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00:00 >> So the Celtics sweep in the Eastern Conference finals winning the ECF in only 4 games might
00:09 we see the same in the Western Conference where the Dallas Mavericks have a 3 '03 is
00:14 advantage ahead of game number 4 tonight in Dallas and the Mavericks are a slight home
00:19 favorite but a wide before we preview game number 4 and get your full breakdown and thoughts
00:24 for this 4th game tonight. Let's look back on the previous 3 games 2 of them since we
00:29 all last spoke on the early line a week ago Friday night in Minneapolis the Luka Donchich
00:35 dagger over Rudy Gobert that completed a 32 point triple double and then Luka backed it
00:41 up with 33 in game number 3 Kyrie also added in 33 points as the Mavs won on their own
00:48 home floor 116 107 covering is just a 1 and a half point favorite.
00:54 >> KY what has been the biggest thing that has stood out to you as to why Dallas has
00:59 won all 3 games.
01:01 >> Well simply put their 2 superstars are playing better than the supposed superstars
01:06 on the other side. I mean we're looking Kyrie are doing you know with Kyrie I think 27.7
01:12 look at 32.7 is the ability then that I think is really impressive is this dynamic duo is
01:18 the ability of trading roles who's the Batman who's the Robin who who is the guy that takes
01:24 over games you've seen periods and I would say halves when it's been Kyrie that's taken
01:30 over games you look at game 1 and then then you look at you know the second half of Luka
01:36 there so to me they've been really really good and you know for the flip side the play
01:42 of Anthony Edwards has been subpar at best at times and that's great comparing to what
01:49 you're talking about Carl Anthony Towns who looks like he just turned into a pumpkin shooting
01:55 27.8% per floor and the self-proclaimed greatest big man shooter of all time shooting a whopping
02:04 I think I saw that right on the graphic 13.6% that is not going to get it done those 2 have
02:11 struggled this entire series although I do think some of the struggles can also be attributed
02:17 to coaching errors particularly having what happened at the end of that Luka dodged dagger
02:24 in game number 3.
02:26 It's one thing coach to be down you know 3-0 in a series and say all right man we're just
02:30 getting beat by the better team here we're giving our a effort every night they're just
02:34 a little bit better but we haven't seen that here and we're not taking any credit away
02:37 from the Mavericks as it is tough to beat a team and be a 3-0 specifically the Ilks
02:41 of the Minnesota Timberwolves but hear me out on this what has to change and what can
02:45 change because you're right like car Anthony Towns wide open three-point shots he should
02:49 be knocking down at least 40% of those slightly and also take a look at Anthony Edwards where
02:54 you might say he's a younger player but earlier in the playoffs he was absolutely sensational
02:58 we haven't seen that from him yet if I am looking to back the Minnesota Timberwolves
03:03 in a game tonight coach what has to change and what can I look forward to it is it just
03:08 so simple of those two guys playing better or other guys stepping up around them.
03:13 Donnie I don't I don't know if I could trust Kat right now I mean I felt guys I generally
03:21 felt bad for Carl Anthony Towns watching them shoot those threes particularly in the second
03:26 half of game number three because you know what guys like it looked like he shot him
03:32 because he had to right not because he wanted to right he was open he had to shoot it there
03:39 was no confidence there was no belief in like as he let it go you're like all right this
03:44 is going in because you guys know how it is the whole ball is to right shooters going
03:48 shoot and you got to believe that you're always one shot away from getting going but when
03:53 you are Carl Anthony Towns in the last three games you are three for 22 from three point
03:59 range guys I've seen it as a coach guys have doubts guys question themselves guys don't
04:07 believe that it's going to go in so when you're Chris when you coach Finch like do you get
04:13 this guy out of the game do you go to a Nas Reed who I could say has been the second best
04:19 player from Minnesota check that at times their best player this series do you give
04:24 Nas Reed more run I think so now the expense of who is it go bear I mean you can't complain
04:31 about Rudy because Rudy's going to do what Rudy's going to do it's got to be Kat so now
04:35 you got a guy that going into the season was going to get treated right it wasn't going
04:39 to work then the whole season they played great now we're back to oh my goodness this
04:45 guy's like the Tobias Harris of the Midwest we can't get rid of him fast enough so to
04:51 me you got to get Kat to play a lot better but other guys have to step up including the
04:56 head coach it seems like Carl Anthony Towns could benefit from getting in the lab back
05:02 in his native Garden State with one coach J Y to learn how to find his confidence in
05:07 the three ball you want to trust a big to shoot a three go to the other big from New
05:12 Jersey Nas Reed who made seven triples in game number two to keep the Timberwolves in
05:19 that basketball game ultimately before Luka Doncic did hit the game winner under five
05:24 ticks remaining in regulation I thought that was a very sound question from one DRS is
05:29 there anything that Minnesota can kind of hang its hat on to think that they can get
05:34 back in this series so J Y is there anything Minnesota can do to get back in this series
05:41 how long do you see the Western Conference Finals playing out at this point well I said
05:48 Minnesota in seven so I need them to get going starting tonight if I think that this is gonna
05:54 happen listen at the end of the day you have to be better and honestly you know as much
05:59 as I've kind of gone after cat I mean I think Anthony Edwards hasn't valued the basketball
06:04 either I mean he's made some boneheaded mistakes and boneheaded plays particularly with his
06:10 passing that he must be much much better than so you're gonna get the best effort I think
06:16 you may see more of Nas Reed we'll talk about the props in the next segment but you need
06:21 honestly you need Ant-Man to give you an Ant-Man performance that we have not seen what guys
06:27 in like six games so we need something we need a 35-piece we need him to be the best
06:34 player on the floor hands down and take the ball to the rack with reckless abandonment
06:39 and let him go maybe you know the fact that we'll see what happens with lively who's been
06:44 really good maybe lively with the neck that can kind of give you more abilities in fact
06:49 the basket he's been really good but at the end of the day you got a lean on your superstar
06:55 because honestly I didn't say stars because I can't put cat in a conversation because
06:58 he's got no confidence right now.
