IHSG -0,10% ke 7.753,57 di sesi I di BEI, Rabu (11/9). IHSG melemah usai sentuh New ATH intraday di 7.802,48. Sektor barang konsumsi nonprimer -2,03% MSIN -12,1%. Sektor perindustrian -0,80% SMIL -11,04%. Pemberat juga datang dari saham BUMN karya, WIKA -11,95%, PTPP -5,83% dan ADHI -7,41%. Sementara Sektor properti dan real estat +1,03% PANI +9%. Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street berakhir variatif, Selasa, dengan S&P 500 menghijau. Dow merosot karena saham bank anjlok setelah peringatan pelemahan kuartalan. Sementara saham energi jatuh ditengah anjloknya harga minyak mentah.
Category
📺
TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us in this segment, we will review how the trade is going throughout the day and we will try to review some of the recommended options and we remind you again, you can still participate on WhatsApp Interactive on 08.12.8788.723, as shown on your television screen later.
00:27And right now, we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Yosep Gabitua, Senior Analyst of Creative Trading System.
00:34We will go straight to him. Mr. Yosep, good evening. How are you?
00:38Good evening, Mr. David. How are you?
00:40Thank you, Mr. Yosep, for taking the time to be on IDX Channel.
00:44Mr. Yosep, in the last few weeks, Indekarga Samkabungan seems not yet tired to continue to strengthen the level of intraday and closures.
00:54Indekarga Samkabungan is still taking note of this, especially in the coming weeks.
01:01How is your analysis, especially from a foreign position in this matter, so that Indekarga Samkabungan has several times reached the highest level of intraday and closures?
01:13Okay, if we look at the condition of IASG, if we look at it from the beginning of August, the number of transactions is very large.
01:24On the 6th of August, the inflow from foreign investors is very large.
01:30And if we look at the shares that make IASG rise to the current level, IASG moves based on the market cap.
01:40It means that the stock that has a large market cap also has a large portion of IASG.
01:46And if we look here, the stocks that contribute a lot are Brand and BCA.
01:52And these two stocks, if we look at it today, are approaching the all-time high level.
01:57Brand has the potential, this is because it has not yet closed properly, this is not yet closing, there is a potential that it will be closed at the highest level of closures.
02:07BCA is also still close, still in the all-time high area.
02:11So in my opinion, it is very natural for IASG to be in the current position because the two largest emitters in our stock market have reached the all-time high level.
02:23No wonder IASG can reach the all-time high.
02:26How do you see the behavior of investors over the course of today?
02:30After reaching the highest intraday level over time, then back to the red zone or YOSEP.
02:37Is this one of the forms of anticipation for the release of US inflation data?
02:44Okay, if for example until now, actually we see from the beginning of September, there is a total foreign inflow of around 5.7 trillion,
02:56which is 1.6 trillion, maybe around 4.1 trillion since the beginning of September.
03:03And mostly what is borrowed is independent banks, BNI, BRI, BCA, Brand.
03:10So in my opinion, if there is a wait-and-see position, actually no.
03:15Foreign investors take a position if we look at the conditions like this.
03:20So in my opinion, if we as investors, we just look at foreign investors.
03:26It's actually optimistic, even though maybe if we look at the political views, it seems that there are a lot of people who are shaking.
03:34But it seems that foreign investors do not take the attitude to worry about it.
03:39In fact, they even borrow more and more.
03:42So in my opinion, that's a pretty strong stand for us to see that actually ISG,
03:50actually from the side of foreign investors do not see any concerns.
03:55If we look at it from a point of view like this.
03:58Okay, where is the direction for tomorrow, sir?
04:01When the scenario of inflation drops like that annually, or is there a reverse scenario?
04:10For example, for tomorrow itself, we haven't seen what the closing of the day will be like.
04:17Will foreign investors continue to buy or reverse the direction for profit-taking?
04:24If we look at the trend, I think there is a chance for foreign investors to continue to buy.
