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00:00 [upbeat music]
00:02 - The Cleveland Browns utilize man coverage
00:15 at the highest rate of any defense in the NFL.
00:18 And I expect that's going to be a problem for Geno Smith
00:20 because he is the largest splits man versus zone
00:23 of any quarterback in the NFL.
00:25 When he faces zone coverage,
00:27 he is averaging 8.4 yards per attempt,
00:30 which is the fourth best in the NFL.
00:33 But when he goes up against man coverage,
00:34 he's averaging only 3.6 yards per attempt,
00:38 which is the worst out of 36 qualifying quarterbacks.
00:41 As a result, they're probably gonna have to lean more
00:43 on Kenneth Walker, their running back.
00:46 And I expect Kenneth Walker is going to have
00:47 at least one run of 17 plus yards.
00:50 The Cleveland Browns defense,
00:52 though it is good against the run,
00:53 has allowed every single running back that they faced
00:57 with at least 11 carries to pop one run
01:00 of more than 17 yards,
01:02 except for one game against the Tennessee Titans.
01:05 Otherwise, no matter who they've gone up against,
01:07 whether it's been Najee Harris or Joe Mixon
01:09 or Melvin Gordon or Christian McCaffrey
01:12 or Jonathan Taylor, they've allowed at least one long run.
01:16 I expect Kenneth Walker will be no different on Sunday.
01:19 - So Carver, hi, what do you think?
01:22 Do you think that Walker's gonna bust off a huge run
01:25 and hit that prop against that tough Cleveland defense,
01:29 even though they've allowed those plays in games this year,
01:34 does he have a big day against them and break one off?
01:37 - I don't know.
01:38 It sounds like from the practice reports this week
01:40 that he's a little banged up, Walker.
01:43 Didn't practice the other day.
01:45 I'm sure he's gonna be all right on Sunday.
01:48 I could see him getting over that number.
01:49 I like the Browns.
01:51 It's three and a half right now, flat 38.
01:53 I think the Seahawks probably win,
01:56 but I'm gonna want that extra hook there
01:58 with the three and a half.
01:59 I think the Browns can hang around.
02:00 (upbeat music)
02:03 you