"价值交换"不对等 土团党伊党 “爱情面对考验”？
八点最热报 | 第15届全国大选之后，国盟执政中央美梦落空，没有中央政府资源来分赃，土团和伊党这对“小夫妻”处于不对称的价值交换状态下，关系因而也出现微妙变化。如今，土团和伊党这段感情，还能走下去吗？（主播：蔡心惠）
Transcript
00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:03 Before the 15th national election of 119,
00:08 the party and the local group party, this couple,
00:10 fought together,
00:11 and united against the outside,
00:12 moving forward towards the common dream of "invasion of the mainland".
00:16 But after the election,
00:17 the party has not only achieved outstanding results,
00:19 but also became the largest political party in the country,
00:22 and also has the resources to govern four provinces.
00:25 The Nationalist Party of China is in the middle of a dream,
00:28 without the resources of the central government to divide.
00:30 The two parties are in an asymmetrical value exchange state,
00:34 and the relationship has also changed subtly.
00:37 After the election in Liuzhou and the Gamawan national election,
00:40 some problems between the party and the local group party
00:42 have begun to emerge.
00:45 Can the relationship between the party and the local group party go on?
00:49 Who loves who more,
00:53 and who relies on who more?
00:56 Recently, the local group party's fifth-level cadre member,
01:00 Sai Abugusian, who has been supporting his underling Anhua,
01:03 has been saying that he relies on the party,
01:06 and that he can win the last election so beautifully.
01:11 He said that the grassroots and election mechanisms of the local group party itself are not strong,
01:15 and if the party decides not to ally with the local group party,
01:19 the local group party will not win so many seats.
01:23 However, Zheng Minglie, a researcher at the Huayuan think tank,
01:26 and Amo Fawozi, a professor of politics at the University of Lincoln,
01:29 pointed out during an interview with the Eight-Point Sun.
01:31 To talk about the local group party and the first-party,
01:33 who relies on who more,
01:35 first of all, we need to use the area to distinguish.
01:38 In Jilandan and Dengjialou in the east coast,
01:40 the local group party did not use its own political party or national alliance logo
01:44 in the national election last year,
01:45 but changed to the first-party logo,
01:47 and then relied on the first-party forces,
01:49 so that the local group party won the two states.
01:53 On the contrary, in the states other than Jilandan and Dengjialou,
01:56 including Bolishi, Pili, Xuelan and Yixi,
02:00 the first-party is in the Tuduan Party's vote,
02:03 so that it can win some seats.
02:06 Zheng Minglie also mentioned that
02:07 the local group party itself has a flaw in the first place.
02:11 In the early days, it relied on the Uyghurs and the Communist Party,
02:14 and the large number of frog members who jumped the nest grew overnight.
02:17 However, it is precisely because of this basis
02:20 that the local group party does not have a unified and mature political concept and a strong grassroots.
02:24 This also triggers the problem of faction struggle within the party,
02:28 which makes it difficult for the party members to establish a faith in the party.
02:32 Although the party leader Mu Youding used to be the prime minister,
02:35 he has been subject to the first-party and the Uyghurs during his tenure,
02:40 and was pulled off the stage without enough time to arrange political resources.
02:44 Now, the party can only count on the leaders who can compete with the united government.
02:50 On the contrary, Zheng Minglie believes that
02:52 the first-party is the old-fashioned political party that has been rooted in the East China Sea for decades.
02:56 In addition to having a strong religious and political belief and training,
03:01 the leaders also have a strong million grassroots party members.
03:04 More importantly,
03:06 compared with the local group party,
03:07 the first-party itself has been working hard to expand their power to other central governments,
03:11 and train their grassroots to make arrangements for the future.
03:16 Now, the first-party has more shareholding and control of resources in four states than the local group party,
03:22 and the right to speak has also changed,
03:24 which makes the relationship between the two parties more unbalanced.
03:27 This is like a couple who came out of poverty.
03:30 Although they used to work hard together,
03:32 after the development,
03:33 many times,
03:34 there will be changes in the values of both parties.
03:38 As a result, the relationship will light up.
03:42 The first-party and the local group party are like a couple in the national dream.
03:45 In the absence of equal strength,
03:47 will the local group party have the confidence to get rid of the first-party and establish its own door?
03:51 The research fellow at Huayen Waste Management Institute, Zheng Minglie, said during an interview that
03:54 the local group party is currently a "inner trouble, outer trouble."
03:57 In addition to the factions fighting within the party,
03:59 and the basic plate not being stable,
04:01 the power is also gradually being divided by the first-party.
04:04 If the first-party and the local group party break up,
04:06 then the local group party will also become a bubble in the hands of the first-party.
