• 6 months ago
Transcript
00:00So let's go to Atlanta minus 200 the price on the money line for the Braves.
00:07Max Freed gets the start against the Tigers. Reese Olsen on the other side
00:12over under is 8. Donnie Reese Olsen was off to a great start this year despite
00:16just a 1-5 record but at the end of May he was 1-5 with a 1-9-2 ERA
00:22just because the Tigers couldn't hit or score runs when he was on the bump.
00:26Three starts though in June. 17 earned runs given up in total. It's why the
00:32Braves with Freed on the bump are a $2.00 favorite tonight. And the Braves
00:37lineup doesn't project all that great here. First four batters in the lineup
00:40Kalanick, Ozuna, Olsen, and Albies are okay. After that Riley, Duvall, Murphy,
00:44Arcea, and Laureano against ready to pitching over the past month been a
00:48disaster but let's take a look at Reese Olsen and you're right seasonal
00:51statistics. Hey look at this Ben. A 111 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of
00:54298 through 303 batters. Sign me up. Oh no. Take a look at the last 114 batters
01:00over the past 30 days. That jumps to a 231 ISO and a 411 weighted on base
01:05percentage. But get this. Lefty batters. He had him under control to start the
01:09season. Lefty batters in the last 55. How about a 388 ISO and a weighted on base
01:13percentage of 574. So if you're looking in this lineup you say Donnie I don't
01:18know if I trust the Braves offense in total. By the way Jared Kalanick here
01:21back-to-back games with leadoff home runs. He's gonna be back in that leadoff
01:24spot and he's got a 300 ISO power number against righties. Then you take
01:28a look at Matt Olsen in the middle of that lineup. 219 ISO and a weighted on
01:31base percentage of 359. Those guys would be on the roster for me tonight and
01:35you're right. Max Reed should be able to go right through that Detroit lineup. You
01:38should take the Braves maybe in a parlay piece. I think they win but I'd be more
01:41interested in taking some of those RBI props tonight. 87 degrees at first pitch.
01:45Light winds blowing in but that shouldn't affect the game here. We should
01:48get some runs there as well from a Braves perspective.
01:54you

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