"الهبوط السلس" للاقتصاد الأميركي.. المعجزة قد تتحول إلى واقع
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00 We have recently heard the term "soft landing" in broad terms,
00:05 specifically in light of the federal American policy.
00:09 But as we speak, regarding this "soft landing" of the American economy,
00:14 specifically, and the miracle that may become a reality.
00:19 Let's look at the positive expectations of the American economy, which have returned and emerged.
00:23 If we compare with the current expectations now,
00:26 with the beginning of 2023, it was completely different.
00:30 The expectations and some statements of analysts and experts
00:35 were that we are on the verge of entering, or we are very close to entering,
00:39 into an economic landing, but the probability of a landing has declined.
00:43 If we did not notice this percentage, which we are talking about,
00:45 of 55%, the expectations were that we would see a landing
00:49 for the American economy, which has declined to more than half,
00:53 20% in July 2023.
00:56 The IMF, on the other hand, has raised the expectations of the American economy
01:00 by 1.8% throughout this year.
01:03 Jerome Powell, the US Federal President, who said that the economists and the banks
01:07 do not expect an economic landing.
01:09 Even for the US Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen,
01:12 her previous statements said that the economy has become far from entering
01:17 into an economic landing.
01:20 The expectations of the company's profit landing, these previous expectations
01:23 for the S&P 500, despite the rising growth and the rising market
01:27 that we have recently seen, and the great support, the results were very positive
01:32 for the banking sector, as well as for the technology sector,
01:35 which we are still monitoring, and the movements were positive.
01:38 But the expectations are still, as we have seen,
01:41 a week ago, when the 8% was close, it was back to 6.4%
01:47 regarding the S&P 500, despite all these changes.
01:53 Data may challenge the policy of critical intensification.
01:56 We have several data that the US Federal Reserve focuses on,
01:59 as well as economists and other analysts.
02:02 The growth of the economy and the overall local result,
02:05 the first quarter was 2%, while the first quarter was 2%
02:09 and the second quarter was 2.4%.
02:12 Consumer confidence today in the United States
02:15 has reached a new high since October 2021,
02:19 and even the unemployment rate is 3.6% lower than the lowest level in 50 years.
02:25 Perhaps even the employment sector, which the US Federal Reserve
02:28 focuses on in a large way, and which places these principles
02:32 on it, in terms of critical policy.
02:35 Consumerism is still somewhat high for the United States.
02:39 We promised and witnessed how it has changed since the beginning of the pandemic
02:42 until 2023.
02:45 Regarding the previous meetings and the critical policy,
02:48 we are talking about the levels of 5% and 5.5% in the highest water level
02:52 since 2022.
02:55 In the last meeting, the US Federal Reserve raised the interest rate
02:58 by a quarter of the water point, as expected by the markets.
03:01 This is the 11th time since March 2022,
03:06 since it started the policy of intensification last year.
03:10 The US Federal Reserve has raised the interest rate by a quarter of the water point.
03:14 This is the 11th time since March 2022,
03:17 since it started the policy of intensification last year.
03:20 The US Federal Reserve has raised the interest rate by a quarter of the water point.
03:23 This is the 11th time since March 2022,
03:26 since it started the policy of intensification last year.
03:29 The US Federal Reserve has raised the interest rate by a quarter of the water point.
03:32 This is the 11th time since March 2022,
03:35 since it started the policy of intensification last year.
03:38 This is the 11th time since March 2022,
03:41 since it started the policy of intensification last year.
03:44 This is the 11th time since March 2022,