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00:00A few times entering this past weekend in Major League Baseball we previewed a
00:04weekend set with the caption World Series Preview in Houston it was the
00:09Astros and the Dodgers the Strohs continue to play good ball they take two
00:12of three against LA in Philadelphia it was the Philz and the Gordians
00:18Cleveland the best record in the American League they won the rubber
00:22match yesterday and the weekend series then of course against the Phitons but
00:26Philadelphia still the best record and the most wins 65 and 40 in all of MLB
00:32World Series Preview again for the Philz this week as they host the New York
00:38Yankees Philadelphia and Zach Wheeler minus 142 as the home favorites in the
00:44opener today against the Pinstripes Luis don't call him heel on the bump on the
00:49other side for New York the over-under is 9 what is your expectation DRS in the
00:55opener today in Philly better picture on the mound probably can agree would be
00:59Zach Wheeler the Philadelphia Phillies here but the lineup here for the Phillies
01:03needs to get in gear to sort of match what we've been seeing for the Yankees
01:06or at least from yesterday but if we're looking at temperatures here at Citizens
01:09Bank Park tonight 85 degrees wind blowing out the dead center field about
01:138 to 9 miles an hour so we should be able to have the opportunity to get some
01:17home runs and the question is gonna be we liked what we saw to Zach Wheeler
01:20coming out of that mini break for himself skipping that final start of the
01:24regular season the first part of the regular season then obviously the
01:27All-Star break then coming back give it a little bit extra break and he was fine
01:30giving set going seven innings didn't give up any earned runs here so if I'm
01:34looking at that nine price to be honest the way the Phillies are at the plate
01:37right now feast or famine he was bounced back into form which you like to see so
01:41I'm leaning more towards an under which is tough with those two lineups in that
01:44small ballpark and just explain to you how the temperatures are but Zach
01:47Wheeler should have a very good effort tonight that's the best of the closer
01:51coming over should be available for the Phillies today that's a full bullpen in
01:54the game they absolutely must have I do think the Phillies are the better side
01:57tonight but not really loving laying a minus 150 price or higher the way the
02:01Phillies are at the plate so probably a better look under nine even if that's a
02:05hard pill to swallow when you're looking at these two lineups in this ballpark I
02:09just feel like there's gonna be less runs here maybe a four to three type
02:12ballgame when it's all said and done in the Phil's haven't been sharp since the
02:18all-star break even really before it losing a set against the Oakland
02:23Athletics so this could be another statement awaiting in Philadelphia but
02:27the Phil's are not really struggling with anything still a three-game
02:30advantage over the Dodgers for the top spot in the National League Skeens day
02:35number 13 that's XII in the history of Major League Baseball all the road in
02:42Houston and the Bunkos are booked as a road favorite that's because Paul Skeens
02:47is getting to start although the money line very different than what you saw
02:51right there it was minus 154 now down to just a minus 132 price the over under
02:57seven and a half in H town of course Skeens in his last start pitched into
03:02the ninth inning only allowed to earn runs but did suffer the first defeat of
03:07his MLB career in 12 starts six and one now with a 193 ERA yeah we got a
03:15mismatch on the mound today no doubt about it so it's kind of interesting
03:17where I saw that price point here Ben and that minus 150s price you know cut
03:21down by 20 30 cents at some outlets because you look at Skeens by far the
03:25best pitcher on the card today last 60 days how about an X fit minus number 57
03:30an ERA of 1.84 a Sierra number of 2.37 he really fits the bill but I think the
03:35reason why is they're on the road against a better overall team so just
03:39like in that last game you can get an unbelievably good Skeens performance
03:43but that doesn't mean it's gonna match up with the plate and they're gonna back
03:46him here you might even get seven innings pitch set of Skeens 101 pitches
03:50where that game is one-to-one saying what more do I have to do and then watch
03:53the Pittsburgh Pirates lose on the back end of that bullpen but I still would
03:57back Skeens of the spot because I do think he's a much better pitcher on the
03:59mound today and they do have a decent lineup overall talking about Pittsburgh
04:03how they're shaping up so from my money it's gonna be Skeens once again but if
