八点最热报 | 首相安华既要讨好马来社群，又要稳住基本盘，让他陷入两难。前卫生部长凯里建议，要么释放纳吉，不然就是和巫统割席，向国盟伸出橄榄枝。不过政治学者皆认为，这些都不是好方法，随时会导致团结政府倒台，跟“自杀没分别”。（主播：萧慧敏）
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00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotline.
00:03 The results of the six-week election confirmed that the green tide of 1119
00:07 was not a wave that suddenly rose.
00:10 It has already formed a strong wave with a strong momentum.
00:13 If there is no way to stop it,
00:15 the next general election will probably be a collapse of the central government.
00:18 The members of the united government party are only prepared to be the opposition party.
00:22 The next general election will protect the regime.
00:24 In addition to stabilizing the basic plate,
00:26 we must also find ways to win the support of the Malay voters.
00:30 But Anhua is now in a dilemma.
00:32 If the right-wing party runs the Malay democracy route like the previous government
00:36 in order to please the Malays,
00:38 it will definitely lose its existing basic plate.
00:40 This will be Anhua's current dilemma.
00:43 And the former Minister of Health, Kelly,
00:45 opened a prescription for Anhua yesterday.
00:48 He published three prescriptions.
00:50 First,
00:51 insist on cooperating with the Uyghurs.
00:53 Even release Naji to fight for the Uyghur grassroots
00:56 and the goodwill of some Malays.
00:57 Second,
00:58 separate from the Uyghurs and divide the rice into two.
01:01 Third,
01:02 give the olive branches to the Muyou Ding of the National Alliance.
01:05 Kelly's three prescriptions can be taken individually
01:09 or take two together.
01:11 Can these three prescriptions really make Anhua
01:14 "to be cured of all diseases"?
01:15 Or will it become a "disease-causing first-aid"?
01:18 Will it be "a life for a life"?
01:20 Kelly mentioned that
01:22 the results of the Uyghur general election were "inferior to the will of the people",
01:24 which put Anhua in a political dilemma.
01:26 So if Anhua continues to cooperate with the Uyghurs,
01:29 he can consider
01:31 releasing the current powerful boss, Khun Naji.
01:36 The second method is
01:37 if the Uyghurs do not reform
01:38 and do not remove Chairman Jassi,
01:41 in order to get out of the dilemma,
01:43 Anhua can consider
01:44 severing ties with the Uyghurs
01:47 and strengthen the attraction of the RT and the CPPCC
01:51 among the Malays.
01:53 Otherwise, Anhua can even negotiate with the Muyou Ding of the National Alliance.
01:57 Kelly said that
01:58 although this choice is hard to imagine now,
02:02 just like the cooperation between Xi and the Uyghurs,
02:04 he said that
02:04 "many impossible things have happened in our political party all the time,
02:08 so this is not impossible."
02:10 But Kelly's three prescriptions
02:12 seem to be more than just "curing" Anhua
02:16 in the eyes of two political scholars, Azmi Hashan and Huang Jinfa.
02:18 It will also "kill" him.
02:19 Two political scholars, Huang Jinfa, think
02:22 that the Uyghurs are now an important pillar
02:24 to stabilize the TPP government.
02:26 If Anhua and the Uyghurs sever ties,
02:29 the TPP government will collapse at any time,
02:31 and the release of Najib
02:33 will cause a strong rebound from the supporters of Xi Meng.
02:36 So these two suggestions are no different from suicide.
02:39 And Azmi Hashan, a political scholar at the National People's Congress,
02:42 believes that Kelly's suggestion
02:44 shows that he is not in the situation at all.
02:46 Anhua should not only sever ties with the Uyghurs,
02:49 should not release Najib,
02:50 and should not even consider negotiating with the Muyurids.
02:53 Because the current state-run government will think
02:55 that they are more powerful than Xi Meng,
02:57 and that the Malay people's will they have is greater than Xi Meng.
03:00 So if they negotiate with the Muyurids or the state-run government now,
03:04 they will only be eaten by the other party.
03:06 I think KJ is a little bit confused.
03:11 Why I say KJ is confused is that
03:14 Pakatan Harapan need Amno
03:16 in order to attract the Malay votes.
