• last year
Transcript
00:00 (upbeat music)
00:02 - Bring it to him DRS.
00:11 - Double header in the afternoon.
00:13 Now it's the same game parlay,
00:15 not a same game parlay plus.
00:16 So we're gonna keep it in game number one.
00:18 And from the same guy, Kevin,
00:20 that brought you Showtime, blowing people's minds.
00:23 How about this one?
00:24 Showmentum.
00:25 Say Donnie, what's the momentum going on here
00:27 with the Angels?
00:28 The fact that it looks like they're quote unquote all in
00:31 by getting Lucas Giolito.
00:32 Now shifting the balance of power
00:33 in the entire Major League Baseball universe
00:35 because of that one move.
00:37 I kid, I kid, but today they are the better team here.
00:39 They do have the better pitcher on the mound.
00:41 Now let's get down to basics here.
00:42 We're keeping this simple.
00:44 I don't even need the Angels to win the game
00:47 for this same game parlay.
00:49 It's two legs here and it deals with Shohei Otani.
00:52 Step up to the plate, get a base knock.
00:53 That covers leg number one.
00:55 Leg number two, Otani's on the mound.
00:57 I'm going over seven and a half strikeouts there.
01:00 Two legs here when that hits at a plus 168 price.
01:03 Now the reason why it's for Shohei Otani
01:06 and you root it on, to be honest with you,
01:07 the numbers shown in the strikeout props
01:09 do make some sense, but Otani at the plate
01:12 should be able to get a base hit just about against anybody.
01:14 But when we're actually lining this up here,
01:16 Lorenzen does have some pretty good numbers here,
01:18 particularly against left-handed batters.
01:20 An 048 ISO and a weighted base percentage of 241.
01:24 But the momentum of the Angels is gonna add
01:27 to those superpowers for Shohei Otani.
01:30 And how much superpowers do we need, Kevin?
01:32 You get one base hit today.
01:33 He's getting that done.
01:34 He's cashing a ticket and away the Angels go
01:37 on their new season, I should say, in the second half now.
01:40 - So for me, I decided to abstain
01:45 from the same game parlay because,
01:48 because I just wanna name a straight wager.
01:52 But they didn't have it available for me, Donnie.
01:55 The showstoppers.
01:56 I want the Tigers team total today
01:59 because Shohei Otani, it's not that he's been struggling
02:03 in his last three starts, he's been bad.
02:07 His ERA in the month of July, it's a 7.71,
02:11 five earned runs, four earned runs, five earned runs.
02:13 It's been getting lit up, DRS.
02:15 So for me, I'm not worried about an SGP,
02:17 respectfully, at the moment.
02:19 I want the showstoppers, which is the Detroit Tigers here
02:22 to make it splash.
02:23 But again, that number not available just yet
02:26 on the FanDuel Sportsbook, but I turn it to you.
02:29 This is your domain, my friend.
02:31 You tell me, do the Tigers match up here at all?
02:34 Are Otani's numbers still glistening through your lens?
02:39 - No, they don't still glisten
02:40 because if we're just taking a look at that snapshot,
02:42 Kevin, the last 30 days, if I read you this, right?
02:45 Say, okay, Otani, dominant pitcher,
02:46 what does he have to offer?
02:47 And I said, you know what?
02:49 I'm just gonna give you like player A and player B,
02:51 which we'll do right now.
02:52 Player A, last 30 days,
02:54 weighted on base percentage against this pitcher, 371.
02:57 That's elevated.
02:58 ISO power number, 261.
03:00 That's elevated.
03:01 Player B here on the mound, an 025 ISO power number,
03:06 a 218 weighted on base percentage.
03:09 Michael Lorenzen is player B
03:11 and technically the better pitcher on the mound,
03:13 which Kevin is why I took the win
03:15 for the Angels out of the equation.
03:17 I said, hey, Dr. Lee, what?
03:18 Throw the Angels running line on there.
03:19 What are you, crazy?
03:20 Yeah, threw the Padres money line yesterday
03:22 on with the Pirates.
03:23 Look what good that did me.
03:24 If you think there might be a chance
03:26 that Otani does get hit,
03:27 he still might get some strikeouts.
03:29 That's why we used our head
03:30 and went with a sensible, economical,
03:33 and fashionable play for the afternoon for me, Kevin.
03:36 (upbeat music)
03:39 [MUSIC]

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