Anthony Williams, Special Projects Director at Bendixen & Amandi International, joined Brittany Lewis on "Forbes Newsroom" to discuss a new 2024 presidential poll in the aftermath of the historic debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump.
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NewsTranscript
00:00You have a new poll out discussing the nature of the 2024 presidential race after the debate between
00:06President Biden and former President Donald Trump this comes after what many have called
00:12Biden's performance disastrous devastating and there are increased calls for him to step down
00:18What did the poll find when it comes to the horse race between Biden and Trump?
00:23Well, I think it's important to first contextualize the
00:27the viewpoint that the
00:30Survey was trying to come at this from
00:33the debate
00:35Largely, uh, it's better to go forward with president biden's experience or perhaps better to go forward with
00:43some other younger fresher face
00:46and so the
00:47Primary conceit of this survey was to test those two lanes. And so of course we tested president biden
00:54Uh vice president harris as well as a couple of the other younger alternatives
00:59That have been mentioned in recent weeks including
01:03Governor, gretchen whitmer and governor gavin newsom of california
01:07In order to have an adequate control, however in order to have another person in the experience lane
01:13So you would have something to judge president biden's performance against
01:17We thought that hillary clinton would be the appropriate choice to serve in that position as a control
01:24Um what we found in the results was actually quite surprising
01:28While president biden is currently behind president trump by one point
01:33The vice president does a little bit better than he does and in this survey is beating president trump by a point
01:40um
01:43The other
01:44Let's let's call them. Um fresher faces younger candidates don't do quite as well. Um
01:51Governor newsom is behind by three governor whitmer is behind by four
01:56Doing worse than president biden at the moment
01:59When we went further we thought it might be interesting to test some potential match-ups
02:05Obviously, this is all assuming that president biden chooses
02:08to step aside
02:10Which we don't know if that's going to be his ultimate decision
02:13But if he does we thought it important to test some other potential match-ups. And so if you put
02:19Vice president harris with governor whitmer, for example, um
02:25President trump is still ahead of that ticket by two points
02:28Vice president harris with governor shapiro of pennsylvania, however is actually up two points
02:34And perhaps most surprisingly
02:36the strongest person individually
02:39Was secretary clinton up two points by herself
02:43And even more interesting was we put together a ticket of clinton and harris and that ticket was actually up plus three
02:51showing particular strength with women
02:53plus 13 among women over president trump
02:57It's interesting because voters don't seem necessarily
03:01enthusiastic about a 2020 rematch, but you're proposing a
03:052016 rematch between secretary hillary clinton and former president donald trump
03:11Are you surprised by her strong performance in this poll?
03:15Well, let me first say that we're not necessarily
03:20Proposing such a match-up we thought from a research standpoint
03:23It was important to test someone else with experience to see where where the voters really stood in this experience versus fresh face argument
03:32And that was the reason for her inclusion in the poll
03:34We were surprised by her strength considering that she has not been on a ballot now in eight years and has largely
03:41um
03:42been
03:43Doing her non-profit work and some of her other charitable
03:47work here in the country and around the world, but
03:51given the circumstances
03:52If the choices between experience and younger faces at least in this survey
03:58Having an experienced person not named biden seemed to be the preferred alternative
04:03Albeit by only a point or two, but in a tight election a point or two could be all the difference