As the Kashmir Elections Near its end on 1st October 2024, rumors are speculating of a surprise that BJP may deliver to PDP & Congress. The rumors of Talks with NC are erupting on social media, however, NC stands united with Congress Party. What does this mean for Kashmir? Our Experts Ahmad Ayaz And Sunil Sethi Debates.
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~HT.97~PR.320~ED.103~
#KashmirElections #SecondPhase #J&KElections #Kashmirnews #JammuElections #BJP #JKNC #Srinagar #Oneindia #Oneindianews
~HT.97~PR.320~ED.103~
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NewsTranscript
00:00I would like to ask one thing, what is the scope of JKNPF in this election?
00:07What are the chances of going with BJP in the upcoming elections?
00:14I would like to add one more question to this list of questions.
00:18You said that this time the factor of Rashid Engineer is not working in that way.
00:23He will get some votes, but he will not be able to do the numbers.
00:25So, who will benefit if the factor of Engineer Rashid does not work?
00:35First of all, the post-election scenario that JKNPF is getting,
00:42The Pripol Alliance was formed by the National Conference of Congress.
00:48And if they say that we have formed this Pripol Alliance to keep BJP away,
00:55I do not think that this is the truth.
00:59It is a political thing to say to people.
01:04But the fact is that when the National Conference got a tag,
01:08Because whoever got a tag of BJP, their political support was ruined.
01:16So, BJP got a tag during this time that there is a backdoor conversation going on with BJP.
01:27And because of that, Farooq sahib came out of the cricket scam.
01:33So, people came to know that something must have happened.
01:38So, because he is a very expert in political matters of the National Conference.
01:45He sensed one thing and took a vow that we can have such problems here.
01:52So, I believe that he formed a Pripol Alliance with Congress on this matter.
02:00Otherwise, there was no need to form a Pripol Alliance, because BJP, as far as I believe,
02:08is not in a situation to form a government on its own level in J&K.
02:13Because it will not get much support in Kashmir and it will get support in J&K.
02:18And because of J&K, they will not be able to form a government.
02:21So, both the National Conference and Congress know this.
02:24But in the National Conference, as far as the Pripol Alliance is concerned,
02:34as far as the post-Pripol scenario is concerned, there are two options that can be formed.
02:40One is that under the India bloc, the parties of J&K are coming.
02:46One option is that they form a government together,
02:52whether it is Congress or National Conference or PDP or Taragami.
02:58That is an uncommon thing. Everyone can think that they will form a government.
03:02But I believe that the National Conference will not do this.
03:07It will try to form an alliance with BJP.
03:12My argument for this is that the people of the National Conference, the leaders,
03:19are not such comfortable people, they are not such leaders,
03:24who will protest on the road tomorrow,
03:27with their manifesto, or will be ready to go to jail,
03:33protesting tomorrow, like what happened in Hyderabad.
03:36Those leaders are not in such a pattern.
03:38First of all, they want to make themselves comfortable.
03:41They want to be comfortable in politics.
03:44Secondly, their manifesto is very big.
03:50And it will be difficult for them to do even the smallest of things in their manifesto.
03:58Because elections are being held in the Union Territory.
04:01And LG has a lot of power.
04:03So, it will be very difficult for them to do even the smallest of things in their manifesto.
04:11Until they form an alliance with BJP, which is at the helm of the US,
04:16they will not be able to form an alliance.
04:18So, they are very good at this.
04:20They can do it.
04:22And people will say that you have formed an alliance with BJP,
04:26you fought the election on some other ballot.
04:28For example, in the case of PDP, they had to fight the election against Mission 44.
04:34They had to vote.
04:36So, they formed an alliance with them.
04:38So, their situation changed.
04:40But their situation, because their cadre is strong,
04:42so their situation is not going to change much.
04:44They can easily bring this issue to a lower level.
04:48And they will not have much of a problem.
04:50That is why I believe that there is one possibility,
04:52and it is a good possibility,
04:54that there is a good chance of forming a government of the National Conference and BJP.
05:00Before this, Keshav had complimented.