04:07it's seeing that the betting public is saying you know what I don't know if I
04:10trust a full game here are the Pittsburgh Pirates I can't blame you
04:13because they're on the road against Houston and they're a heavy favorite I
04:16still think Skeens gonna be able to get the job done that's the way I'd bet it
04:20seven and a half is the cave prop we'll talk about it with Tom Vecchio and our
04:25prop perspective up next but I can't believe it's remained at seven and a
04:28half in the over has plus money now we go to New York City field the site for a
04:33matchup between two wild-card contenders in either league the twins pay a visit
04:38to the Mets New York booked as a slight home favorite minus 118 total stands at
04:43eight and a half what do you like in the opener between the Mets and the
04:46twins I think it's a cheap price there to take the Mets at a minus 112 even
04:50though we do like the way the twins have been playing but if we're just lining up
04:53pitchers going against pitchers yeah Quintana is gonna be on the mound he
04:56actually has some okay splits over the past 30 days which is something to watch
04:59and also a Minnesota Twins lineup that hasn't been all that effective been
05:03against left-handed pitching quickly flip it over to the New York Mets the
05:06lineup does match up very well against the right-handed Simeon Woods Richardson
05:10here I get a light lean here who it's the Mets in this tonight a matchup in
05:15Milwaukee between two National League postseason teams at least as of this
05:19moment but what is the ceiling in Milwaukee and for that in Atlanta minus
05:25116 the number for the brew crew as a slight home favorite today against the
05:29Braves total at eight and a half as we broke down the game with Tom Vecchio DRS
05:35he said he liked the under how could you knock it against this ATL side they're
05:39the only team in Major League Baseball that has played more than 60% of their
05:43games to it under this season sixty one point four percent is the under
05:47percentage for Atlanta yeah unless you're just being a contrarian the only
05:51way you can really look is towards the under by the way grant home starting
05:54pitcher for the an abrasive night one of the better profile pictures that I've
05:57seen this season now having said that he's going up against let me get that
06:00that may be Willie Adonis Reese Hoskins the only two positive batters may be
06:05Jackson Cheerios a lot of love there yeah like that picture if we could
06:09hold on we need that yeah yeah Friezo Jesse get on it great homes the hair
06:17the stash the handlebar yeah and soon I'm sure Kevin Walsh's face on that body
06:22as well sure we get great homes on display for all the nation to see here
06:28on this biz grizz DRS continue the breakdown please yeah and also the
06:31Atlanta side maybe a little bit better actually approach at the plate than what
06:35we have on the opposite side Riley Ozuna Duvall Rosario and Murphy all high
06:39ISO power numbers against right-handed pitching but having said that
06:42Colin Rice been pretty good this season and it's the Atlanta Braves it just
06:46screams these two teams playing to an under today probably as simple as you
06:50can get yeah I would have to agree with a great American small part might we see
06:55it under there nine and a half the total in Cincinnati it's the Cubs in the Reds
07:01in a virtual pick'em again Chicago a fascinating team as of this moment DRS
07:06it's the bottom two teams in the NL Central 51 and 56 for the Cubs 50 and 55
07:12for Cincinnati both 10 games back of the top spot that is Milwaukee but the
07:17Cubbies made some moves this weekend he sock parades yesterday in the trade what
07:24exactly does Chicago do this week ahead of the deadline and I'll tell you right
07:30now you take a look at the pitchers on this car last 60 days minimum of 20
07:33innings pitch there's 23 total pitchers there was 11 and 12 that Spires and Ty
07:38own a 96 x-fit minus and a 97 x-fit minus now Spires does have a slightly
07:43higher ERA over the past 60 days and if we're taking a look at some of those
07:46non-analytical numbers Spires on the mound ISO power number to his last 68
07:50batters 277 waited on base percentage 359 that's not very good flip it over on
07:56the other side here to the Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Jamison Ty own that I
07:59saw power number of the past 30 days been a 110 awaited on base percentage a
08:03247 now looking at the lineups and how they go toe-to-toe obviously the Reds
08:09have a better hitting lineup as it appears then you take a look at the
08:12Chicago Cubs but if I'm doing one thing in this game it's probably gonna be Ian
08:15a half to record an RBI he's been very good against right-handed pitching over
