Nick, Ryan, and Trysta break down different strategies to bet the NBA Draft and come to the conclusion that the books are squeezing bettors with the top handful of picks
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00:00But, whoever the Hawks don't draft, the Wizards are likely taking with the number two pick.
00:06So, if you want to take Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, god you have broken me, broken me, and
00:12then Reed Shepard 3, that's 9-1, and there's also a 12-1 that's out there too.
00:15Well that's interesting because think about this, so say you have a $30 bet, right, and
00:21you were gonna do that exact result, and it's 9-1, so whatever that number is, do some math
00:28or just say we have $100, right, and $900, or you're gonna put $33 on each number, like
00:37each pick, exactly. So, Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, and then, who's the third? Reed Shepard,
00:46and Reed Shepard's minus money, right? I think you can still get better value if you take
00:53those individually than the exact result. I think the money, because you're getting
00:587-1, 7-1. If Sar, for Sar 1 though, you're saying. Sar 1, Reese's Shade 2, because that's
01:037-1, 7-1. Yeah. So, I'm a little confused as to how you end up getting 9, how they end
01:09up giving us 9-1 with two 7-1s back to back, like the odds of that, we're getting squeezed
01:15essentially. Right. And that's not a BetMGM conversation, this is just like an all book
01:19We're getting squeezed. We're getting squeezed. There's some shenanigans afoot. Yeah, well,
01:24I mean, if you really just want it, you're right, there's another option there where
01:27you can just go that, and I mean, you know though, most likely, if you don't hit the
01:33number 1 overall pick and it's not Sar, then he's going number 2, so the number 2 pick
01:38also loses, so that's the same as doing that top 3, and then you just at least got to hope
01:42Reed Shepard goes, but you have some insurance with him going number 3, and you got at least
01:45something back. Something to think about, yeah. That's another way to look at it, too.
01:50It's interesting to see how some of these things are priced. You know how this is though
01:52with the draft we saw with the NFL, right, where there's, books have very, very different
01:56numbers and it's also just what you're getting offered, too, and this stuff gets moved so,
02:01so quickly. Yeah, man, Sar's minus 700 to go second overall. Reed Shepard's only minus
02:07190. Plus 700. No, it's minus 700 now. Oh, to go 700. To go second. Yeah, to go second.
02:13And then, that's kind of what scares me a little bit about this big Reed Shepard bet
02:16that I just put in, under three and a half, he's only minus 190 to go third overall. That's
02:22kind of weird, right? Yeah. Well, I think the concern is that the Rockets are going
02:26to trade that pick, and then... And the question is, to who, and what do they want? To who
02:30and what do they want, exactly, and in this draft, that's a lot of names, and it might
02:33end up being Donovan Clingan. What teams are looking to move up in this draft, you know,
02:37and why? Memphis. Memphis needs a rim protector. Yeah. Who else? Maybe... San Antonio. San
02:46Antonio. San Antonio, for sure. Packaging four and eight together, they could move up
02:49to three, and then if you're the Rockets, you go down one, and maybe you get... Maybe
02:52the Thunder. Yeah. Maybe they want a big man to give, to pair with Chet. Yeah, they also
02:59need another guard now. Yeah, they do. Well, I guess not, though. I guess not. I mean,
03:04they could use one. Yeah. I would just say that. Right now, the Athletic is mocking the
03:09Thunder, and listen, like, anything that you mock, like, I think is probably not happening
03:14when it comes to the Thunder, because they just keep everything super tight. Yeah. But
03:17the Athletic is mocking the Thunder to take Bub Harrington out of Pittsburgh. Yeah, so
03:22that's... He's somebody to at least consider, and look around at some of his different...
03:28his different prices.