كيف كان وضع الاقتصاد الإيراني منذ بداية عهد إبراهيم رئيسي ؟
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00:00 So, the Iranian President, Ibrahim Raisi, and his Foreign Minister, President Hussein
00:08 Amir Abdel-Hayyan, died in a helicopter crash.
00:13 What happened in the past hours is that the first deputy to the Iranian president, 68-year-old
00:20 Mohamed Mokhber, is expected to be the interim president of the country and will prepare
00:26 for new elections that will be held in the next 50 days.
00:32 The presidency of Ibrahim Raisi was supposed to begin in August 2021 and was supposed to
00:40 end in August 2025.
00:43 Now, the Western powers, whether American or European, are looking at who will be the
00:49 next president of Iran and what that will mean for the relationship between Iran and
00:55 the Western countries, especially since the Foreign Minister who died in a helicopter
01:00 crash is considered one of the hardliners, meaning that he is strict in foreign policy
01:06 for Iran with the Western powers.
01:08 These are the most important events that we have seen in the presidency.
01:14 We had the wave of popular protests in September 2022, which was a series of demonstrations
01:21 following the murder of an Iranian young woman who was detained by the Iranian government.
01:28 We had the resumption of relations with Saudi Arabia, the return of rapprochement with Egypt
01:32 and the exchange of direct attacks with Israel for the first time after the Israeli war
01:38 on Gaza, which to a large extent shed light on this file and affected the view of the
01:45 Western countries on the importance of reaching a nuclear agreement with Iran.
01:52 The riots that Iran suffered during the last period of US administration were also among
01:59 the highlights or the focus areas for the Ibrahim Raisi era.
02:05 At first, we had riots in Iran that allowed for procedures for limited transactions, such
02:11 as allowing Iraq to transfer $10 billion to Iran and cancel future payments in Iranian
02:17 bank accounts in Oman.
02:19 In 2023, we had the cancellation of Biden's administration to freeze $6 billion of Iranian
02:25 assets in South Korea, which was converted into the euro currency.
02:30 This is the situation in the Iranian economy in the presidency.
02:34 Of course, the Iranian economy is a profitable economy, meaning that it relies very heavily
02:40 on oil revenues, despite the economic sanctions imposed by Western countries on Iran, to the
02:46 extent that Iran was dealing with oil exports, mainly with countries that did not adopt
02:52 these sanctions, such as China, for example.
02:56 When we talk about these sanctions, it is important to remember that what happened
03:02 to the sanctions chain is the signing of the Iranian nuclear agreement in 2015.
03:08 Former US President Donald Trump voluntarily withdrew from this agreement.
03:13 In the Biden administration's 2021 term, the US administration sought to revive this
03:19 nuclear agreement, but the Israeli war on Gaza complicated the matter greatly.
03:26 The situation with regard to the numbers of Iranian smog is also not positive, especially
03:31 because we had great pressure on Iranian rials.
03:35 This is a deep number of smog, especially since Iran imports a lot of goods from abroad.
03:43 This makes it difficult and increases the cost of living in Iran.
03:48 These numbers for the expected number of smog in 2024, which is 37.5% of the total, are
03:58 considered to be a good number for Iran.
04:01 As for the unemployment rate, we are talking about numbers between 9.9% and 8.9%, according
04:08 to the IMF.
04:10 All eyes will now be on Iran's future in a new presidential term.
04:15 Will foreign policy change?
04:18 Is it possible to witness a different deal from Western countries with Iran?
04:23 This is the most important question.