07:01 Anthony Edwards has actually been under 27 and a half in now six consecutive games and
07:08 the times he has been over he has scored 33 plus but three of those times came in the
07:14 first four games of the postseason and that opening round sweep over Phoenix will we see
07:19 a fifth game what happens in game four find out that game for the Western Conference finals
07:26 tonight in Dallas between the Minnesota Timberwolves and those Mavericks is it over tonight with
07:32 the Mavs holding a 3-0 series advantage over Minnesota entering this fourth game the odds
07:38 makers tend to think so but it's not the strongest ever spread we have seen for a game for Dallas
07:44 just a two-point home favorite now minus 126 on the money line the total the highest we
07:50 have seen so far in any of the any of the four games in this set the over understands
07:55 at 211 so let's start there J-Y is this series over tonight and if not what is the advantage
08:04 the Timberwolves take advantage of to at least get their first victory in the Western Conference
08:09 finals.
08:11 I'm going down on my sword they're winning tonight this series is not over I believe
08:17 in Minnesota I believe in my jersey guys well I believe in one Jersey guy his name is Nas
08:24 Reed sorry he's from Asbury Park Mother's County stand up we in the building North Jersey
08:28 Carl Anthony tells I'm sorry I ain't riding you no more brother I had to left that train
08:32 station after the last game but that's okay that's okay nasty Nas Reed is gonna come in
08:38 but Ben you're making a point here I heard you the over under being 210 and a half if
08:44 we get more Nas Reed less defense especially if he plays for Rudy Gobert Ben over 210 and
08:55 a half I like that I think there's gonna be points tonight.
08:59 Taking a look at some of those prop bets and again I do like Nas Reed over 12 and a half
09:03 currently at the FanBlue Sportsbook at a minus 128 but if we focus on big picture guys the
09:07 Anthony Edwards and also Luka Doncic here we look at those price points here like oh
09:11 Luka's got to get to the 30s trust me tonight if the Dallas Mavericks are going to close
09:15 out this series I believe Luka Doncic is going to have a monster game plan which includes
09:19 the possibility of a triple double but coach the possibility of a triple double the opposite
09:23 side is 27 to 1 right now on Anthony Edwards who got oh so close in his last game and you're
09:30 right with me on this if I'm gonna lose a basketball game and if I'm Anthony Edwards
09:34 it's going to be because I lost the game not because Nas Reed wasn't good making 9 or 10
09:39 three-point shots to sort of bail us out how do we look at some of those prop bets on your
09:42 side?
09:43 Oh I'm going Ant-Man and Ant-Man going Ant-Man two guns tonight two guns I mean he's gonna
09:50 be shooting every time he's off don't look at it that's six and a half assists don't
09:54 touch it if there's a shot prop I'm taking over tonight for Ant-Man I think he's gonna
10:01 get the ball up and shoot it a ton hey listen I told you the jersey in the building Nas
10:07 Reed over 12 and a half points over last three five out of seven Carl Anthony Towns North
10:13 Jersey we're not talking to you right Donny you know this because you know that there's
10:17 you know North Central and South Jersey so I'm gonna focus on Central Jersey New Jersey
10:22 score right now because you you're geographically challenged with our state that's okay we'll
10:26 talk about that later but I'd like Nas Reed over 12 and a half and I'll give you one more
10:31 jersey guy I'll go to New Jersey for him Kyrie Irving over his points prop tonight close
10:37 out games 22 30 25 he's got a 27 a 28 a 26 a 30 a 31 in his career I think Kyrie could
10:46 be the guy tonight Kyrie over his points prop Nas Reed over his points prop and Edwards
10:52 over his points prop and over the game to a 10 and a half a jersey flare to the prop
11:00 predictions of one James Young one and a half made threes for Nas Reed that is the number
11:05 the over has the juice at minus 148 only one made triple in game three despite scoring
11:11 14 and going over what that points prop is set at for tonight at 12 and a half but I
11:16 do want to go back to those Mavericks props because you like Kyrie's over 23 and a half
11:21 he has been over with at least 30 in two of the three games never less than 20 in any
11:26 of the three contests so far in the WCF but if Kyrie goes over and Luca approaches his
11:32 points prop once again can the Timberwolves win this basketball game and force at least
11:38 a trip back to Minneapolis what they need they need to slow down looking to be honest
11:45 with you if Luca gets near 30 and Kyrie gets 25 20 points spend it that that's a lot unless
11:51 you play the whole adage of we let the top two players score and then we locked on everybody
11:55 else PJ Washington doesn't do anything we limit a gaffer we limit Jones we limit everyone
12:01 else we just focus on the fact that letting those two guys get the points and then we
12:04 shut everybody else out you can do that if you're Minnesota but it doesn't matter if
12:11 it does not have a huge performance if Nas Reed can't give you what he's giving you and
12:17 if Carl Anthony Towns shoots it one for two hundred and forty eight thousand one hundred
12:21 and fifty two from three you're not gonna win Carl's got to hit a couple threes Nas
12:26 has got to go to work and Ant-Man has got to be that man tonight it's going to be the
12:31 test for Minnesota to survive a fourth game and force a game five or two sweeps in both
12:38 of the conference finals maybe some way to win the break in our three is up next.
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