مع انخفاض المخزونات.. هل تصمد أسعار النفط بالقرب من مستويات 90 دولاراً في عام 2024؟
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00:00According to the Energy Information Administration, oil prices will remain at $90 levels in 2024.
00:10What is most notable is that these prices will remain at $90 levels,
00:18as a result of the continuous reduction in the production of OPEC Plus,
00:22and thus the reduction of the global oil storage at 300,000 barrels per day.
00:28But these are the estimates for 2024.
00:31What about next year, 2025?
00:34According to the Energy Information Administration,
00:37oil prices will remain at $85 per barrel,
00:42as a result of the increase in the global oil storage at 400,000 barrels per day,
00:49and thus the increase in the global oil supply in general.
00:53But what about the gradual reduction in the production of OPEC Plus?
00:57This is one of the reasons that indicates the possibility of fluctuating in the next year.
01:03According to the Energy Information Administration,
01:06in the second half of the next year,
01:09we will add about half a million barrels per day
01:12if OPEC Plus is aimed at the beginning of the reduction and increase in production,
01:16while we will also add another half a million barrels in 2025,
01:22which may distance the oil prices from $90 per barrel.
01:28But what about the gradual increase in production in general?
01:31In 2023, the expectations for the gradual increase in the oil and gas sector
01:37were at about 1.8 million barrels per day,
01:42but this time, in 2024, we are talking about a million barrels per day.
01:48But looking at the different economies that may support these expectations
01:53to reach the expected oil prices at the expected levels,
01:57this increase is of course measured by all of the United States,
02:01Canada, Brazil, and Guyana,
02:03in addition to a number of emerging economies in India.
02:08So the Energy Information Administration sees that the oil prices at $90
02:13will remain at $90 until 2024.