• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00Time for some Heisman talk in the updated odds following week number one.
00:08We now have co-favorites in a three-way tie at the top of the odds board to
00:13strike that pose in early December. Dylan Gabriel was the short favorite
00:17entering week one still through for 380 yards but in a tough victory against
00:24Idaho. Jackson Dart a huge day we'll talk him in just a second but Kev I didn't
00:28want to start with Cam Ward plus 850 the Miami quarterback now a co-favorite to
00:33win the Heisman trophy it represents a ton of positive odds movement for the
00:38Hurricanes in the last seven days a 60 to 1 price to win a national
00:42championship down by a third it is 20 to 1 now for the Hurricanes correlate those
00:49props the odds market optimistic about Miami. So my belief this year with the
00:54Heisman trophy is you have to be in the playoff and you have to be statistically
00:59a monster so I think that this week's game against FAMU is almost as important
01:07as Florida last week for Miami because this is where you can bring those
01:13numbers way out of range we don't have to get into all that listen here's my
01:18point Dylan Gabriel last week missed a huge opportunity they were supposed to
01:23score 50 points I know the yards were good the completion percentage was good
01:27Jackson Dart 400 yards five touchdowns one on the ground as well so six total
01:33scores yeah that's going to matter it won't win it when we're doing the
01:37counting stats nobody but well five of those were against Furman eliminate
01:41those so for Cam Ward today last week boom I'm in the conversation this week
01:46four touchdowns at the break Cam Ward's got Miami at a whole nother level he
01:50scores two right 220 passing this number's coming down no I agree with
01:55that I'll just say this in regards to this value of plus 850 let's say he does
01:59385 just what he did it for touchdowns is he moving in your opinion from plus
02:05850 to four to one I say no I agree so I think when you look at the value on the
02:10board right now I'm looking at Milrow I'm looking at Carson Beck the reason
02:14why is meaningful games as well when you look at Miami's schedule they don't have
02:18I believe FSU is early October yeah so that that is their first real game that
02:23obviously outside of Florida so I don't think we'll see a lot of fluctuation
02:28from now till maybe October in regards to Ward at these prices do you think
02:34that cam Ward cuz cuz Joe's right with the way FSU is dropped off Clemson not
02:38on the schedule Vatek a disaster yeah they might end up ranked at some point I
02:43don't recall if they play NC State I don't Louisville right would be that
02:47other game possibly who did get themselves ranked do you think him were
02:51though could get the lift of he brought Miami back because we know we knew this
02:57would be great we knew this would be great this is come on we know Miami in a
03:01way when you look at these logos it's like whoa we got a guy in the top five
03:04for sure it's part of the reason people love the you the conversations around
03:08college football the last decade is Texas back is Miami back and right now
03:13at least after a one-game sample size cam Ward has the Canes on that charter
03:18path it was part of the optimism for Mario Cristobal and the Canes entering
03:22year number three to your point about the ACC slate Florida State at the end
03:27of October they have that game at home and Miami does not have to play Clemson
03:31nor NC State in this college football season plus 850 for cam Ward a ton of
03:38movement now this is the top five Jalen Milrow also saw his price shortened by
03:44four bucks at ten to one nine pass attempts only nine last week against
03:49Western Kentucky still through for more than 220 yards multiple touchdown passes
03:54multiple rushing scores and more than 70 on the ground as well an intriguing game
03:59that we'll talk about a little bit later against South Florida today Joe we're
04:03last year if you remember Bama at USF tested by the Bulls Byron Brown also a
04:09really good running quarterback for USF an opportunity today for Milrow to
04:14continue to make those statements in Kalen DeBoer's offense it is they
04:17struggled completely on in regards to Tampa Henry in that matchup they late 32
04:22and a half they barely covered in regards to that matchup and again this
04:26is another opportunity for Jalen Milrow to not just put up numbers but to get
04:31more acclimated in Kalen DeBoer's offense so I expect them to put up
04:35numbers today I think from the spread perspective I might take a shot on USF
04:39plus the 29 and a half and 30 but again he's gonna have that opportunity now he
04:44has a rushing attack with them in the way that defense stepped up and held
04:48Western Kentucky they're gonna have multiple opportunities to score

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