismissal
03:13and was sentenced to justice.
03:22All I can say is that on Tuesday, we just have to go and vote.
03:25We're going to put an end to all this, and it will be done.
03:28That's really all you need to know.
03:30Democratic candidate Kamala Harris broke everything,
03:33but I'm going to fix everything, and we're going to do it very quickly.
03:41The two rivals say they are confident in their victory,
03:44but in reality, the competition is so rough
03:47that only a few tens of thousands of votes could decide the outcome of the scrutiny.
03:52All this is played by seven well-identified swing states,
03:55which the two claimants to the White House have been sitting on for months,
03:58spending hundreds of millions of dollars.
04:01Of these seven states, the one that offers the most voters is Pennsylvania.
04:05It is therefore logical in this state that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump
04:09are throwing their last strength this Monday,
04:11in an end to a tense and anxious campaign.
04:14These last hours are therefore said to be busy for the two rivals.
04:17The Vice President will go to Scranton, Joe Biden's hometown,
04:21and then to the two main cities of the state, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.
04:26At this last stage, she should receive the support of several stars,
04:30including Proud Winfrey, Lady Gaga or LeBron James.
04:34After a first meeting in Raleigh, North Carolina,
04:37Donald Trump puts the cap on Reading and Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania,
04:41before ending his marathon day in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
04:48And to find out more, ladies and gentlemen, about the issues of this American election,
04:52we meet live from Washington,
04:54Abdulrahman Dia, editor-in-chief of The Voice of America.
04:58Good evening and thank you for responding to our invitation.
05:03Good evening.
05:05Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are facing each other this Monday,
05:09in the last election meeting,
05:12on the eve of a vote on the critical issues for the United States and the rest of the world.
05:17What assessment can we draw from this campaign?
05:22It was a close battle to the end,
05:27and even today it is almost impossible to know who is ahead,
05:32because the polls are so tight.
05:34Most of the polls in the key states,
05:37these famous swing states,
05:39don't give a difference of more than three points.
05:42In most of them, it's one or two points.
05:44So what we're going to learn from this campaign, globally,
05:47is the proof, once again,
05:49that American society is more and more polarized
05:53between the conservative wing, more and more to the right,
05:57and the progressive wing, more and more to the left.
06:00The environment is becoming more and more difficult to find today,
06:06if we can put it this way,
06:07in the lives of many, in any case.
06:09And it is precisely this battle for the environment,
06:11the battle for those who are still undecided,
06:14that we are observing with this cross-hunting in the pivot states.
06:19Today, there are only a few people left to convince,
06:23in the opinion of many analysts.
06:25More than 80 million people have already voted,
06:28and we expect an extremely high participation rate,
06:32which could exceed that of 2020,
06:35which was around 66%.
06:38Each of the two rivals said they were confident of victory,
06:42but in reality, the competition seems so tight,
06:45as you just read,
06:46that only a few tens of thousands of votes
06:49could decide the outcome of this scrutiny.
06:54Absolutely, you are right,
06:56and this election is considered by many
06:59as being one of the most unpredictable in the history of the United States,
07:04because the stakes are so high.
07:08Moreover, in these key states,
07:13the two candidates have made several rounds.
07:16They left, they came back,
07:18whether it's Michigan or Pennsylvania.
07:21Pennsylvania, with its 19 great voters, a great prize.
07:25Many analysts think that the one or the other
07:28who will win Pennsylvania
07:30could win this presidential election,
07:33so a truly unpredictable election.
07:36The United States, a federal country,
07:38has an indirect universal suffrage system
07:41that crowns the candidate,
07:43who manages to gather a majority of the 538 great voters,
07:48or at least 270.
07:50Can we therefore say that this is a very complex electoral system?
07:56Absolutely, and the debate to revise this electoral system
08:02is not a new debate.
08:04The Democrats are in favor of what is now happening in the electoral college,
08:10since the states that traditionally vote for Democrats,
08:14like California or New York,
08:16are much more populated.
08:18But, as you know,
08:20changing the American constitution is very, very complicated,
08:24so we are very far from any revision of this electoral system.
08:30So it is up to these candidates to fight until tomorrow
08:35to have these 270 great voters,
08:38and everyone is focusing today on the seven pivotal states,
08:43including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and many others.
08:51Donald Trump decided to make a cap this Monday
08:55on Reading and Pittsburgh in Pennsylvania
08:58before ending his marathon day in Michigan.
09:02Will the voices of the Arab community make a difference
09:05or create a surprise, in your opinion?
09:09That's what Donald Trump's camp is hoping for,
09:13since we know, it's not a secret,
09:16that the Arab community, in the United States in particular,
09:19the very important one in Michigan,
09:23is not very happy with the way the Biden administration
09:28has managed the Middle East crisis,
09:31and it estimates that the administration should do more.