03:18 If you sever ties with the Uyghurs today,
03:21 it is equivalent to suicide.
03:22 Because if the Uyghurs leave,
03:24 the government will not have any Malay representatives at all.
03:26 The SADAM and the SAMIM will follow.
03:29 Then he will be finished.
03:30 So he doesn't need to negotiate at all.
03:32 Azmi Hashan, a political scholar at the National People's Congress,
03:34 and Huang Jianfa, a political scholar at Shuangwei University,
03:36 both believe that
03:36 Kelly's suggestion for Anhua and Xi Meng
03:39 is not in the situation at all.
03:41 Because now, to sever ties with Anhua and the Uyghurs
03:43 is equivalent to killing Xi Meng.
03:45 And releasing Najib
03:46 will also make Xi Meng lose his original fundamental right.
03:49 Both are equivalent to letting Xi Meng commit suicide.
03:52 Secondly, because he wants to be with the Uyghurs,
03:54 he wants to release Najib.
03:56 That is not necessary at all.
03:57 Because the reason why the Uyghurs lost their reputation today
03:59 is because of Zayed Anwar.
04:01 If you release Zayed,
04:03 the Malay people who are against Zayed
04:04 will support Najib and support the Uyghurs?
04:08 Impossible.
04:09 So that is also suicide.
04:11 If you keep Amno and release Najib,
04:14 Anwar will lose Pakatan Harapan's support.
04:17 Because Pakatan Harapan's supporters and Najib are a taboo.
04:22 They cannot be together with each other.
04:25 Yes, you can attract the Amno voters,
04:28 you can keep quiet the Amno voters by releasing Najib,
04:32 but again, you will lose a bigger one,
04:35 which is the Pakatan Harapan supporters.
04:38 Azmi Hassan believes that at this time,
04:41 Anhua cannot sever ties with the Uyghurs,
04:43 and cannot release Najib.
04:44 She also cannot negotiate with the Uyghurs of the National Alliance.
04:47 Because after the election,
04:48 the National Alliance has suppressed the United Nations on the political scene.
04:50 Therefore, the negotiations with the Uyghurs
04:52 will only be eaten by the other party,
04:54 and the negotiations will be in a bad situation.
04:56 Anhua cannot talk with Pakatan National,
04:59 because Pakatan National thinks that
05:02 they are the better ones to form the federal government.
05:05 So Anhua wants to talk with Tansi Mahidin.
05:08 Tansi Mahidin will say,
05:10 "We are the stronger party,
05:12 not you."
05:14 As if similar to Amno talking to Bersatu,
05:17 because Bersatu will eat Amno.
05:20 Similar,
05:21 the National Alliance will eat Pakatan Harapan.
05:24 Huang Jinfa said,
05:25 "If the peace talks between Anhua and Mu Yau Ding
05:27 are like the peace talks between Anhua and Sabili in 2021,
05:31 which sign the North Korean-U.S. trade agreement,
05:33 that is good,
05:34 because it can help the North Korean-U.S. health competition to balance each other.
05:37 But if the peace talks are purely from the interests of both parties,
05:41 then it will be a coincidence."
05:43 If the peace talks are like,
05:45 "I cancel Mu Yau Ding's policy today,"
05:47 it will only make the National Alliance say,
05:50 "The accusation against him
05:52 is a crime of the family,
05:54 and it is irrevocable."
05:55 So,
05:56 for the supporters of the West,
05:59 it is equivalent to
06:01 "re-installing the national policy,
06:03 interfering with the judicial system to achieve your goal of support."
06:06 It is the same for both sides.
06:07 [The National Alliance for the People]
06:12 Both political scholars Huang Jinfa and Azmi Hassan believe that
06:15 although the re-election of Anhua has put Anhua in a political dilemma,
06:20 Anhua still has four years to go.
06:22 It still has other options.
06:24 It doesn't need to,
06:25 and strategically,
06:26 negotiate with the National Alliance.
06:29 Instead, it should continue to focus on maintaining the current structure of the united government,
06:32 and implement social and economic reforms,
06:34 to win the confidence of voters in four years.
06:37 [The National Alliance for the People]
06:42 [The National Alliance for the People]
06:47 [The National Alliance for the People]