AccuWeather Long-Range Expert Joe Lundberg looks ahead to next week when more severe weather is expected and early tropical development is possible with hurricane season starting on June 1.
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00:00 Hurricane season begins tomorrow.
00:01 Oftentimes we get early season
00:03 development during the month of May.
00:05 Haven't seen it so far.
00:07 Certainly may will end with no storms,
00:10 though. Yeah, and it looks like
00:12 the early part of June.
00:13 There's probably not going to be anything.
00:16 The chance of something development
00:17 developing early in June is pretty low.
00:20 If it's going to happen,
00:21 it's going to be in this general area
00:24 somewhere in the northern Caribbean,
00:26 and really the Southwest Atlantic,
00:27 somewhere near the Bahamas.
00:29 And then upper level disturbance
00:30 will try to come through,
00:31 so it's an opportunity for maybe a
00:33 weak area of low pressure to develop.
00:35 But even if it does,
00:36 it's likely to be shunted out
00:38 into the Central Atlantic,
00:39 so it's of no concern to the US.
00:41 Alright, let's get about the three things
00:43 we have to be worried about next week,
00:45 Joe. Yeah, and we'll highlight that
00:47 is tropical development is a concern.
00:48 It's a minor concern,
00:49 but it is a concern.
00:50 Severe weather.
00:51 I mean, we've been talking
00:52 about that ad infinitum.
00:53 We're still going to talk about it next
00:55 week and a disturbance coming through
00:57 that could trigger another round of
00:59 severe thunderstorms probably by
01:00 Tuesday in the Midwest late in the
01:02 week in the Northeast and the heat
01:03 is going to become a big story in
01:05 the West of the Rockies.
01:06 You're going to see some triple
01:08 d stuff in California and maybe
01:10 parts of Nevada. In fact,
01:11 here's a big picture for next week.
01:13 You see this upper level trough
01:14 at the beginning of the week.
01:15 It's in here.
01:16 That's going to be a vigorous feature
01:18 as it dives east, southeastward.
01:19 It's going to run into warm and humid air,
01:21 and that's going to mean showers
01:23 and thunderstorms.
01:23 And we think this area in here
01:25 is ripe for some severe weather.
01:27 We've seen it.
01:27 In fact, there's going to be
01:29 some heat ahead of it in the East,
01:30 generally warm and increasingly
01:32 humid as you go deeper into the
01:33 week and with that we that trough
01:35 setting up in the central part
01:36 of the United States.
01:38 Joe, we're starting to get more
01:39 worried about severe weather here.
01:41 Yeah, this is a concern again.
01:42 That's a that's a pretty vigorous
01:44 feature Bernie and again the low
01:45 levels are going to be warm and
01:47 increasingly humid so severe
01:48 thunderstorms hail,
01:49 isolated tornadoes,
01:50 damaging wind gusts all in play,
01:51 particularly in Minnesota and
01:53 Wisconsin, Eastern Dakotas,
01:54 but even as far South as Pennsylvania.
01:56 Even as far South as parts of Missouri.
01:58 Now the severe weather certainly
02:00 causes major problems and a lot
02:01 of problems in short term Joe.
02:03 But you know what these rounds of
02:05 thunderstorms and severe weather
02:06 has done some good. It really has.
02:08 This is the area that's really interesting.
02:10 There's almost no drought
02:12 in this area right now.
02:13 It's completely gone and it was in
02:15 a pretty significant drought.
02:16 Not all that long ago and with
02:18 this round coming through next week,
02:20 it's probably going to mean more rain.
02:22 Behind that feature, though,
02:23 I think you're going to see a cool down.
02:26 Big upper level trough dives
02:27 in to the nation's midsection.
02:28 You're going to see temperature
02:30 below normal here from the period
02:31 June 8th through June 12th.
02:33 We're talking like 5 to 10 degrees below
02:35 normal for that time of the year.