09:35So the fear for the Democrats is that a good part of this Muslim community
09:40that traditionally votes for Democrats stays at home,
09:43or even some in this community have voted for Donald Trump.
09:48But it is above all the fear that people stay at home.
09:51So maybe Donald Trump's campaign has seen an opening there.
09:56But it's not just the Muslim community in Michigan.
09:59Michigan, the city of Detroit, is the capital of automobiles,
10:06and Donald Trump hopes to have as many voices as possible
10:09with this working class,
10:12but also in urban areas where the African-American community
10:16is also very present, especially in Detroit.
10:19In fact, some polls seem to suggest that the African community,
10:25especially in the male electorate,
10:31that the Democrats may not have as many voices
10:36in this traditional base that they are used to winning.
10:40Two Americans out of three,
10:43a division that seems to be digging deeper, isn't it?
10:53Absolutely. Even here in Washington,
10:56we saw this morning that dams were erected around large federal buildings,
11:02including the Congress, around the White House,
11:05and other federal government buildings.
11:07Indeed, there is a palpable and somewhat visible tension.
11:11Is it to take the lead, to ensure that there is no overflow?
11:15Does this translate into a certain psychosis, which in the opinion of some is real?
11:20In any case, many hope that the elections will unfold well
11:25and that there will be no skirmishes.
11:27But indeed, there is indeed some concern
11:31that in some parts of the country there may be incidents here and there.
11:36A presidential election for the White House.
11:40Thank you again, Abdelrahman Dia.
11:42I remind you that you are editor-in-chief of Voice of America
11:46and you are interviewing us live from Washington
11:49in prelude to this presidential election on Tuesday.
11:53Purchasing power, citizens, management of migratory flows
11:57are among the key themes of this American electoral campaign,
12:01and not the only ones.
12:03Hicham Kastraoui, consultant in strategy,
12:06expert at the Moroccan Institute of Strategic Intelligence,
12:09returns to the issues of this American election.
12:12There are five key themes that have structured this campaign
12:17to choose the 47th president of the United States.
12:21The first theme is undoubtedly the purchasing power,
12:25which has been very impacted by the successive waves of inflation
12:29that the United States has experienced, like the rest of the world,
12:33for the various reasons we know.
12:35There is a second topic that comes up in this campaign
12:38around immigration,
12:40which is one of the very strong themes of the Republican Congress.
12:44There is also the theme of abortion and reproductive rights for women,
12:49which is also a very important theme
12:52and perhaps one of the themes that will decide
12:56the result of the votes of the Americans this year.
13:01And then there are also all the themes of foreign policy,
13:06in particular to decide on the American approach
13:09vis-à-vis the major conflicts that the world is currently experiencing,
13:12notably the war in Ukraine or the war in the Middle East.
13:15And then the theme of climate,
13:17which is also part of the divided issues
13:20between the two Republican and Democrat camps.
13:23What is also very particular about this campaign
13:27is that for the first time in history,
13:30it is a campaign that is both very tight,
13:33we are talking about only a few thousand,
13:36even a few tens of thousands of votes
13:38that will decide on the next tenant of the White House.
13:42And this puts an additional tension on this campaign,
13:47especially in the so-called pivotal states,
13:49the swing states,
13:51which could decide on the outcome of these elections.
13:56It is an election that is also very polarized,
14:00in the sense that the two camps are not only in political competition
14:04to place their candidate in the White House,
14:07but there is a real clash of two visions
14:11that are very contradictory,
14:13both from the United States and from the world,
14:15which creates an additional tension at the level of American society.
14:19And then the third characteristic is that it is a very gendered election.
14:23We are talking about gender gap these last days of the campaign
14:27because for the first time,
14:28we have a considerable gap in the intentions of voting
14:31between women and men.
14:34What credibility must be given to the polls
14:37in this American campaign?
14:39For Hicham Khasrawi,
14:41consultant in strategy and expert at the Moroccan Institute of Strategic Intelligence,
14:45the Americans are not safe from any surprises.
14:50There are several polls,
14:52they come out and are updated almost every day,
14:55even several times a day.
14:56What should be remembered from these polls
14:58are three striking facts.
15:00The first is that we are not safe from any surprises this year
15:05because, for example,
15:07the case of the state of Iowa,
15:09which was a state that was classically and historically acquired
15:13for the Republican camp
15:15and which was won twice by candidate Trump,
15:18we see this year that it is rather Kamala Harris
15:23who is ahead in this state,
15:25which is quite surprising
15:27and therefore it means that we have to expect everything for this campaign.
15:31The second striking fact that all the polls highlight
15:34is that, finally, the vote of minorities,
15:36whether African-American, Hispanic or Arab-American populations,
15:39are not necessarily acquired either
15:41and that these minorities would not necessarily vote
15:45as they usually vote for several reasons.
