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مدي 1 تي في : MEDI1 SOIR 20:00 - 01/11/2024

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12:15The worst natural disasters in recent decades.
12:19This is how the Spanish authorities described the floods that swept the south-east of Spain,
12:24specifically in the city of Valencia.
12:28The floods left a huge mudslide and great destruction in the infrastructure, houses and roads.
12:35The death toll continues to rise as the search and rescue operations continue.
12:41Residents are still shocked by the horror of the scene.
12:49Yes, I saw bodies floating near me. I called, but nothing.
12:57The current takes cars and swims. It was the end of the great world.
13:06Suddenly, in the middle of the afternoon, without rain or anything else,
13:11we said, what is happening?
13:13It was an ice floe of water. Everything was completely submerged.
13:17And it turned everything you look at, into a kind of puddle.
13:21Where the streets were like rivers, where the water flowed at full speed.
13:26And no one gave us any warning.
13:29Floods flooded the streets and squares, causing the collapse of bridges and cars.
13:36At the same time, the amount of rain that fell in just eight hours was 491 liters per square meter.
13:45It equals the amount of rain that falls in a whole year in Spain.
13:50Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez asked citizens to stay in their homes.
13:56He said that the priority of the government is to find the missing people.
14:00He also promised to provide all the necessary resources, no matter how difficult it is,
14:05to help meet the urgent needs of the affected areas and rebuild them.
14:11The Spanish government has mobilized a large number of people.
14:15The Spanish government has mobilized a large number of people.
14:19More than 1,100 people from the military units, most of them in Valencia,
14:24more than 1,800 people from the National Police,
14:27750 people from the Civil Guard, 200 soldiers,
14:31335 boats, a helicopter, and a plane requested by the regional authorities.
14:38Valencia and the Mediterranean coast of Spain witness in general in the autumn,
14:45the so-called Gotafria weather phenomenon, i.e. the cold spot.
14:50It is a low, isolated climate at high altitudes,
14:54caused by the sudden and very violent rains that last for several days.
15:00Scientists warn that extreme weather phenomena, such as hot waves and storms,
15:06have become more frequent, longer-term, and more severe due to climate change.
15:20The American presidential elections
15:27Now for the American presidential elections.
15:42More than 58 million Americans, i.e. 36% of the voters,
15:48cast their votes early in the early voting period,
15:51in the form of the elections scheduled for November 5.
15:55A major American press release from the states in the country
16:00allows early voting by mail,
16:04to increase the percentage of participants,
16:07and reduce pressure on offices on the day of the election,
16:10and avoid the possibility of arresting people unable to move to the polling stations.
16:19Washington, D.C.
16:23In addition to the press releases on the roads,
16:26press releases and campaigns aimed at the Internet,
16:31TV announcements remain very important for the candidates' efforts
16:36to strengthen their image and confront their opponents.
16:41With us to discuss this is Washington, D.C.
16:43Mohamed Saeed Al-Wafi, a media expert in American affairs.
16:46Welcome, Mr. Al-Wafi.
16:48Welcome, Mr. Abdullah, and dear viewers.
16:52Mr. Al-Wafi, what is the impact of TV announcements
16:57on the US presidential elections, especially in the states?
17:03An important question.
17:04The announcements in the states.
17:07Four out of every five dollars spent in this campaign
17:13went to the major states,
17:16which are Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia,
17:19North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada.
17:23This means that from $10.5 billion,
17:28if divided by the amount spent in the announcements in this campaign,
17:33$10.5 billion,
17:35compared to the 2020 campaign,
17:39$19 billion,
17:42$1 billion higher.
17:44Democrats outperformed Republicans by $5 billion,
17:50starting in June 2023.
17:57So, 23 states spent more than $100 million in election spending,
18:03while Pennsylvania,
18:06which is one of the most popular states,
18:11spent $1.2 billion.
18:16Mr. Abdullah, the numbers are very high this year.
18:21We can say that the competition for the most popular states
18:28was at its peak,
18:30to the extent that the Democratic Party
18:34claimed the amount of spending.
18:41This is what some people interpret
18:44as Donald Trump leading a moderate campaign
18:47in terms of spending,
18:49based on his electoral base.
18:52But after the transition from Joseph Biden,
18:55who spent almost $111 million,
18:59Donald Trump had to expand this circle,
19:03and the donations increased
19:06after the first and second assassination attempts,
19:11as it was a strong push for the Republican voters
19:16to support him with money.
19:18Let me give you some numbers.
19:20For example, Democrats outperformed in spending
19:24in all these states.
19:26For example, in Pennsylvania,
19:28Democrats spent $308 million.
19:32In Georgia, $171 million.
19:35In Michigan, $273 million.
19:40These are the names of the institutions
19:43that are being exported.
19:44The first five.
19:46Kamala Harris spent $513 million
19:51from the Democratic budget,
19:54while $441 million
19:59was also spent by a Democratic institution
20:02called FFPAC.
20:04Then comes MAGA,
20:06to make America great again,
20:09a movement founded by Donald Trump.
20:12He spent $360 million.
20:15Then comes the Democrats in the Senate,
20:18to win the House of Representatives
20:21with $353 million.
20:25Finally, Trump for President,
20:28with $327 million.
20:33This is my last calculation.
20:35It talks about what is the most spent.
20:38Advertisements.
20:40You are talking about advertisements.
20:42$36 million was spent on one ad
20:46since October 22.
20:49The numbers you see on the screen.
