Rangers Risk Missing Playoffs, Face Struggling Red Sox on Monday
Transcript
00:00Could the reigning World Series champs be out of the American League postseason here
00:07very soon?
00:09The Rangers in danger, seven and a half games back of the two top teams in the AL West,
00:14Houston and Seattle, a full 10 games out of a wild card spot in the American League.
00:20The Red Sox now fall to three games out of a wild card spot in the AL.
00:25They got swept this weekend at home in Fenway by those Astros, Boston running a four game
00:30losing skid, slightly favored at home today, remaining in Fenway to stab the skin and get
00:35back into the wind column.
00:36Do you agree with the odds?
00:40The odds do make sense.
00:41I actually think they're a little bit short technically because the Texas Rangers on the
00:43mound with Tyler Molle.
00:44He did have a good start coming back here into Major League Baseball in 2024.
00:48ISO power number against those 21 batters, 050, weighted on base percentage, 263.
00:52But you're also taking a look at a Boston team, particularly at home against right-handed
00:55pitching that absolutely matched their last 30 days.
00:59First four batters in the lineup weighted on base percentages, 462, 434, 403, and 476.
01:04Connor Wong is in that fifth spot today.
01:06Not so good.
01:07But then you get to the next three batters weighted on base percentages against right-handed
01:10pitching over the past month, Smith, 389, Sogard, 380, and Rafaela at 368.
01:16But also, if I'm looking at an angle from this game, I think Boston wins probably so,
01:20but Brian Baio is on the mound.
01:22He really struggles, not only the past 30 days, Ben, but the entire season against left-handed
01:26batters, maybe just a Corey Seager RBI prop who threw his last 68 plate appearances against
01:31right-handed pitching, a 328 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of 425, and had a very
01:35good day yesterday, even in a losing effort for the Rangers against the New York Yankees.
01:40So I'd make an RBI prop for Seager, but also still think that the Boston Red Sox end up
01:45pulling this game out.