15:48And the third fact also highlighted by the polls
15:51is that, as I said earlier,
15:53in relation to the gender gap issue,
15:56there is indeed a gap that is confirmed
15:59in the voting intentions
16:01according to the gender of the voters.
16:05In this race to access the Oval Office,
16:08Kamala Harris and Donald Trump
16:10bet on this decisive state,
16:12called the swing states.
16:14Souad Jalil comes back to the crucial role of these key states.
16:19The swing states, or the power to overthrow American elections.
16:23Every four years, during the American presidential election,
16:26two types of states are distinguished.
16:28The first are those where the outcome of the vote is almost certain.
16:31The so-called swing states are those where the result is uncertain.
16:35In these states, voters oscillate between the candidates
16:38and from one election to the other,
16:40Republicans and Democrats can win.
16:42These swing states, sometimes nicknamed purple states,
16:46in connection with purple,
16:48mix Democrat blue and Republican red,
16:50or battleground states,
16:52which have the ability to overturn an election.
16:55Indeed, if a candidate arrives in one of these states,
16:58he wins all the votes of the major voters associated with him,
17:01according to the principle of winner takes it all,
17:04that is, the winner wins everything.
17:06However, there are two exceptions to this principle.
17:09The states of Maine and Nebraska
17:11apply a proportional distribution system of the major voters,
17:14which means that the number of major voters allocated
17:17is proportional to the number of votes obtained.
17:20This year, the states that will be decisive for the outcome of the poll
17:23are Arizona, North Carolina, Florida, Georgia,
17:26Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
17:32In 2020, Joe Biden had won all these states,
17:35with the exception of North Carolina.
17:37However, this year, the situation is difficult for Democrats,
17:41especially in Arizona, where Donald Trump's firm positions
17:44on issues such as immigration find an eco-favorable
17:47among some voters of this border state of Mexico.
17:51However, American political life can be full of surprises.
17:54In 2016, for example, Michigan was not considered a swing state,
17:58the cradle of the automotive industry around Detroit
18:01had never been unfaithful to the Democratic Party since 1992,
18:06same thing in Wisconsin.
18:08This year again, Donald Trump dreams of causing a surprise
18:11by overtaking, for example, the New Hampshire.
18:14On the contrary, Kamala Harris did not completely give up
18:17and won Florida.
18:19In the last straight line, this presidential campaign
18:22looks like a chess game.
18:25The rivalry between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is full.
18:29The two rivals are radically opposed,
18:31especially on their economic vision.
18:33Each of them seeks to make their electoral program
18:36more convenient to American reality.
18:39Details with Sheyma Fikri.
18:44While Americans are preparing to go to the polling station,
18:47economic issues are at the heart of their concerns,
18:50because their vote is determined by the impact of economic conditions
18:54on their daily lives.
18:56Voters aspire to economic stability and job creation,
19:00and in order to appease the fears of their voters,
19:02the two rivals promise strong economic growth
19:05and low inflation.
19:07In a speech made in Pennsylvania,
19:09Kamala Harris described herself as a pragmatic capitalist,
19:13underlining her commitment to economic policies
19:16of President Joe Biden,
19:18by increasing public subsidies for housing,
19:20child care and the national manufacturing industry.
19:24On the other hand, Donald Trump spoke on the subject
19:27in a speech in Savannah, Georgia.
19:29The former American president presented a plan
19:32for what he called a renaissance of the American manufacturing industry.
19:36He also promised during his speech
19:38to steal jobs from other countries if he was re-elected,
19:41at a low tax rate and very high customs rights.
19:44Donald Trump therefore seeks to impose customs rights
19:47on all imports,
19:49while Kamala Harris focuses rather
19:51on improving subsidies for green technologies.
19:54Trump thinks that vast tax cuts would revive the economy.
19:58Harris, on the other hand,
19:59advises to increase the taxes of the rich
20:01and to increase aid to the poor
20:03in order to reduce the economic gap,
20:05even if they present themselves as militants
20:07for the development of the industry.
20:09Trump and Harris both have radically different economic goals.
20:15In addition to Donald Trump and Kamala Harris,
20:17three other candidates have also embarked
20:20on the American presidential race.
20:22Even if their chances of victory are almost non-existent,
20:26they want to have an impact on the outcome of this scrutiny.
20:29I'm Gélile, see you later.
20:33Gilles Stein, Cornel West or Chase Oliver,
20:36who are these outsiders?
20:38They are called the third candidates,
20:40the independents often presented as the fifth wheel
20:43of the American presidential carousel,
20:45which has always been, and with few exceptions,
20:48a duel between two mastodons,
20:50the Democratic Party and the Republican Party.
20:52Gilles Stein, doctor of trade,
20:54graduated from Harvard,
20:56is the candidate of the Green Party
20:58for the American presidential election,
21:00whose mantra is summarized in three words
21:02People, Planet, Peace.
