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00:00LSU now a top 10 team ranked eighth in the country and they take that new
00:07ranking on the road to match up against Arkansas. Joe Lisi, this line has been
00:13all over the place all week two and a half at its open always under a field
00:18goal became a virtual pick'em just about 48 hours ago and now on this Saturday as
00:24we get ready for prime time in Fayetteville working back to the Bayou
00:28Bengals a two and a half point spread and if you want to keep it under that
00:31flat number of three you got to play a pretty you got to pay a pretty hefty
00:36penny of juice on that number how do you believe LSU and Arkansas match up
00:42tonight in Fayetteville? Well close game last two games have been decided by a
00:45total of six points three points apiece last year was 34 31 KJ Jefferson lit up
00:51that secondary but you got Arkansas coming out of a bye week last win was
00:56against Tennessee that was a dominant defensive effort to contain Nikko to
01:00only 14 points and the Volunteers they shut down the rushing attack made them
01:04one-dimensional and on the flip side Nussmeier only 47% completion
01:09percentage if you watch an LSU game and Kevin can attest you need a bottle of
01:12Tums because they you know South Carolina Ole Miss it doesn't get closer
01:19than that they've won seven of the last eight in the series I'll say this this
01:23is one of my better picks for the day I really like LSU and it's not for the
01:26offensive perspective it's for the defense we saw them step up six sacks
01:32last week a total of 19 Ben over the last four weeks that defense is flying
01:36sideline to sideline they're getting off the field on third downs and if Nussmeier
01:41does find some success early that could open up the rushing attack I love Sam
01:45Pittman I love Arkansas I just think they're a little overmatched in this
01:49matchup the fact that it's under three I think LSU wins by a touchdown LSU is
01:54two SEC wins they're both by a field goal if you like Arkansas find the three
02:00maybe pay yeah it's not a bad idea I looked at this game and spread math
02:06tells me LSU is probably not getting a lot of credit heading into this game and
02:10then I wrote in my little you know I talked to myself I know it's maybe I'm
02:13not so like unless Sam Pittman's great off a bye I probably got to play the
02:16Tigers and then it's just hahaha Sam Pittman is a monster off a bye he is a
02:21monster off a bye completely step away here because I do like this LSU team I
02:27do I have futures like you on them to win the conference this though even for
02:32the playoff backers have to have this game because what follows is A&M and
02:38Bama and if you win this game you can survive that split but I think that's a
02:43I don't think LSU I don't know I'm really struggling to see a world with
02:47what I've seen from them that they're going to sweep at A&M and hosting
02:51Alabama yeah you pair in an Arkansas and again like the Razorbacks might get
02:56ranked if they beat LSU here it's still not going to be something where you hold
03:00your head like hey man come on that was a great team like no you lost and that's
03:04not good enough here huge one for LSU season kind of lean Razorbacks a huge
03:10one for LSU season and they be Colin will pick suey as an underdog for and Oh
03:16against the spread as a dog this year two of those outright victories the
03:21upset in a big way against Tennessee and an early season win against Auburn
03:26they're covering by nearly eight and a half points per game as an underdog with
03:31Sam Pittman since the start of 2020 21 and 9 ATS it is the best among power
03:37conference programs in all of the sport LSU this year as a favorite one and four
03:44against the number but Joe to your point about defense the numbers on LSU are not
03:49great with a fourth worst scoring defense still in the SEC allowing more
03:53than 22 points per game third worst total defense but it's much improved
03:58from where it was a season ago six sacks last week did you see the stat line for
04:02LSU's wit weeks by the way 18 total tackles a bunch of sacks and a couple of
04:07tackles for loss in that game against Ole Miss news for Arkansas quickly here
04:13tailing green who was injured in the fourth quarter of the upset against the
04:17Vols use the by week to get healthy expected to play Joe how much of a
04:21challenge do tailing green and you Quinton Jackson present to this Tigers
04:25do he's athletic so if he catches the edge the way he did against Oklahoma
04:29State he could take a game over just the way Jalen Milrow does and that opens
04:33up the play-action passing attack they need to contain tailing green keep them
04:37in long third down still struggles with completion percentage