USC vs. Penn State: Game Preview, Analysis, & Best Bets
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00:00We probably thought our next game inside the LA Memorial Coliseum between USC and
00:08number four Penn State also had the potential of being a top 15 or top 10
00:14tilt but the Trojans one of those seven teams ranked on the road last week
00:19laying more than a touchdown that also found the fate of seven teams that were
00:24ranked last weekend and were upset USC losing to Minnesota 24-17 on the road in
00:31the Twin Cities and Kev Penn State despite a very slow offensive start does
00:35get a victory at home over UCLA albeit not a cover in fact the Nittany Lions
00:41who were a great cover team entering this year as a favored side just two and
00:46three against the spread and yet laying points on the road in downtown LA how do
00:51you see the matchup between USC and Penn State so preseason I thought that
00:55the Trojans were in a good spot here again I felt that these LA teams could
00:58have a big advantage when they were welcoming in some of these big ten
01:02opponents but as I've watched this year play out I can't get to the Trojans
01:06despite catching points now I wouldn't like with Penn State again I think it's
01:09a weird spot I think having to travel to the west coast it is new and we know
01:14that Penn State when they step up in competition has struggled but is USC a
01:19step up in competition because look they beat LSU in week number one that at
01:24this point now feels like a year ago and the game where it was close with
01:30Michigan doesn't look as great in the limelight anymore as the Wolverines are
01:34about to have a significantly down season Wisconsin they won by 17 and it
01:41deserved them by 17 they were down double digits at the break you lose to
01:44Minnesota all of a sudden now we're looking at this USC team and men they
01:48don't look the level they really don't but I couldn't get to the Penn State
01:52line either I could get to this over though at 50 and a half I think we're
01:57way too light here on this listed number you just poke around what we've seen
02:03from other comparable spots here this number is only two points higher than
02:08when Penn State played Illinois like I know Altmire's had a good year
02:11Illinois and USC come on I mean what are we even talking about here this is 17
02:16points shorter than when we saw that week one game between USC and LSU I like
02:21points here this is for both of these teams I think the best opponent they've
02:26played up until this point which means both of these defenses will be tested
02:30you might have sold me on the over because I think it's a difficult cap to
02:34Kevin's point in regards to back and whether Penn State or USC for me it does
02:38come down to the quarterbacks and I understand Miller Moss has been a little
02:41bit inconsistent right you're 64% nine touchdowns four interceptions two of
02:46them came last week against Minnesota cost his team the game but I'm still not
02:51sold on Drew Aller big picture they only rushed for 85 yards last week against a
02:56good you know maybe slightly above average UCLA front seven they struggled
03:02and here's the thing too that I don't like Penn State Ben they've been playing
03:05down to the level of competition Bowling Green they trailed 24 to 20 at the end
03:10they went toe-to-toe with Illinois is a 17 and a half 18 point favorite they
03:14win by 14 they win but don't cover against UCLA now they go on the road
03:19this is you see USC Super Bowl it's really the biggest game for James
03:23Franklin and and and Lincoln Riley this year and then maybe over the past few
03:28seasons Lincoln gets the victory over LSU this year you could say that's his
03:32biggest win in in the USC as a whole I mean where is it I don't see no Pac-12
03:38championship no college football playoff appearance and I'll just say this I know
03:42the front sevens been bad for USC 26% third down defense I think that carries
03:48well and I think they have a speed advantage give me USC in the upset