04:10 Professor Amofa Wuzi, a professor at the University of Likhe,
04:13 does not see the local group party as a strong party,
04:17 but based on the fact that the local group party was once a part of the West,
04:20 he does not rule out the possibility that the local group party will embrace the West again after leaving the first-party.
04:25 If Besatu were to leave us,
04:27 and it were to operate independently,
04:30 I don't think that it will survive as a party.
04:32 Just a few years ago, in 2018,
04:34 Besatu was in Pakatan Harapan.
04:36 So there's always the possibility that they might rejoin back.
04:39 I don't discount that possibility.
04:40 But for them to leave us, for instance,
04:43 and survive on its own,
04:44 no, I don't think that it will help their cause on this point.
04:47 The local group party now finds out who to rely on.
04:49 If the first-party does not help,
04:51 it will not have enough resources.
04:53 If no one feeds it, it will not be able to mobilize.
04:56 People who can't eat enough, people who are hungry,
04:58 it will find a way to get out.
04:59 Politics is a kind of public interest,
05:01 it is an exchange of interests,
05:02 it is a kind of struggle for resources.
05:04 You see, in our cooperation,
05:06 it won four states.
05:07 It is distributing the food,
05:08 distributing the resources,
05:09 in terms of the public interest,
05:10 it is completely ignoring the local group.
05:13 As the first-party's power grows,
05:15 will the first-party abandon the local group and leave the National Alliance?
05:18 Two viewers think that
05:20 looking at the current political situation in China,
05:21 there is no political party
05:23 that can become a government on its own.
05:25 Everyone must cooperate in an alliance,
05:28 and form a joint government.
05:30 Although it is not ruled out that the first-party will leave the National Alliance in the future,
05:32 but Amor Fawci pointed out that
05:34 at present, it is unlikely.
05:36 Zheng Minglie believes that
05:38 if the first-party leaders continue to be conservative,
05:40 then it is only a matter of time before the first-party leaves the National Alliance.
05:44 I think PAS also very well understands and knows
05:48 that if denied or deprived of Bersatus cooperation,
05:52 its chances or possibility of conquering the whole nation
05:58 is almost non-existent.
05:59 Because PAS does not have enough groundwork
06:02 or grassroot support in states
06:05 to lead in Western Peninsular Malaysia
06:07 and Southern Peninsular Malaysia.
06:09 That's a possibility,
06:11 but not a big possibility.
06:13 If PAS were to leave PN,
06:14 that would probably be because PAS would join forces
06:17 with other groups or other parties
06:20 in a refurbished Pakatan Harapan.
06:22 The first-party leadership is a relatively
06:24 they are a big tower, I believe in me,
06:25 but they don't understand or have other feelings.
06:28 It depends on the first-party itself.
06:30 It depends on the leader's heart and vision.
06:33 If they follow the conservative path,
06:34 they will be divided with the National Alliance sooner or later.
06:36 But if there is a more centralist group
06:38 that has the intention to replace the West
06:41 with a united government,
06:43 then they may sit down again
06:45 and negotiate with the PAS.
06:46 It depends on who is leading.
06:48 According to the former chairman of the National Alliance,
06:51 the first-party has reached its limit of support
06:53 before it cooperated with the PAS.
06:55 But after joining the National Alliance,
06:57 the support rate has increased.
06:59 For this, Zheng Minglie believes
07:01 that the first-party support rate will increase
07:03 mainly because of many
07:04 emotional votes for the PAS.
07:07 The first-party has been in some areas of the West Coast in the past.
07:09 Its voting rate is not too high.
07:11 So besides the supporters of the PAS,
07:15 its main votes still come from the PAS.
07:17 I think the protagonist doesn't care about the National Alliance.
07:20 The most important thing is that the supporters of the PAS
07:22 are in the future.
07:23 This time it supports the National Alliance.
07:25 Will it be retained next time?
07:27 It has moved the development of the whole political system.
07:29 [Music]
07:31 In the case of unequal relations,
07:33 how long will the cooperation between the PAS and the first-party
07:36 continue?
07:38 Zheng Minglie believes that the PAS is currently being tested.
07:42 In addition to facing the internal faction struggle,
07:45 it also faces the problem of the first-party's exclusive resources.
07:48 If the first-party continues to grow in the future,
07:50 the PAS and the first-party will eventually only support each other.
07:54 Zheng Minglie also mentioned that
07:55 after the 1119 election,
07:58 the cooperation between the parties will form a new arrangement.
08:02 In the future, it is likely that there will be a reunion.
08:05 What will happen to the PAS, the PAS and the first-party
08:08 in the future?
08:11 No one dares to write a guarantee.
08:13 [Music]
08:19 [Music]