20:52That's right.
20:53Go ahead.
20:55After that, I have an ad
20:58led by Trump,
20:59with $26 million.
21:02It also started in October.
21:05So, I think I've burdened you with millions.
21:09But, in fact,
21:11it's the most expensive campaign ever.
21:13Yes.
21:14I understand that the Democrats
21:17are the most stingy
21:19when it comes to advertising
21:22and highlighting their party's image.
21:24Can you explain this stinginess
21:26of the Democrats?
21:27How does the democratic mind
21:30work when it comes to
21:33advertising, highlighting,
21:35and marketing the party's image
21:37in the United States?
21:39Can you give me comparisons
21:41about the strategy of advertising
21:43between the Republicans and the Democrats
21:46in these elections?
21:48Yes.
21:49Abdullah, when I was with you
21:52in the news,
21:54I used to say that Donald Trump
21:56might win.
21:57Then I said that Donald Trump
21:58will win.
21:59I used to rely on these numbers
22:01and they are biased.
22:02The numbers I have today
22:04are based on the date of the day.
22:06I used to rely on those
22:08who spend more on advertising.
22:10The majority of my dependence
22:12was on the following.
22:13Those who spend more on advertising
22:15are the ones who feel that they are
22:17backed up,
22:18not by opinions that I don't believe.
22:21But those who spend more
22:23need more votes.
22:25Biden used to spend more,
22:28and Kamala Harris used to spend more,
22:31while Trump used to spend
22:33in a moderate way.
22:35The strategy that is used now
22:37is as follows.
22:39In the last days of the campaign,
22:41the money that is not spent
22:43will turn into frozen money.
22:46The candidate will not benefit from it
22:49under the law in the United States.
22:52Therefore, spending will increase.
22:55This is the first point.
22:56The second point is that you focus
22:58on the states that you feel
23:00are decisive,
23:02and those that are favorable,
23:05and those states that have
23:08misleading opinions.
23:11What do misleading opinions mean?
23:14What do decisive states mean?
23:16What do favorable states mean?
23:18Misleading statements are
23:20statements that are made
23:22by institutions.
23:24Without your party,
23:26for example, the Democratic Party
23:28requires institutions to make
23:30statements.
23:31Coincidentally, these statements
23:33come in favor of Kamala Harris,
23:35or in favor of the Republicans.
23:38The Republicans believe that
23:40they are superior in this state,
23:42and they ignore it.
23:44As a result, a surprise happens,
23:46and this is what happened to Barack Obama
23:48in Michigan in 2008.
23:50No, not in Michigan.
23:55He was in Aksa Al-Shamal,
23:59in Iowa.
24:01After Iowa, he had this problem.
24:03The president said that he would win,
24:06but he did not win.
24:09Then there are the favorable states.
24:12The favorable states are
24:14the main problem.
24:16The candidate looks at the states
24:18and says that 2004 was democratic,
24:222008 was republican,
24:252012 was democratic.
24:28He decides to direct the spending
24:31or not direct it.
24:33If he has alternatives in other favorable states,
24:36he is more certain that he will win.
24:39He may give up some of the favorable states
24:42if he has no hope of winning them,
24:46plus they are favorable,
24:48he is more likely to win
24:50with numbers that may exceed 10 points.
24:53Then there are the dominant states,
24:55which are not favorable states.
24:57For example, Florida is a dominant state.
25:00If I wanted, as a democrat,
25:02to withdraw Florida from the Republicans,
25:05I might decide to spend
25:07plus 10% of the ads in that state
25:11to crowd them,
25:13which is called the race tactic.
25:16Instead of defending the democratic states,
25:19I try to attack the republican states.
25:23This is the dependent tactic.
25:26Those who want to read the US elections
25:29should always read it as a multi-party company.
25:33The American mentality, as we know,
25:36is related to fame and advertising
25:40to encourage spending.
25:43The American citizen spends a lot
25:46and wants to be influenced by the American advertising.
25:50Therefore, what are the main issues
25:53that the political announcements focus on this year,
25:57and how do these issues reflect
26:00the cultural divisions in American society?
26:04An important question as well, Abdullah.
26:08The issues start with the dominant priorities,
26:13and end with the decisive ideological issues.
26:17For example, in these elections,
26:20there is an important issue
26:22that was not in the days of the dominant priorities,
26:25which are the borders.
26:27Immigration was one of the dominant priorities.
26:30Eviction was one of the dominant priorities.
26:33Government spending was one of the dominant priorities.
26:36These were always dominant priorities.
26:39But for the security of the borders in the United States,
26:43the most powerful country in the world,
26:46to turn the security of the borders into a dominant priority,
26:50this means that the financial manager
26:53of any election campaign,
26:55whether for the democrats or the republicans,
26:58will be faced with difficult choices.
27:01Should I attack my opponent in the dominant priorities,
27:06or attack him in the traditional priorities?
27:09For example, the issue of eviction.
27:11This year, I might say that Donald Trump
27:14was spending a lot of money
27:17on advertising the security of the borders.
27:20He said to the voters,
27:22you are not safe in the United States.
27:25There are criminals, drugs, kidnappings, etc.
27:30And then he will be misguided,
27:32as we said in one of his speeches.
27:34Thank you very much, Mr. Mohammed Saeed Al-Wafi,
27:37the media and expert in the US,
27:39for all these explanations.
27:50Thank you to all the viewers for watching.
27:53See you next time.
27:55Goodbye.
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