08:19the past 30 days well bad as a lefty which again lefties have done primarily
08:24the damage against fires so for anything in this game that I really like it's
08:27probably half to record an RBI for the Chicago Cubs the Boston Red Sox the
08:32Seattle Mariners two teams right now trying to get a wild card spot Seattle
08:36of course tied for the top spot in the American League West with Houston inside
08:42Fenway today the Red Sox lost this weekend set against the New York Yankees
08:46and the finale yesterday Boston since the all-star break just two and seven
08:51the Mariners coming off a sweep of the Chicago White Sox do it it's what you
08:55should do but the M's did lose eight of their previous nine entering this
08:59weekend against the Southsiders eight and a half the total today in Fenway
09:03what's your play seems like a low number doesn't it for Fenway wind blowing out
09:08five miles an hour which again not really a significance there temperatures
09:11in the low 70s so you're getting a good night and also that Boston lineup one
09:15through six Dominic Smith Tyler O'Neill Devers Yoshida Abreu and Duran all
09:19elevated weighted on base percentages and for the most part ISO power numbers
09:22but Logan Gilbert comes into this game fourth on the card with a 78 XFIT minus
09:26and an ERA over the past 60 days of 2.37 Nick Pavetta hasn't really been much
09:32worse than 81 XFIT minus even though his ERA is hovering around that 4.7 range
09:37but if I'm just going pitcher to pitcher I do trust Gilbert a little bit more and
09:40so many times you would take a look at as I just said the Boston Red Sox lineup
09:44looks much better on paper but the Mariners who typically come in from a
09:48day-to-day performance like man who could even take in this lineup get this
09:51their first six batters Robles or Rosarena Rowley Polanco Hannigan and
09:56Vossler all elevated ISO and weighted on base percentages here I think I have the
10:00slightly better pitcher on Seattle I'll take that slightly dog price also on the
10:04Mariners tonight to try to beat the Boston Red Sox I will say it does very
10:09much intrigue me to see Seattle with their all-star Logan Gilbert as a slight
10:14underdog against a struggling Boston team how about this for Jack Flaherty
10:19gets the start today in the Motor City against the Guardians it will be his
10:23fourth start in the month of July three of the four against the divisional foe
10:28that is Cleveland he and Detroit have won one of the previous two they've
10:36split those two so is this Flaherty's final start as a member of the Tigers
10:42they are a slight home underdog in the Motor City against the Guardians who have
10:46the best record in the American League Central the best record in the American
10:49League now Flaherty is really on the the trade deadline Ben he's not pitching
10:53tonight well let's just be honest with ourselves there's no team that's gonna
10:55be okay let's wait out an eight inning you know 104 pitch effort where he might
10:59get injured as I try to make a trade for him so I doubt he actually starts if he
11:03is getting traded but if you are looking at some of the numbers here Bybee has a
11:0678 X fit minus and then you take a look here on the opposite side you know you're
11:10still getting some pretty good efforts you had a Flaherty's at a 77 X fit minus
11:14so you have two good pitchers on the mound tonight against two teams that sort
11:18of struggling at the plate if you will I lean towards the under but being honest
11:21if you're trying to get ahead of the curve and you see what's the price point
11:24that you said was what was the that graphic that popped up what's my 20
11:28Cleveland's a favorite money so like Cleveland if you want it to take a look
11:33tonight if you like Cleveland yeah that's them right now because you'll get
11:36that price point locked in so even if there is a pitching change that goes to
11:40a spot reliever in a bullpen game you have a major advantage at that point
11:43here that's the way I would play it out but once again just a thought process on
11:46if somebody's gonna trade for Flaherty he's not starting tonight it's a good
11:51look DRS oh and there we go there's our guy Holmes look at that name that's
11:56beautiful do we have the Kevin Walsh Photoshop up already or no Wow
12:01oh okay we'll have that for tomorrow depending on Grant Holmes's performance
12:05tonight in Milwaukee I mean look at that LeChuga a curly long-haired man like
12:11that the handlebar mustache might have no doubt putting his hair Garnier
12:21fructis man that's why I said it great hairs you know I mean going now oh I'm
12:27sure that was the money line starting in just a moment on sports grid radio DRS
12:31talk tomorrow