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00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 We transitioned from team and,
00:06 rather team and total to,
00:09 who do you think is gonna be the key player in this game?
00:11 We can talk MVP or individual player props,
00:13 I'll let you take it away.
00:14 - Oh, I've got so many player props for you.
00:17 My favorite play in the game,
00:18 it's gonna be an under actually.
00:20 I love George Kittle, under longest reception,
00:23 21 and a half total yards.
00:25 I absolutely hate saying that too
00:27 because I went to the University of Iowa
00:29 and I'm a fellow Hawkeye with George Kittle.
00:31 We graduated together.
00:33 I want him to have a great game,
00:34 but I gotta fade him a little bit with this under.
00:37 Reason being, the Chiefs allow for the third
00:40 least explosive plays in the NFL.
00:42 They defend the tight end position very well.
00:44 39 different tight ends this season,
00:46 only 36% of them went over 21 and a half
00:49 receiving yards as a total, not even a longest reception.
00:52 Just two went over this line.
00:54 I've gotta fade Kittle a little bit
00:56 under longest reception, 21 and a half yards.
00:58 - You know, in a week like this,
00:59 you can talk yourself in and out of almost
01:01 every single bet on the board,
01:03 but that's one where you have to stay true
01:05 to the data that you've seen so far.
01:07 Nick Bolton, Trent McDuffie, LeJarius Sneed,
01:11 all guys that we cover in Kittle
01:12 and potentially limiting what he can do
01:15 from an explosive play standpoint.
01:16 Doesn't mean that Kittle can't rack up a bunch of catches,
01:19 but maybe take the explosive plays out of that.
01:22 All right, so that's somebody on the Niners.
01:24 Anybody on the Chiefs that you like, under or over?
01:26 - I don't have a specific prop for it,
01:29 but one bet that I love right now
01:31 is for the leading rusher in the Super Bowl
01:33 to be running back of the Chiefs, Isaiah Pacheco.
01:36 Everybody's gonna be all over Christian McCaffrey,
01:38 and you can get this at Plus Money right now.
01:40 So for me, the way that Pacheco has been used
01:43 throughout these playoffs for the Chiefs,
01:45 he's been so much more efficient than McCaffrey has been.
01:48 He's been the leading scorer
01:49 in every single playoff this season.
01:51 Leading rusher, excuse me, McCaffrey has not been.
01:54 So I've gotta go with that, especially at Plus Money.
01:56 Why would I not sprinkle a little something on it?
01:59 - Yeah, we mentioned it a number of times this week.
02:01 Isaiah Pacheco touched the ball 28 times
02:03 against the Ravens.
02:04 Five of his last seven games, he's seen over 20 touches.
02:08 His rushing attempts prop is 16 and a half
02:11 at the Bet MGM Sportsbook.
02:13 His rushing yards, 67 and a half.
02:15 I'm over on both of those.
02:17 And the MVP, it was 35 to one.
02:21 It's creeping down a little bit,
02:23 I think as more people try to see
02:25 if there's somebody other than Patrick Mahomes
02:27 that can win a Super Bowl MVP.
02:28 He's two for two in their victories.
02:30 No running back has won a Super Bowl MVP
02:32 since Terrell Davis after the 1998 season.
02:35 So we understand it's a long shot,
02:38 but when you start to build the storyline
02:40 that we're building and correlate your bets,
02:43 is it worth a little sprinkle at 20 bucks at 35 to one?
02:46 - It could be.
02:47 You could be getting an insane payout,
02:50 so maybe it's worth it.
02:51 - That's right.
02:51 We understand that when we're talking long shots,
02:54 they're long shots for a reason,
02:55 but you can correlate your bets
02:57 and start to construct the way you think
02:59 the game is going to happen and bet accordingly.
03:01 All right, so we got a running back and a tight end.
03:04 Let's separate the QBs for a moment.
03:05 Patrick Mahomes, do you think this is mostly Pacheco
03:09 and Mahomes has a somewhat muted game for him?
03:12 Or do you think there's gonna be an opportunity for him
03:14 to throw multiple touchdowns?
03:16 - I could see him throwing multiple touchdowns.
03:18 I think I am not particularly on a prop
03:21 pertaining to Patrick Mahomes.
03:23 Just because I feel like we have seen Patrick Mahomes
03:27 not as throw as much as he has over the last few seasons.
03:31 They've leaned a lot on that run
03:32 and it's been a madhouse with who's gonna be
03:35 that wide receiver one for quite some time
03:37 there in Kansas City throughout the year.
03:39 I'm not really touching anything with him
03:41 and I feel like everybody else on the other side
03:43 with 49ers, Brock Purdy, we wanna see him doing great.
03:46 He's an underdog, of course everybody wants
03:48 that good feel good story.
03:50 I'm not as confident.
03:51 I know one of the biggest bets
03:52 that people are betting right now
03:53 is for Brock Purdy to throw an interception
03:55 and I am also one of those bettors
03:56 that will be betting on Brock Purdy
03:58 to throw an interception in this game.
04:00 (upbeat music)
04:03 (upbeat music)