السباق نحو البيت الأبيض.. تقارب الحظوظ بين المرشحين وملفات ساخنة على المحك
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00:00 The year 2024 began with many files that attracted the attention and focus of decision-makers
00:07 and investors around the world.
00:10 Among the rising geopolitical tensions, the fears about the situation of inflation and
00:16 the natural disasters resulting from climate change, these files attracted the attention
00:22 of the world due to their economic and social implications.
00:29 It seems that the end of this year will not be less important or dramatic than its beginning,
00:34 as the world is watching the results of elections, which are the most important among many
00:39 elections that will be held throughout this year, because of their implications not only
00:44 on the domestic market, but also on many political and economic issues around the world.
00:50 The US elections will be held on November 5, which will be very different this year
00:57 from any previous year.
01:00 Despite the fact that the election battle this year will be between two well-known candidates
01:06 for the US presidential election, each of them has already taken his chance in the presidency
01:12 of the White House and has already faced both of them in the 2020 elections, the elections
01:19 this year are different from their previous ones in terms of the political and economic
01:26 implications that America and the world are witnessing.
01:31 On the one hand, each of the two candidates faces great doubts about his candidacy, as
01:37 current President Joe Biden faces a strong doubt about his ability to continue to run
01:43 for another state, while his competitor Trump faces a series of legal challenges.
01:49 On the other hand, this year shows old files that will return to the front, with the possibility
01:55 of Trump's return to the White House.
01:58 Perhaps the most prominent of these files is the file on foreign policy for America,
02:06 which will have a key role in determining the next president of America, in the light
02:12 of the geopolitical tensions and wars that President Joe Biden has witnessed.
02:18 Many investment banks have said that Trump's return to the presidency may leave
02:24 a great impact on oil and energy markets in general, as the Citigroup sees that Trump
02:30 may seek to re-connect with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, which may affect OPEC
02:36 future decisions and may return a part of the supply to the market.
02:41 While the Citigroup also sees that Trump may end the Russian-Ukrainian war, which may
02:47 also leave a lot of impact on gas resources and prices.
02:53 The world witnessed the Russian war on Ukraine during Biden's time, and then the Israeli
02:59 war on Gaza, which resulted in the escalation of tensions between Iran and the West.
03:05 These wars have directly affected the American electorate, as they have caused the rise
03:11 in oil prices and therefore gasoline prices, which has affected the American electorate
03:17 and the cost of living, which makes the American foreign policy file and its role
03:23 among the Western powers a focus of the American street.
03:28 The trade wars file will also face again, specifically with China, as some American
03:34 newspapers reported that Trump is ready to raise the trade security level with China
03:40 through the implementation of new democratic definitions, which will cause a crisis
03:46 for the US federalist who is trying hard to control the huge pressure.
03:53 Finally, the relationship between the White House and the US federalist may face again.
04:01 Former President Trump has sharp opinions towards Jerome Powell, as Donald Trump
04:07 said at the beginning of this year that he will not re-appoint Jerome Powell as president
04:13 of the federalist, after he accused him of trying to reduce the benefit to support the
04:19 party's democratic presence in this year's elections.
04:23 Despite all these files, the American electorate does not find itself excited
04:30 to choose between two candidates who are among the greatest in the history of the
04:35 US elections, while investors see that regardless of which of Biden or Trump,
04:41 the US elections this year represent one of the biggest investment risks due to its
04:47 implications not only on the US economy, but on the global economy.
04:53 May Bin Khadra, Washington.