Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00The Lions though are under a field goal favorite at home with the Buffalo Bills coming into their building who had themselves
00:07Quite the win streak, but but snapped last week and the loss to the Rams
00:13So you have this two and a half point spread and you have a total sitting big time
00:17No doubt at fifty four and a half. It's a tricky game. It is one where it feels like
00:26needs it to
00:29Games in a row
00:30Well, we've seen Buffalo lose two games in a row this year because they had back-to-back road games against the Ravens and the Texans
00:37two teams above
00:38500 the Buffalo Bills are
00:40Winless this season on the road against teams above 500 and now they're playing the team with the best record in football
00:48Look, I'm not trying to disrespect the Buffalo Bills, but there's no way
00:52I don't bet the Detroit Lions under a field goal at home Donnie in this spot
00:56No, you're absolutely right about that because sometimes we look as handicappers Kevin like what are we missing from this one?
01:01Like what's the situation and why doesn't this make sense?
01:04Because I look at the two and a half which it opened up still sits at two and a half right now
01:08I look at the ticket count roughly seven out of ten tickets coming on the Buffalo Bills and again spot might be decent for
01:13The bills but understand this and I get it the quarterback position Joe best in the NFL just might be Josh Allen
01:19Yeah, if you look at running back, it's Detroit offensive line. It's Detroit overall defensive measures
01:24It's Detroit and their home and it's under a field goal Joe help me with it
01:28Yeah, well you think about Detroit and how they play games?
01:31They're built to go explosive high up tempo type of games where they they put up 50 points or they're built to go
01:38Lower scoring run the football be more methodical and work off the defense
01:43So they are built as a full team and that's the one thing when you look at them right now
01:47They could go either way depending upon how Josh Allen and the Buffalo offense go
01:52I will say the last game that they did play against Green Bay. We saw Josh Jacobs have success on the ground
01:58I expect James Cook in terms of this matchup to have success
02:0249 and a half is his prop. I think Buffalo takes a different type of approach
02:06They want to maybe sustain drives a little bit more because look at what LA did to them. They jumped up early
02:12They felt that they could go toe-to-toe from an offensive perspective. They won the turnover battle
02:18Kick in terms of the pump block and that changed the whole complexity of the first half and Josh Allen was faced into in terms
02:25Of a catch-up type of situation. I don't think that's the case today
02:28I think they try to run the football and then put the pressure on Jarrick off now
02:32I do feel that st. Brown though has a big day today 70 and a half is his prop
02:38I like Buffalo though because of their ability to run the football. I think that's where it gets done
02:42I think the Detroit rush defense has stepped up a number of times throughout the season
02:46We'll see if they can do it again
02:47Josh last week used his legs a ton as much as he really has all season long and that lost to the LA Rams
02:54I think what's interesting is in that game for Buffalo when you when you play as
03:01appealing of the game right as Buffalo did last week it is
03:06Somehow it's not all that concerning again
03:09Like the Bills lost last week and it's Wow is Josh the best quarterback in football and just to make the comparison
03:14Eagles won last week and we're wondering if this team's going to lose out now all the sudden right but for Buffalo
03:22Josh played great. He's played great all season long. The defense was abused start to finish and
03:30Now you enter a game with both safeties and Taylor Rapp and DeMar Hamlin on the injury report
03:35Maybe they go tells me they're not a hundred percent and now the Lions who we know are versatile
03:40Offensively and can attack you however, you'd like on the ground through the air deep a short, you know intermediate areas of the field
03:47It makes for a very difficult challenge here. I think Donny you also just kind of mentioned the spot
03:52I think the Lions are in a significantly better spot having last played on a Thursday, right?
03:59This is a team that also played on a Thursday, but not on a short week, right?
04:03It was a Thursday to Thursday situation now on a mini by here compared to a Buffalo team who was out in LA last week
04:10I find the Lions to be again in a significantly better spot and I'll add this as well. Look sometimes we see teams where
04:18Okay, eventually your your cards gonna get pulled. It's not gonna work your direction
04:22We talk about Kansas City all the time
04:24But I've bet I've laid points with the Chiefs this year once
04:27It was laying two and a half at home against Baltimore because you know
04:31If you can DRS get to a spot where you lay
04:34Under a field goal with one of the best teams in the league at home. It's hard to pass up
04:40It is hard to pass up and also that's why we're trying to level because some outlets actually are showing a minus 2 at this
04:45Point here from Detroit. So you're saying do what's they know something?
04:48We don't because you are coming in significantly in a better spot as Kevin point out and rightfully so because yes
04:53Traveling out to the West Coast and using a lot of energy and losing that game and I continue to bring up this point
04:58It wasn't as if Buffalo went out there and lost 1413's at all. Gosh down to a late interception
05:02They correct that they'll be back into it. No, there was so many leaks in that secondary now
05:05We're not saying they could be as effective if Matthew Stafford was at that spot
05:09we're talking about Jared Goff has had the ability to throw touchdown passes a running game that should keep the
05:14Everything balanced and also a secondary that you just don't get towards last week
05:17That's going to get pressured from guys like Jamison Williams Williamson and also coming through there with Amara st
05:22Brown and that's why I think the rushing attack is critical for Buffalo because of the defensive
05:27Inefficiencies you want to stay on the football field as long as possible to give your defense a break, right?
05:32That's why we're seeing the 54 and a half's as well
05:34I mean Detroit puts up 34 in the window over Green Bay and we saw
05:3942 points out of Buffalo and we also saw their defense give up 44 to Matt Stafford
05:44That's why you're seeing such a high total. I lean to the under in terms of the matchup
05:48But again, if Buffalo is gonna win this game, they're gonna have to run the football
05:52They're gonna have to get in the area of about a hundred and thirty
05:55140 yards per game and kept to be honest can't be all Josh Allen. It has to be those running backs