05:04Here, I feel that BJP and National Conference,
05:08there are two different polls about scenarios there.
05:12But we will come back and discuss that.
05:14But Izhar, before we let you go, to shift to another location.
05:21The number of voting stations has increased from the last one hour.
05:26Please, take us through.
05:29Yes, definitely.
05:31More and more people have started coming to the polling stations.
05:35You can see, especially the youth are turning up outside the polling stations.
05:41Same has been reported from other parts of the Srinagar city and elsewhere.
05:46So, three districts in Kashmir are voting today.
05:50People are coming out gradually.
05:53And as the day progresses, we are expecting more and more people will come out and vote.
05:58These elections are going to be interesting on various counts.
06:03These elections are being held after a gap of 10 years.
06:07These elections are being held first after the abrogation of Article 370.
06:12These elections are being held after the delimitation of J&K.
06:20And these elections are being held in J&K as a Union Territory.
06:24And many political observers believe that there might be chances of a fractured mandate
06:31because there are hundreds of independent candidates as fray,
06:35secretly or openly supported by many mainstream parties
06:40and even some accuse the Bharatiya Janata Party of fielding proxy candidates from Kashmir Valley.
06:46Mute.
06:49Ahmed Aya Sahib is here.
06:52He is a political analyst.
06:54He says that there are possibilities.
06:56There are possibilities of a post-poll alliance between the BJP and the National Conference.
07:02How feasible do you think it is?
07:07Well, at the moment it seems difficult.
07:11Farooq Abdullah and his son Umar Abdullah are not going to take any chances as far as their post-poll alliance is concerned.
07:18So, they already are facing anger.
07:21There is no alternative as of now to the people as Aya Sahib rightly pointed out.
07:26So, either the people rely on traditional parties like NC or PDP.
07:32So, as of now they don't have any alternative.
07:34And I am sure that as of now NC, even if it falls short of alliance,
07:46they won't align with the Bharatiya Janata Party and anger whatever respect they have with the people.
07:58So, they won't annoy people.
08:00They won't further make people angry.
08:02That apparently is one of the reasons.
08:04And Umar Abdullah and Farooq Abdullah have categorically refused any post-poll alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party.
08:13That's the problem now.
08:16Yes, sir.
08:18For the BJP, realistically speaking, what do you think?
08:22How easy or difficult will it be to make a government independently?
08:25Secondly, in the scenario of post-poll alliance, are your doors open to everyone?
08:31See, our analysis is that I respectfully disagree with Ahmed Sahib.
08:37First of all, he has said that we have made the National Conference and Dr. Farooq comfortable about the JKCA case.
08:44That cricket case is still there, sir.
08:46There is no relaxation in that.
08:48The trial is still going on.
08:50Only an ED case, based upon that cricket prosecution, that has been set aside by the High Court.
08:57That cricket association's prosecution case is not there.
08:59That is still there.
09:00Secondly, our analysis is that the Congress and National Conference combined will not be in a position to go beyond 20 seats in the whole of J&K.
09:10You are probably over-assessing the situation.
09:14Congress-National Conference alliance will be stopping short of 20.
09:18The BJP is comfortably placed in more than 35 seats in the J&K region only.
09:25If we are having a fair number of seats in Kashmir, we will be in a position to form the government on our own.
09:38We are not looking for any ally presently.
09:41We are not considering the possibility of forming an alliance with the National Conference or with anyone else.
09:48We don't think that there will be any need for the BJP to have an alliance with some party to form the government.
09:56We are comfortably placed.
09:58And the required number, beyond what we get in J&K, we are comfortable that we will be getting those numbers in Kashmir.
10:09I will have to respond a bit.
10:12Yes.
10:34Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:38Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:42Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:46Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:49Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:52Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:55Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
10:59Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:02Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:06Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:10Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:14Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:18Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:22Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:26Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:29Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:33Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:37Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:41Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:45Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:49Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:53Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
11:56Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:00Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:04Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:08Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:12Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:16Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:20Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:23Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:27Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:31Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:35Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:39Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:43Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:47Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:50Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:54Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
12:58Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
13:02Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
13:06Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
13:10Sir, we have not come out of the scam.
13:14Sir, we have not come out of the scam.