价值交换逐渐不匹配？ 土团伊党老大频传闹不和
八点最热报 | 国盟内部消息指出，土团党主席慕尤丁和伊党主席哈迪阿旺之间出现了分歧，尽管两人曾在2月14号情人节这天见面，但却只是“逢场作戏”，降到冰点的关系依然没有好转的迹象。究竟为什么合作无间的土团党和伊党，会走到这个地步呢？（主播：蔡心慧）
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00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:04 After Xi Jinping was elected to the presidency in 2020, the First Party and the Tartar Party jointly formed the National Alliance to fight for the election.
00:12 They were almost defeated in the last national election, and almost lost their seats.
00:17 However, the newlyweds, who have been together for less than four years, have now spread the news of discord.
00:24 The internal news of the National Alliance pointed out that there was a difference between the Tartar Party chairman Mu Youding and the First Party chairman Hadi Awang.
00:31 Although the two met on Valentine's Day on February 14, they just played a joke.
00:37 The relationship between the two has not improved since the fall of the party.
00:41 Why did the newlyweds' sweet Tartar Party and the First Party come to this point?
00:47 Is it because the prime minister's candidate is not cold after the next general election?
00:51 Or is it because the political value exchanges between the two parties are not compatible and the First Party thinks it is losing?
00:57 Will this situation lead to the end of the Tartar Party and the First Party?
01:02 According to the Freedom of Information, the relationship between the First Party and the Tartar Party chairman is cold.
01:08 Partly because Mu Youding suddenly withdrew his decision not to run for office at the Tartar Party Congress last year.
01:16 Because this decision has destroyed the layout of the First Party's election of their vice chairman in the next national election, Amos Ansouri, as the prime minister.
01:25 This made Hadi Awang dissatisfied.
01:28 The source also pointed out that since October last year, Mu Youding and Hadi Awang have not appeared on the same stage.
01:34 It was even reported that Hadi Awang had not attended the meeting of the National Alliance leadership for a long time.
01:41 Although the leaders of the National Alliance have come to refute these rumors,
01:45 the relationship between the two parties has become a topic of discussion in all sectors.
01:50 The vice professor of the International Islamic University, Shajar, said in an interview with 8.41 that
01:55 the Tartar Party and the First Party were able to get together at the beginning of the election because of a "all-in-one marriage".
02:01 Because both parties have a common goal after the election of Xi Jinping,
02:05 which is to break down the West Alliance and accept more votes from the Malay electorate.
02:10 However, four years have passed, and the National Alliance has not been able to win the power in the 15th national election.
02:16 Therefore, the Tartar Party and the First Party began to be confused about the direction of their current cooperation,
02:22 which has led to the current friction.
02:25 Huang Jingfa, a political scholar at Shuanghui University, said that
02:28 when a coalition has no chance to recover together, it is very likely that it will not be willing to share the burden.
02:34 In other words, if the Tartar Party cannot regain power or maintain the hope of regaining power,
02:41 it will be prone to collapse.
02:43 But what is different between the Tartar Party and the First Party is that the First Party's ideology is strong enough,
02:49 so even if it has no resources to fight, it can survive.
02:53 As for the Tartar Party, which is said to have people to fight for,
02:57 if it loses its power, it is very likely to go to the back of the 46th spiritual party and it is difficult to survive.
03:04 Huang Jingfa pointed out that not being able to get in is a fatal wound for the Tartar Party,
03:09 and this fatal wound not only causes its members to lose, but also makes Mu Youding's leadership charm gradually weak.
03:15 In the past, the Tartar Party and the First Party cooperated only for their own needs,
03:19 but today the Tartar Party has no way to give the First Party what they want.
03:23 Therefore, under various factors, the value exchange between the Tartar Party and the First Party has become mismatched.
03:29 The First Party will also begin to question why it should support the Tartar Party in the next general election.
03:34 In any case, both commentators believe that the Tartar Party and the First Party will not be divided into two sides in the short term,
03:40 because the two parties still have the value of mutual use.
03:45 Although the political talk frequently spread the news that the Tartar Party chairman Mu Youding and the First Party chairman Hadi Awang did not get along,
03:52 Professor Sajjad, a professor at the International Islamic University, confirmed during an interview with 8.0 News that
03:57 the Tartar Party and the First Party still have an indivisible interest relationship.
