• 5 months ago
Transcript
00:00and the D-backs in Arizona.
00:05Again, the Diamondbacks back to 500 for the first time in a long time.
00:09Winners of six of their last eight.
00:11The Braves avoiding a sweep at home this weekend against the Philadelphia Phillies,
00:16but a 6-0 blanking victory yesterday for Atlanta.
00:20They are nearly a $2 road favorite on that money line price with Chris Sale.
00:25Now, they're de facto ace on the bump.
00:28What do you like today in downtown Phoenix?
00:31Yeah, it looks like I didn't put a ton of research into Diaz just yet.
00:34He's a lefty because some outlet's still reporting him back as maybe a TBD coming to pitch,
00:38so maybe it's an open at this point.
00:40Maybe we're just gonna get a couple innings.
00:41We don't know about that.
00:42The one thing we do know is the total's going to be eight at a minus 190 price,
00:46which probably means that Atlanta probably is a very good parlay piece to throw into the equation.
00:51Now, typically, do I love foot and parlays, just money line?
00:53Not necessarily, but Sale's been fantastic.
00:55The lineup here after winning two out of three games against the Phillies
00:58and looking to close strong before you get to the all-star break,
01:01I think it does make some sense.
01:02But let's just take a look at how—Diaz is a lefty.
01:05Let's just say he pitches more than one inning and you try to factor it in.
01:07The one thing that we do know, the Atlanta Braves have done very well
01:10over the past 30 days against left-handed pitching.
01:12You take a look from Kelenic down to Murphy, which we anticipate they're 1-6.
01:16Every single one of those players, Ben, above average ISO power numbers past 30 days
01:20and weighted on base percentage.
01:22But here's the thing that sometimes you run into because I don't care what it is.
01:25No Major League Baseball is easy.
01:26And we saw Chris Sale lose a minus 300 game earlier this season.
01:30Why? Because they lost one to nothing.
01:32Your hitters have to come to play.
01:34Having said that, Sale has been phenomenal.
01:36We know that.
01:37But take a look at this lineup for the Dynabecs over the past 30 days
01:40against left-handed pitching.
01:41They're 1-6.
01:42Every single one of those players, Ben, high ISOs, high weighted on base percentages.
01:47Now, granted, you're just looking at those average lefty pitchers.
01:49That's not what you're getting out of Chris Sale.
01:51Do I think the Braves win this game?
01:52Absolutely.
01:53It's just tough to bet because you don't really know what you're going to get
01:56out of the pitching perspective for the Dynabec side.
01:58Easy for me to come on here and say Atlanta is the right play.
02:01No kidding.
02:02They're close to 2-1 favorite.

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