• 2 months ago
Transcript
00:00And let's highlight some season-long receiving yards props.
00:07If you're looking around the NFL and you had to highlight a wide receiver, who would that
00:11name be and what's the prop?
00:14That's going to Michael Pittman for the Indianapolis Colts and over five and a half receiving touchdowns.
00:19It's sitting at plus 108 now.
00:21We look back over the first four years of his career, he has 15 total receiving touchdowns.
00:25So getting to six when he has 15 total, there's obviously a lot going on.
00:30First off, he's had seven different quarterbacks throwing him the ball in the first four years
00:34of his career.
00:35Bill Rivers, Carson Wentz, Matt Ryan, Sam Mellinger.
00:38We had Nick Foles in there, Gardner Minshew, and Anthony Richardson, so there's no surprise
00:42to see a little bit of inconsistency overall.
00:44But in the last three years, he's been over 900 yards once, over 1,000 yards twice, and
00:49in two of the last three years, he was in the top 20 of the league among wide receivers
00:52when it comes to red zone targets.
00:55We also see this year that PFF has the offensive line for the Colts as the sixth best.
01:00So we have great underlying metrics, a high target share, high red zone target share,
01:03high usage.
01:04He's just not getting the touchdowns because they're variable because of the quarterback
01:08play.
01:09So a full year of Anthony Richardson developing behind a great offensive line should put Pittman
01:13in a spot to have a career year and hit six touchdowns and hit the over at five and a half.

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