Ukraine makes further advances in Robotyne area, says war think tank
The Ukrainian advance in the Robotyne area in the Western Zaporizhzhia region brings Ukrainian forces closer to launching operations against second lines of defence that may be relatively weaker than the first Russian defensive line in the area.
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00:00 The Ukrainian advance in the Botany area in western Zaporizhia region brings Ukrainian
00:08 forces closer to launching operations against second lines of defence that may be relatively
00:14 weaker than the first Russian defensive line in this area.
00:18 The Institute for the Study of War says Russian forces deployed to the wider western Zaporizhia
00:24 area have been defending against Ukrainian counter-offensive since the start of it without
00:30 rotation.
00:31 They do not appear to have uncommitted regular units in this area.
00:36 This suggests that second lines of Russian defence may be significantly less heavily
00:40 defended.
00:42 Ukrainian offensive operations in other sectors of the front remain important because they
00:46 can fix Russian units in place and prevent further lateral reinforcements.
00:52 Ukrainian offensive operations south of Velyka Novosilka here in this area proceeding in
00:59 parallel with operations towards Melitopol in this direction present Russian defenders
01:05 with multiple dilemmas and the need to choose which axis to reinforce.
01:11 Ukrainian offensive operations around Bakhmut here have fixed elements of multiple Russian
01:17 airborne divisions and separate brigades in the area as the Institute for the Study of
01:21 War has previously noted rendering them likely unavailable to stiffen Russian resistance
01:27 in the south of Ukraine.
01:30 The Institute for the Study of War states sound campaign design requires balancing between
01:35 awaiting a decisive main effort and avoiding allowing the enemy to concentrate all reserves
01:40 on stopping a single obvious thrust.
01:43 [SWOOSH]