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00:00A number that is a little inconsistent out there, a 5.5, 4.5, flat 5, depending on your
00:08side you always want to get the best of that number.
00:11The total right now, 136.5, there looks to be some trends towards, or it's trending up
00:17as opposed to down, 137 is out there right now, so perhaps you're going to see this number
00:22climb throughout the day.
00:25I like Houston in this one, I will add this quickly just to the Houston breakdown.
00:29If they do drop this game, if it does not go their way, well in the four losses this
00:36year they've all been 5.5 or less.
00:38It is absolutely on the board that Duke wins and Houston covers, it 100% is.
00:48Because of the way Houston plays it is hard to extend on a team like that.
00:54Tell me coach what you expect from Cooper Flagg in this basketball game, prop players
01:00of course will always gravitate towards the future number one overall pick, his performance
01:06I am sure will dictate so much of the outcome of this game.
01:09Yeah, I think Cooper Flagg is going to have a good game, but I think for me it's going
01:14to be his ability with the rebounds.
01:17Because if I'm Calvin Sampson, I'm not letting this guy go off, and I'm going to be physical
01:26and I'm going to have to make sure that I keep my guys out of foul trouble.
01:31Obviously you'll see Juwan Roberts start on him, Javier Francis is about 6'8 but long
01:38wingspan, athletic big even though you see him as a rim protector, Artano is a little
01:44bit shorter at about 6'6, but I expect multiple defenders having to be set at Cooper Flagg.
01:50I wouldn't touch his points, if you think about it, if I think the game is going under
01:55and it's about 136-137, that means I need Cooper Flagg to get about 30-35% of the points.
02:02That doesn't happen against a guy like Calvin Sampson.
02:05So to me, if you're looking at points, I'm looking under, but because of I think both
02:11teams defensively, and maybe Cooper Flagg, Joe finds a different way to impact the game.
02:18To me, it's a 7.5 rebounds, I think especially when Malio Ox is in the game, they're going
02:22to keep him off the boards.
02:24Cooper may struggle with a shot, which means he may go chase rebounds.
02:28That's what I'm looking at, over the 7.5 rebounds for Cooper Flagg.
02:30It's a good look.
02:31To Coach's point about the 20-plus for Cooper Flagg, it's plus 134, so 18.5, he's average
02:36right now.
02:38The book isn't even expecting him to get to 20 in terms of this matchup.
02:42I look at the assists, though.
02:43I agree with Coach that Houston wants to take away Flagg in that capacity, right?
02:49So I look at him on the offensive side of the ball being that facilitator.
02:53So 6-plus in terms of assists, and 8 assists, you're getting great value.
02:57You're almost getting 2-1, I believe, on 6-plus assists.
03:01So you take him up to 8, I think it's almost like plus 290 in that area, plus 232.
03:06So I look at him as being the facilitator.
03:08I look at the two scorers for Duke today.
03:11I still go with the hot hand, Con Kniepel.
03:13He's averaged 20.5 over the last two games of the tournament.
03:18He's been hot from 3, and we talk about how dominant Duke has been from 3-point range,
03:2347%.
03:24Well, you've got to expect that Houston wants to take away Proctor as well, because he's
03:28the sharpshooter.
03:29Kniepel, left alone, he's got the length, he's got the height.
03:33He's plus value for 20-plus.
03:34Give me Kniepel.
03:36To keep that train moving, I go with the hot hand in the matchup, guys.
03:40And if you, see, to me, if you look at someone that I'm looking at in that matchup in regards
03:46to 3's, I'm going to the other guard.
03:48I'm going to Proctor.
03:49Okay?
03:50And I think I saw earlier, and it was like plus 130, plus 140 for him to make, I think,
03:563-plus made 3's.
03:57I think that number is gone.
03:59I saw it at plus 105 late last night.
04:03So I think that's something interesting, is you want to be able to take away the best
04:11player.
04:12And I think that's what Calvin Sampson does the best.
04:15That's why all of us are thinking that Cooper Flagg getting to 20 points is going to be
04:19so monumental, because I just don't think he's seen anything like this.
04:24The physicality, the length, the fact that it's going to be a half-court game, a Houston
04:29team that doesn't turn the ball over and walks them off the floor, so the transistence
04:33of the Cooper Flagg is going to get, he won't get in this matchup.
04:37To me, it all comes down to those two guys, Proctor and Sharp.
04:45One of those two are going to knock down a 3 or 2 that's going to be big.
04:49That's why I actually, if you want me to say, all right, give me a prop that you like from
04:53Duke, it's going to be Proctor to make 3-plus made 3's at plus 104.
04:58It's moved 25 cents since last night.
05:00Manuel Sharpe was at plus 150, he's now at plus 120.
05:03So I think those two, Kevin, play crucial roles in this game, because you have great
05:09rim protectors, you're going to drive the ball, the help's going to come somewhere.
05:13It's not going to come from the big.
05:15The 3-point shot could be there.
05:17Those are the two guys I'd be looking at.