04:32Seeing them in an all-time high position like this, they still continue to buy.
04:36So I'm optimistic, even if there is a correction of 1-2%, I think it's still a normal correction.
04:42ISG is already at an all-time high.
04:44So there is also an overbought trend, so in my opinion, if we are given a discount,
04:50it can be a sweet spot for us to add more currency.
04:57Okay, let's go straight to the brand, sir, which you also mentioned earlier.
05:02The value of capitalization is the largest in Indonesia's stock exchange.
05:06It seems that with the strengthening that has happened, it is quite far from the position of the BBCA.
05:11It is already in the 1,500 position of capitalization from the brand.
05:15This position is at 11,900.
05:18You said earlier that the room of power is still open, quite wide for the brand.
05:22It may even touch the highest level in history.
05:26Analysis and recommendations for the brand?
05:29For the brand, we can't close our eyes.
05:34To see the brand, the potential seems to be still there, especially if we look at the last few times.
05:42There are a lot of accumulation signs, but as an investor,
05:48if I were to recommend the price now, I think it is not wise.
05:54This is at an all-time high level.
05:56Other options that are cheaper, the price is still discounted, there are more.
06:02So in the current position, to recommend the price, I think it is not wise.
06:08In my opinion, there are more options in our stock exchange that are still cheap.
06:13For example, BRI is often borrowed by foreign investors and the price is still relatively cheap compared to the last year's price.
06:21So if the brand, maybe it will be like that, Mr. David.
06:24I don't recommend it.
06:26What position has Mr. Yosep taken?
06:28What is the level of tech profit and what is the next resistance?
06:31For the highest level, the level of tech profit, we can bet on the price of Rp. 12,000.
06:39So far, the highest level ever touched by the brand is around Rp. 12,000.
06:45So it can take profit at that level.
06:49Maybe stop loss to secure the existing profit.
06:52To secure profit, in my opinion, if it goes back to below Rp. 10,600, there is support and resistance here too.
07:02If it has penetrated below, it is better to take profit first.
07:07Okay. There is a brand that today became a supporter for the Sam Kapungan family.
07:13Let's move to BBCA, sir.
07:15BBCA is actually not significant or not a deep enough correction compared to some other big cap banks.
07:21It means it is still at the top level.
07:23Experiencing a few points increase in a year, BBCA is now back above Rp. 10,400.
07:33For BCA itself, for investors who have held this stock,
07:40I am also one of those who hold and have never sold this stock since I first bought it.
07:46I don't see any concerns, both in terms of the position of foreign investors themselves.
07:52I don't see any concerns from foreign investors.
07:55So, in my opinion, if there is a correction, it is a good momentum for us to add capital.
08:02So, in my opinion, there is no need to worry about BCA.
08:08But if there is momentum for, for example, we see that the price of BCA has been corrected,
08:15level Rp. 10,200 or level Rp. 10,100, we can take profit first.
08:24If for BCA.
08:26Okay. In short, where does the correction go, sir?
08:28With significant strength today at 0.72%, Rp. 10,425, the highest intraday today.
08:36If for BCA, in the short term, this is my hope, not projection.
08:44My hope is that it will be corrected first.
08:47So, for those of you who want to add capital in BCA stocks, to save again in BCA stocks, it can be done.
08:56Okay. In the midst of the strengthening of several stocks that today support the Samkabungan family,
09:01Mr. Yosep, some other stocks actually experienced a deep enough correction.
09:05I want to go to BBRI first, sir.
09:07It seems that Samsung Banking Big Cap in the last few days is no longer as it used to be.
09:12Not paying attention to the sector, it seems to be more on the side of each stock.
09:16What is your analysis for BBRI?
09:19Usually, if one sector moves in one direction, it's BCA, BRI, BNI.
09:25It usually moves in one direction.
09:27But if we look at the current condition, it seems to be starting to vary.
09:34There are many different movements.