04:00 In the current situation of the unity camp, they must love each other and cannot break up,
04:05 so it is unlikely that they will be divided into two sides in the short term.
04:08 We know that the so-called "green wave", people who are voting for the Pekata National, really for us.
04:15 But what would happen to Besatu? They are relatively new, they are small,
04:19 so they need a bigger partner to support them going forward.
04:23 But we have to remember, it also depends on Besatu to get the vote and support of people who may be more reluctant to vote for an Islamist party.
04:34 So that's why I say at this moment, this is the best composition for them.
04:38 Huang Jingfa also said that the Tartar Party and the First Party will not be disintegrated in the short term,
04:43 because once they break up now, they will strengthen the West's power.
04:47 This is definitely not a good thing for the Tartar Party and the First Party.
04:50 However, if the Tartar Party's power continues to decline,
04:53 the First Party, which has the most seats in the National Union, will naturally not take the Tartar Party in its eyes.
04:59 After the six-week election, because the National Union did not make further breakthroughs,
05:03 the question is back to what benefits the Tartar Party can give the National Union.
05:08 First, is the 16th general election still a little bit of a failure?
05:11 Second, if it fails, is there still a good chance?
05:14 So because of this problem, plus the Tartar Party's six members,
05:18 the Islamist party's evaluation of the Tartar Party may be different.
05:24 So don't look at it in the eye.
05:26 As a party, you can't show your strength in the election or in the post-election situation.
05:32 Then your allies will of course look down on you.
05:36 After the 1119 election, the Tartar Party's strength was in decline.
05:40 So why did the First Party still support Mujahideen as the prime minister?
05:44 The Golden Law believes that this is because Mujahideen represent the mainstream of Muslim thinking.
05:48 And the First Party clearly knows that they have no way to get into the mainstream.
05:52 So it is necessary to rely on a Malay mainstream party to make them mainstream.
05:56 This can absorb the support of the middle voters.
05:58 But once the First Party finds the right prime minister, it is likely to ask the Tartar Party to give way.
06:04 The Islamist party voted for the first prime minister,
06:10 and the first prime minister was chosen by the Tartar Party.
06:13 This is a fact.
06:15 Because the Golden Law is more in line with the mainstream of Malay thinking.
06:20 So if it can get a replacement, then it doesn't need to be Mujahideen.
06:24 In any case, Sajah believes that the difference between the Tartar Party and the First Party
06:28 may become a reason for the opposition to provoke the Tartar Party.
06:31 This is a reason why some people are questioning the power of the Tartar Party.
06:34 But overall, the disagreement between Mujahideen and the Tartar Party
06:37 will not affect the support of the Tartar Party in the upcoming national election.
06:41 Because voters don't care about internal politics,
06:43 and don't care what happened to the Tartar Party.
06:46 Malaysian voters in general don't really pay much attention to internal politics,
06:53 or even politics in general.
06:55 So they don't really care so much what is going on behind the scenes.
06:59 All they need to know is what the party stands for, what it symbolizes.
07:05 Huang Jing-fa, a political scholar at the Sino-US University, also pointed out that
07:11 although Hadi Awang and Mu Yudin are not on good terms,
07:13 it may not make the Tartar Party and the First Party break up immediately,
07:16 but it forms an impenetrable bomb.
07:19 The two parties are likely to disintegrate before and after the 16th national election.
07:23 She said that once the Tartar Party is really divided,
07:26 some voters from the Tartar Party may be re-elected to the WTO or the West League.
07:31 But some voters who are dissatisfied with the reunification of the government
07:34 will leave the party from a nationalist perspective,
07:37 and make the First Party stronger.
07:41 Therefore, when it comes to the 16th general election,
07:44 although the West League and the WTO may increase the number of seats
07:47 due to the re-election of these Tartar Party members,
07:49 the First Party is likely to rise.
07:51 From the original 43 seats, it will increase to about 50 seats,
07:56 and continue to be the largest Malay political party.
08:00 To be continued...
08:04 To be continued...
08:08 To be continued...
08:12 [BLANK_AUDIO]