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00:00 [MUSIC]
00:05 Let's get to the next one here.
00:07 The Tampa Bay Buccaneers end up winning in week one against Minnesota.
00:11 And the odds makers, Matt made them a favorite at home this week against
00:14 the Chicago Bears.
00:15 Bears also didn't look great against the Packers.
00:17 By the way, this line opened at bucks minus three.
00:20 The money is coming in on the Bears.
00:22 So it is plus two and a half, total 40 and a half.
00:27 Should the Bucks be favored in this game, Matt?
00:28 Does this look right to you?
00:30 >> Yeah, I think they should be favored being at home for sure.
00:33 These were two teams that I didn't have high hopes for
00:35 in general going into the year.
00:36 The Bears looked maybe a little worse than I expected last week.
00:41 The Bucks looked a little better.
00:42 But there's that turnover luck that we always hear about,
00:45 especially betters always like to focus on.
00:47 I think Tampa was plus three last week in turnover margin.
00:50 The Bears were minus two.
00:51 That tends to even out.
00:53 Doesn't mean it's gonna even out all at once in the very next game.
00:57 But I think we could see some evening out.
00:58 I think there's a reason that that line is moving towards the Bears.
01:02 At two and a half, now that it's under three,
01:05 does that change things a little bit?
01:06 Yeah, maybe a little bit.
01:08 But I think the Bears with the points make sense here.
01:10 I think these are two pretty even teams.
01:13 And Justin Fields is such an interesting quarterback cuz he's
01:17 the type of quarterback that could fumble your way out of a game.
01:21 And he's a guy with his elite running ability who can get you right back in
01:25 a game in a hurry.
01:26 You just kinda never know.
01:27 Baker may feel similar for different reasons.
01:29 So yeah, I think the points there with the Bears make sense.
01:33 I still wish it was three or above, but at two and a half,
01:36 that's still not bad value.
01:38 I just think the 40 and a half number is interesting too,
01:40 cuz I don't expect a ton of scoring in this game unless turnover set
01:44 the offenses up with short fields.
01:47 [MUSIC]