21:04This environmentalist militant
21:06wants to fight against climate change.
21:08She defends a charter of economic rights
21:10that would include universal access to health care
21:12and the right to employment.
21:14She is in favor of free public education
21:16and also wants to defend access to abortion
21:18and the rights of transgender people.
21:20Gilles Stein is strongly committed to the war in Gaza
21:22and supports the Palestinian people.
21:24She also wants to withdraw American support for Ukraine.
21:27Robert Kennedy Jr., the independent who supports Trump,
21:30a smooth time for the investment of the Democratic Party
21:33before giving it up.
21:34Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
21:36had thought of joining the Libertarian Party
21:38before choosing to present himself
21:40under the label of an independent.
21:42This environmental law lawyer
21:44has made himself known since the COVID-19 pandemic
21:47for his fight against vaccines
21:49and his interest in conspiracy theories.
21:51Since then, he has been rejected
21:53by a large part of the Kennedy clan.
21:55Cornel West, another independent candidate,
21:57this university student who taught at Harvard
21:59and now at Princeton,
22:01is a specialist in racial issues in the United States.
22:03He defines himself as a non-Marxist socialist
22:05and supported the first Democratic presidential elections
22:08of Senator Bernie Sanders in 2016 and 2020.
22:11Cornel West would like to end the permanent fire in Gaza
22:14and the Israeli withdrawal from the Palestinian territory.
22:17He also said that he would cut all American aid to Ukraine
22:20and would like the end of NATO.
22:22He wants free health care for all American residents
22:25or wants to stop oil and gas leasing projects
22:28on federal lands.
22:30Chase Oliver of the Libertarian Party,
22:32the one who joined the Libertarian Party in 2010,
22:34defines himself as a pro-weapon.
22:36He wants to withdraw the United States from any conflict abroad
22:39and thus reduce support for Ukraine and Israel.
22:42He wants to decriminalize the consumption and possession of drugs
22:45and wants to simplify the process of obtaining
22:47the citizenship of immigrants.
22:49Randall Terry or Peter Sonski,
22:51other candidates will appear on the ballot in some states,
22:54like Randall Terry of the Constitution Party.
22:57This 65-year-old man is an anti-abortion figure in the United States.
23:01Peter Sonski, a candidate for the American Solidarity Party,
23:04is also in LIS.
23:06He wants to defend the family and also fights against abortion.
23:09So many candidates for the conquest of the West,
23:12that he will take more than a few days to know.
23:20Israel and the UN
23:26In the Middle East, while the Gaza Strip is plunged
23:29into a humanitarian disaster after more than a year of war,
23:33Israel officially informed the UN today
23:35of the ban on black milk in the occupied Palestinian territories.
23:39The UN Office for Palestinian Refugees
23:42is considered, like the spine, to help the refugees.
23:46The latter said that its ban in Israel
23:50could cause the collapse of the aid system in the Gaza Strip.
24:01And then we go to Spain,
24:03where six days after the floods that killed at least 217 people,
24:07the rescuers continue their search in the region of Valencia,
24:11in Barcelona.
24:13And if the Spanish Meteorological Agency
24:16has officially assured this Monday
24:19that the situation of the meteorological crisis
24:22had ended in the region of Valencia,
24:25the concerns are to move some 350 kilometers
24:28further north, also in Barcelona,
24:31placed on red alert.
24:35Spain
24:40The king and queen went to meet the victims
24:44of the floods in Valencia,
24:47in the south-east of the country,
24:49devastated by the rising waters.
24:51Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez was also yesterday
24:54in Paiporta, a municipality of 25,000 inhabitants,
24:57among the most affected by the tragedy.
25:00The Spanish authorities were welcomed
25:03by residents of Valencia in anger.
25:06In the evening, the king said in a video posted on X
25:11that it was necessary to understand the anger and frustration
25:14of the inhabitants because of what they suffered.
25:22And then let's talk literature with the writer Kamel Daud,
25:26who won this Monday the Goncourt,
25:29the most prestigious French literary prize for Horace,
25:32fiction on the massacres of the black decade in Algeria
25:36between 1992 and 2002,
25:39which is therefore forbidden in the country.
25:42After the novel that Jean-Baptiste Andréa
25:45watched on it, rewarded last year,
25:48the Goncourt Academy has made the choice
25:51of a more political fiction and crowns a book
25:54where the lyricism has also disappeared
25:57with the tragedy that Kamel Daud is involved in.
26:00He was in Lys in front of Gael Fay,
26:03finally the laureate of Renaudot for his second novel,
26:06Jacaranda, a success of the library
26:09and two less known authors, Sandrine Collette and Hélène Gaudy.
26:17This is the end of this news.
26:19Thank you for following it.
26:21See you soon for more TV Africa.