若国盟达到2大关键条件 民调：雪州恐变天
新闻报报看 | 一家研究中心最近发布了《2023雪州选边缘议席民调》，预测雪州政权依然会由希盟主导，但民调指出，如果国盟在竞选期的最后一个星期，达到两个关键条件，那雪州很可能就会变天。（主播：庄文杰、郑萱荟）
Transcript
00:00 Another week will be the election day in six states.
00:03 As the election is getting more and more intense,
00:06 will the Xuezhou regime be shaken?
00:09 This has become a focus of many people's attention.
00:11 A research center recently published a 2023 Xuezhou border epidemic poll.
00:16 It predicted that the Xuezhou regime would still be led by the West.
00:20 But this is not a long-term solution.
00:23 It's like the title of the New Zealand cover says.
00:25 The poll says that if the National Alliance reaches two key conditions in the last week of the election,
00:33 then the Xuezhou regime is likely to change.
00:36 What are these two conditions?
00:39 The first is to make the West and the National Government lose about one-third of the votes.
00:44 In short, it is to make the most swaying Malaysian voters in the West and the National Government
00:48 give the votes to the National Alliance.
00:51 The poll points out that even before the election,
00:54 those Malaysian voters who have unidentified voting intentions
00:57 think they will vote for the West and the National Government.
00:59 But these people may also be disappointed with the West and the National Government
01:03 on issues such as dealing with race, religion and living expenses.
01:07 This leads them to turn to support the National Alliance.
01:09 Therefore, if the National Alliance can successfully attract these middle votes,
01:13 it will be a step closer to winning the Xuezhou regime.
01:17 Okay, this is the first condition.
01:19 The second condition is the vote rate of Malaysian voters in Xuezhou.
01:23 It should be more than 20% or more than the vote rate of non-Malay voters.
01:30 Okay, I'll give you an example in the poll.
01:33 If the vote rate of Malaysian voters reaches 85%,
01:38 then the vote rate of non-Malay voters must be 65% or more.
01:44 Because only in the case of a relatively low vote rate of non-Malay voters
01:49 is it possible for the Xuezhou regime to fall into the hands of the National Alliance.
01:52 They say that this situation is very similar to the previous election of the Rofo.
01:58 At that time, it was because the vote rate of Malaysian voters
02:01 was 25% higher than that of non-Malay voters,
02:05 which made the regime win a lot of votes by the Malaysian vote.
02:09 In addition, according to this poll,
02:11 among the 56 state seats in the election,
02:13 the West can win 21 seats steadily,
02:16 and the National Alliance will win the seat of Xijianggang.
02:19 As for the remaining 34 seats, there is no absolute advantage for the party.
02:24 So who will be the winner in the end is still unknown.
02:27 The person in charge of the poll pointed out that
02:29 according to the current situation,
02:31 it is unlikely that the two major conditions that the National Alliance wants to complete at the same time will happen.
02:37 But the final result may change at the last moment of the election.
02:42 Will Xuezhou change?
02:43 To be honest, no one can guarantee it now.
02:47 But the Supreme Leader of the United Front, Amo Maslan,
02:50 seems not to be afraid at all.
02:52 He even said optimistically that
02:54 according to his personal observation,
02:56 the result of this six-state election will be
02:59 5 to 1 or even 6 to 0.
03:04 Who is 5 and who is 6?
03:06 He thinks that the united camp formed by the Nationalist Party and the West
03:10 will win the state power of five states,
03:12 and even sweep the six-state regime.
03:16 For the Nationalist Party, didn't they say that they would win the six-state regime?
03:20 Amo Maslan directly said that it is unlikely.
03:23 Amo Maslan also emphasized that
03:25 the result of this six-state election
03:27 will not pose a threat to the united government with 148 state seats.
03:32 He said that even if the Nationalist Party can get the support of the so-called 30 members of the National Assembly from the state government,
03:38 the united government still has 118 state seats.
03:42 He also believes that the 30 state-government members of the National Assembly will not turn to support the United Nations.
03:47 After all, they had agreed to sign the agreement
03:51 before they became candidates in November last year.
03:53 They promised that if they really left the state government,
03:57 they would compensate the United Nations 100 million.
04:00 This is one of the reasons why they dare not transfer the camp.
04:03 This is Amo Maslan's statement.
04:04 Okay, let's finish Snowy State and look at another focus battlefield this time,
04:08 Bincheng.
04:09 After the early emergence of the "sweep" action,
04:12 there are now rumors that
04:13 after the state election,
04:14 Cao Guanyou's position as chief
04:16 will not be stable even if he can continue to do it.
04:19 Soon after, he will be removed.
04:21 Is this true?
04:23 For this matter,
04:24 the secretary-general of the Action Party, Lu Zhaofu,
04:25 was asked by the media today and emphasized that
04:28 Cao Guanyou is the only candidate for the chief of Bincheng.
04:32 And the position of the Action Party is very clear.
04:33 It is to let Cao Guanyou fill one more five-year term.
04:37 He will never change his position halfway.
04:39 This is Lu Zhaofu's statement.
04:41 [Music]