Femi Abebefe breaks down the Big 12 and who is the Best Bet to make the CFB Playoffs.
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00:00This could potentially be a one-bid league.
00:02Like right now, if you ask me,
00:03will the Big 12 get one or two teams?
00:05You set a market, one and a half, I would bet the under.
00:07I think the Big 12 is only gonna get one team
00:09just because it's seen as not as good
00:11of a power for a conference as the SEC or the Big 10.
00:14Like the ACC and Big 12 are seen as less than
00:17than those two big behemoths, SEC and Big 10.
00:19So for me, in terms of betting a team
00:21to make the playoff out of the Big 12,
00:23instead of betting them to make the playoff,
00:25I think you should go ahead
00:26and bet them to win the conference.
00:27I think that's the much better route
00:29because look at the discrepancy
00:31between the two of the CFP price and the conference price.
00:34For BYU, who's right now the favorite in the conference,
00:37they're plus 185 to win the Big 12.
00:39They're minus 155 to make the playoff.
00:42I don't think BYU can make the playoff
00:44if they don't win the Big 12.
00:45Like I get they're undefeated right now,
00:47but that conference is not respected
00:48like the SEC and the Big 10 are.
00:50So I would rather bet BYU plus 185 than BYU minus 155.
00:55Iowa State, they're the same price.
00:57Plus 250 to make the playoff, plus 250 to make the Big 12.
01:00But the one that I think is really interesting
01:01and the one that I do want to bet right now,
01:03and I think everybody else should bet it as well,
01:05it's the longer price of those three teams to the top.
01:07And that's the Colorado Buffaloes.
01:09Like imagine that.
01:10Coach Prime, Shadur, Travis Hunter, we coming.
01:13We might be here.
01:15Colorado to make the playoff, plus 240
01:17to win the Big 12, plus 350.
01:20They were on BYU last week.
01:21They had a really big time week
01:23with Iowa State losing, Kansas State losing.
01:25These teams are dropping like flies.
01:28For Colorado, who's probably going to be favored
01:29in their final four games,
01:30has a clear path to make the playoff.
01:32Not saying that it's going to be easy,
01:33but if they do win out,
01:35they can get to the Big 12 title game.
01:36And at that point, you could be holding plus 350
01:38on Colorado to win the Big 12
01:40with a chance to win and get in the playoff
01:42and not just win the conference.
01:44So for me, Colorado plus 350 to win the Big 12
01:47is the bet to be made ahead of this weekend's games
01:50because BYU's at Utah, the Holy War,
01:52insanely, insanely heated rivalry in that one.
01:55Then Iowa State on the road at Kansas,
01:57a field goal favorite.
01:58These are coin flip games and BYU and Iowa State
02:01having to play Utah on the road,
02:02Colorado gets them at home.
02:03I think this is a really good spot
02:05to bet the Buffaloes plus 350 to win the conference.
02:08All right, we'll bring, first off,
02:10you're a college sports fan, you gotta love that.
02:12Colorado in the playoff would be absolutely amazing
02:14at that price.
02:15I'm in.
02:16I mean, imagine the rating on a Colorado Big 12 title game.
02:20Oh, God.
02:21A Colorado playoff game?
02:23Let me think, like what seed,
02:26if Colorado won the Big 12,
02:27they'd be a top five seed, right?
02:28I'm trying to think of what like the most fun game
02:30for Colorado would be.
02:32It would likely be a four seed, which is wild.
02:35They would get the buy,
02:36so they would get into the quarterfinal
02:37because you're gonna be talking about that,
02:39like if they win out, they'll get rated higher
02:41than the group of five champion.
02:42So like, they would be a four seed in the college,
02:45to where they're already into the quarterfinal
02:47and they're already playing like a big time bull.