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00:00 So, now let's go to the other side.
00:07 Game script for the Chiefs.
00:08 Ignore that you maybe are leaning towards the Niners.
00:11 How do the Chiefs win this game and who correlates to the MVP?
00:14 Again, correlation this game for me and the Kansas City Chiefs, it's simple.
00:19 This game goes over, Mike, that's a 49ers number here.
00:22 They have to win, talking about the Kansas City Chiefs, at a slower pace, which is what
00:25 they're doing.
00:26 You take a look at the playoff games that they played.
00:28 26-7 over the Miami Dolphins.
00:30 Played from the front the entire way.
00:31 The Buffalo Bills played from the front in that game.
00:34 And then you take a look at the AFC Championship game.
00:35 Didn't even score in the second half.
00:37 Didn't need to.
00:38 They played from the front.
00:39 If they get behind, we're going to have to start pressing it down.
00:41 Now, as I talked about Brock Purdy as well, where I like Christian McCaffrey technically
00:45 as the MVP market here for the San Francisco 49ers.
00:47 If it's a high-scoring game, you know what that means?
00:49 Brock Purdy did well, but also Christian McCaffrey probably found Pater two times here.
00:53 If you look at the Kansas City Chiefs and it's going to be a high-tempo offense, that
00:56 means Isaiah Pacheco is probably not getting the fair share, right?
00:59 That means Rasheed Rice is going to step in.
01:01 Travis Kelce, but here's the issue.
01:02 The one thing we take a look at with the Kansas City Chiefs, not explosive.
01:06 More of let's go 7-8-9 plays down the field to score a touchdown.
01:09 The 49ers can strike it big quickly here.
01:11 So the game script here, if we go over, I think it's a 49ers game, but you know Patrick
01:16 Mahomes, as you said, in the fourth quarter, if you're down, he's going to be throwing
01:19 primarily.
01:20 We're not running Isaiah Pacheco here.
01:22 Go Chiefs right there.
01:23 See that?
01:24 So maybe the Chiefs have it.
01:25 So we'd be silly to not talk about Patrick Mahomes being the favorite as Super Bowl MVP.
01:29 I'm going to give you the live lines as I look at them right now.
01:32 Pat Mahomes at one, Patrick Mahomes at plus 130, Brock Burdy at plus 220, McCaffrey at
01:37 plus 450, Kelce at plus 1400, Debo at plus 2500, and Pacheco at plus 3500.
01:45 So I'll make my case for Super Bowl MVP.
01:48 Mahomes has been here a few times in the two Super Bowls that he's won.
01:53 He was a Super Bowl MVP, including a game against this 49ers team in which he threw
01:57 two interceptions.
01:58 Damian Williams put up big numbers.
02:00 He didn't get the award.
02:01 Mahomes really led the comeback, thus the award.
02:04 So I don't really have to make a case for Patrick Mahomes.
02:08 If the Chiefs win the football game and he's efficient and doesn't turn the ball over,
02:12 as he has not done so far in the postseason, he can win the award.
02:16 He's the favorite.
02:17 But make a case.
02:19 Isaiah Pacheco.
02:20 Isaiah, I think, as you said, they're going to want to play from in front.
02:25 I also think, much like they did against Baltimore, they're going to want to control the action.
02:31 Keep McCaffrey off the sidelines.
02:33 The explosive players that the Niners have.
02:35 It's interesting to talk about the Chiefs as being the less explosive team, but they
02:39 are in fact the less explosive team.
02:42 We'll get to Brandon Ayuk and his opportunities potentially later, but I just think that there
02:47 is a path at 35-1 for Isaiah Pacheco, who has touched the ball a ton this postseason,
02:54 to potentially be in a position, if he's efficient and gets goal line carries, which is all a
02:59 matter of luck, to be a really interesting bet at 35-1.
03:04 I'll never tell you you have to get down on a 35-1 bet, but I do think there is a path
03:09 for him.
03:10 28 touches in the AFC Championship game.
03:13 He didn't put up a ton of yards.
03:15 It was against a great defense, but he did score a touchdown.
03:18 The game before that, just 16 touches against the Bills, but again, efficient.
03:23 98 total yards and a touchdown against Miami.
03:28 25 touches.
03:29 Again, just 90 yards, but a touchdown.
03:33 There are just so many opportunities.
03:35 Here's Pacheco's game log.
03:37 25 touches.
03:39 16, 25, 25, 15, 22, 20, 20.
03:45 These are going all the way back to the end of the regular season.
03:48 He became a much bigger part of a Kansas City offense that we historically have seen spread
03:53 the ball out a lot, and that is not the case right now.
03:56 It is very concentrated.
03:58 It's Kelsey, Rice, Pacheco, and I just think a path at 35-1 is there for Pacheco.
04:04 I'm going to back you up on this, too, because it sort of feeds into what the Kansas City
04:07 Chiefs like to do.
04:08 If we equate it to the 49ers, big strike offense, Kittle can rumble for 50 yards, IU can do
04:14 it, Christian McCaffrey can do it, Debo can do it.
04:16 That's not the Chiefs' MO.
04:17 So what am I saying here?
04:19 If you're at the 50-yard line, it's probably going to take you four to five plays to get
04:22 down into the red zone.
04:23 You're not scoring from deep shots here.
04:25 And look, MBS, I don't think he's going to be that great in this game.
04:29 Two catches, though, I do like for MBS, by the way.
04:30 Put that one on the side.
04:31 But if we're just looking at the offensive structure here, if it's not big plays, that
04:35 means they're in the red zone.
04:37 That means you're handing the football off.
04:38 And also, getting back to the point of Belcal running backs.
04:41 Who's stealing his goal line carries?
04:43 Nobody.
04:44 I don't think we're going with this, Mike.
04:45 [MUSIC PLAYING]
04:47 (upbeat music)