09:37As for BRI itself, I don't see any concerns from foreign investors to look at the position of BRI.
09:45And indeed, if we look at the financial reports, the NPL has also started to shrink,
09:52even though it was high last year.
09:54It was high, but it has also started to shrink.
09:57And the inflow from foreign investors is also quite large.
10:02From the beginning of September, it has entered around 600 billion.
10:10So, in my opinion, compared to some other banks, BRI has a more attractive selling value.
10:21Okay. Can we go straight to technical, Mr. Yosep, for BBRI?
10:24As for BRI, in my opinion, this is a recommendation.
10:29At the current level, it can also be purchased with a support level of 4,800 and a target level of 5,700.
10:42Besides BBRI, Mr. Yosep, before we update the closing position,
10:47the construction of BWMN Karya has also weakened considerably.
10:50There is WIKA, which has weakened by more than 11 percent.
10:52PTPP and ADI have also weakened by more than 5 percent.
10:56Is this still a reasonable correction, Mr. Yosep?
10:58Has the euphoria ended or is there still room for strengthening in the future?
11:02Considering that the price increase is already quite high,
11:04then the positive sentiment of the Suku Bunga branch is also expected to be able to reduce the debt burden
11:10from the emittance in this sector.
11:12In short, Mr. Yosep.
11:13Yes, for WIKA itself, I still see a potential increase.
11:19So, for example, today it fell quite deep in the construction sector, not just WIKA.
11:26In my opinion, it is a good momentum for the average down, for those who have been stuck for quite a long time,
11:33or for those of you who are still in the bottom position, this can add more momentum for WIKA.
11:41Okay, Mr. Yosep, let's hold for a while.
11:44I will try to provide an update on the closing of the trading session on the second day
11:48and also some other trading data that was collected by our Redhasi team.
11:52And the share price reduction in the closing of the second session today decreased by 0.01 percent
11:58and was closed at the level of 7,760.955.
12:02Today's intraday had reached the highest intraday level in a long time at 7,802.476.
12:09While the lowest level was at 7,736.781.
12:14Let's go straight to the first graph.
12:16We will try to see how the position of the closing of several other indexes in the trading session on the second day.
12:23You can see the graph on your television screen.
12:25MIRSA MNC36 strengthens at 0.13 percent.
12:29Jakarta Islamic Index weakens at 0.21 percent.
12:31LQ45 weakens slightly at 0.02 percent.
12:36While the levels of each index can be seen on the graph on your television screen.
12:41Sectoral movement rotation.
12:43Technology leads the strengthening at 1.66 percent.
12:46Properties still strengthen, but the strengthening has begun to be limited at 0.87 percent.
12:51In the first session this afternoon, properties still led the strengthening.
12:55Non-primary consumption weakened quite deeply at 2.24 percent.
12:59Infrastructure also weakened at 0.45 percent.
13:03Let's move on to the next graph.
13:05Stocks that experienced significant strengthening today.
13:08MIRSA has become a supporter of ISG so that the pressure is not too deep.
13:13Let's go to the next graph.
13:14BMRI strengthens at 7,375.
13:18BRPT closed in the green zone at 1,190.
13:22Today it also strengthened significantly at 11,900.
13:25And PANI is still moving fast.
13:27Intraday today also passed the highest intraday level in a long time.
13:31Meanwhile, the value of each stock can be seen on your television screen.
13:36Let's move on to the next graph.
13:38Stocks that today became a supporter.
13:40BBRI's BKP Ada Banking also closed weak at 5,175.
13:45AMAN pressed to 10,325.
13:48TPIA today also weakened deeply at 8,950.
13:51UNTR is stressed, has left a level of 27,000.
13:55Exactly at 26,225 rupiah per share.
13:59Trade update in the second session and hopefully it can be a reference for you.
14:02First in dealing with trade in the next few days.
14:12We will be back soon and stay in your place.
14:15Because after this, we will see what samsum plans are recommended.
14:18We will be back soon.