En la Provincia de Buenos Aires, los colegios aumentarán un 4%, mientras que en Capital Federal el aumento será del 3%. Las prepagas subirán un 4,5%. Los alquileres también se ajustarán siguiendo la normativa del Banco Central, combinando inflación y salarios.
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00:00It's October's increase, right?
00:02Yes, of course.
00:03You know, I started doing the math because
00:05one thing is the percentage, right?
00:07And when you see the absolute number, you say,
00:09hey, 3%.
00:11The school tells you, it's going to increase by 3%,
00:13but on a quota of how much?
00:14Of course.
00:15Of 500 lucas, 3% is 15,000 pesos more.
00:18And that's how we came from last month, right?
00:20Of course, exactly.
00:21And the other issue that also worries,
00:23on the one hand, is to transfer the percentage
00:26to the absolute number.
00:27How much money do you have to pay off every month?
00:29On the other hand, if you bill that money
00:31additionally every month.
00:33And the other issue is, hey, it has to be monthly.
00:36I say, all increases have to be monthly.
00:38I say, because if not, it seems that we are
00:40defeating, destroying, all the adjectives,
00:43all the verbs that you want to put on it.
00:45I was going to say another one that is stronger.
00:47We are breaking the inflation,
00:49but we are not breaking any of the inflation,
00:51because every month it increases.
00:52So, increases this month, let's remember,
00:55It will cost almost 800 pesos.
00:58The ticket is not expensive?
01:00No, it's not expensive, but it's 7.57.
01:03There's the number, the exact number.
01:05It's one more increase.
01:06The discount system is still in force,
01:09that from 20 trips and everything, but hey.
01:11Subt, 757 pesos.
01:14Are schools going to increase?
01:16Each school, I say, has stopped
01:19to regulate the increase of schools.
01:21Well, rent, 237.5, if you take the annual, right?
01:25School, province of Buenos Aires, 4%.
01:27A capital school sent me 3%.
01:30What's going on with schools, Guille?
01:32They are deregulated.
01:33Sure.
01:34Before, they raised a note to the
01:35Commerce Secretary, they asked for permission.
01:37The Commerce Secretary said,
01:39according to what the teachers comment,
01:41you have to comment so much.
01:42Now, each school increases what it wants.
01:44They sent me 3%.
01:46Prepaid increases.
01:47My prepaid, how much did it send me?
01:494.5.
01:51It's missing the little letter,
01:53telling you that you're drunk.
01:55When I get the mail,
01:57I'm in the denial stage, you see?
02:01When the mail comes in, I don't want to read it anymore.
02:03Of course, of course.
02:04I don't want to read it.
02:05Open it yourself.
02:06Tell your wife, open it yourself.
02:07Unwanted mail.
02:08Sure.
02:09The mail from the prepaid and the school
02:11is worse than if your wife tells you,
02:13we have to talk, you see?
02:14It's the same thing.
02:16Like Moldavi says,
02:18we'll talk in February.
02:20Of course.
02:21Well, yes.
02:22And this is every month.
02:24Your wife is less of a headache
02:26than the mail that arrives.
02:28Well, it's like,
02:29I mean, one takes it with humor,
02:31because, well, it's difficult.
02:32We laugh because we don't cry.
02:33Of course, exactly.
02:34It's preferable.
02:35Remember?
02:36Laugh than cry.
02:37Then, rents.
02:38Well, rents,
02:39if one follows the regulations of the Central Bank,
02:42the increase in rents should be
02:46an average between inflation and salary.
02:48IPC and RIPTE.
02:50The last IPC in August gave 4.2.
02:53The salary is measured later.
02:56The index takes longer to highlight salary.
02:58July gave 7.5.
03:01Suppose that for this month
03:02they took the last two months measured.
03:04August 4.2.
03:06July salary 7.5.
03:09It gives you almost 6 points.
03:11Now, what's going on?
03:14Generally, as there is,
03:16from the DNU 70-2024,
03:20which was ratified in Congress,
03:23rents can be agreed freely.
03:27You can increase it every month.
03:29You can make dollar bill,
03:30as many rents do, for example,
03:32in Puerto Madero, in different countries,
03:35in Palermo and the most favored neighborhoods
03:38of federal capital.
03:40Or, in general, the modality.
03:42What I see, what I hear,
03:44my brother has real estate,
03:46I know real estate people who tell me.
03:48It is agreed for three months.
03:50Three months.
03:51That is, this month I pay you so much,
03:54next and next, the same,
03:56and in three months we increase.
03:58And when those three months pass,
04:00in general, this average is applied,
04:02which I tell you,
04:03between salary and inflation.
04:06Which is what also happens,
04:07that in general, I say,
04:08the salary index highlights more
04:10the growth of the salaries of the sectors in white,
04:12the sectors in black not so much,
04:14because the sector that is in black increases the salary
04:16when the economy grows,
04:18and it is not what is happening.
04:20So, I say, let's review.
04:22Because tomorrow is October.
04:24Today is September 30.
04:26Tomorrow is already the first.
04:27Let's review.
04:28Sub, it increases to 757.
04:31You already got the letter or the email,
04:33rather, of the prepayment.
04:35You already got the email from the school.
04:37Rent, or it increases every month,
04:39or you increase it every three months,
04:42and well, the food,
04:43there they are moderating the inflation.
04:45What happens is that the rest does not help.
04:47Food, if you take it,
04:49different consultants,
04:50more or less,
04:52they are giving you a 3% monthly.
04:54Which, I say, well ...
04:55What is the inflation forecast for this month?
04:58I say, the government expectation ...
05:013i or 2i?
05:02I think 3i.
05:04I think 3i.
05:05The 4.2 ...
05:06I say, let's not dramatize either,
05:08because it seems to me that ...
05:09I say, I also say another issue.
05:11You see it in the polls.
05:12People realize
05:13that inflation is not the problem.
05:15Well, it's okay,
05:16inflation is not the problem,
05:17because it is going down, right?
05:18Of course.
05:19I say, the 4.2 of August,
05:21that the government was deluded
05:22that 3i something was a resounding success.
05:24Nor is 4.2 a failure,
05:26let's not exaggerate.
05:27Out there, I say,
05:29what you have is,
05:30if people take ...
05:33if people walk down the streets
05:35so as not to pay the train ticket.
05:37Yes, as Margarita Barrientos told me
05:39on Saturday in a radio interview,
05:40there are people who take the train
05:41to go eat at their dining room.
05:43They live in the province
05:44and take the train to go eat at Soldati,
05:46where she has the piletones.
05:49Another thing she told me,
05:50there are people who sell the appliances
05:52to pay the bills.
05:54They sell the refrigerator,
05:55or they sell the TV.
05:57I say, it's okay for inflation to go down,
06:00and it is a fulfillment
06:01of macroeconomic objectives,
06:02which the government has not set,
06:03but it does not reach.
06:05I say, the issue is also income.
06:07I say, it is inflation,
06:08which is low,
06:09but it is not yet non-existent.
06:11Let's suppose it was 3i something,
06:12let's suppose it was 4,
06:13let's suppose it was 2.9.
06:16That hits you differently
06:17depending on whether your income
06:18increases or does not increase.
06:20And the truth is that what is being seen is
06:22the sectors that more or less
06:23are still hooked,
06:24a good economic process,
06:27oil, energy, mining,
06:30food export, banks,
06:33the winners of the model,
06:34can negotiate in parity,
06:36with which you at least
06:37tie the inflation,
06:39but everything else is very far away.
06:42So we are in this situation.