Menteri Keuangan, Sri Mulyani Indrawati, meminta pemangku kepentingan di sektor keuangan, termasuk perbankan Tanah Air, untuk waspada terhadap kondisi perekonomian global yang penuh ketidakpastian. Dia pun mewanti-wanti efek rambatan ketidakpastian ekonomi global dari sisi keuangan, yang mencakup pelemahan rupiah hingga suku bunga.
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00:00INDRAWATI MINISTRY OF FINANCE
00:05We go to other information, Minister of Finance Indrawati
00:08asked all parties including the Bank of Indonesia to be vigilant
00:11due to the global economic conditions that are full of uncertainty
00:14and it also reminds of the effects of the delay of global uncertainty
00:18on the financial side that covers the weakness of the exchange rate
00:21up to the Bunga tribe.
00:26Minister of Finance Indrawati
00:28asked all parties including the Bank of Indonesia
00:31to be vigilant due to the global economic conditions that are full of uncertainty
00:36and it also reminds of the effects of the delay of global uncertainty
00:39on the financial side that covers the weakness of the exchange rate
00:42up to the Bunga tribe
00:44it also reminds the banking sector
00:46to re-examine the performance of finance
00:49or its financial status
00:51Minister of Finance Indrawati
00:52also ensured that its institutions along with OJK, BI and LPS
00:56in the Committee on Stability of the Financial System or KSSK
01:00to conduct a joint program
01:02in increasing the literacy of the people's finances
01:04to provide education to the people
01:07so that they do not easily fall into the illegal financial practices
01:11especially those using digital technology
01:15This is because the technology in the digital sector
01:17has the potential to cause an impact
01:19if it is not included in good literacy
01:22Minister Indrawati also stated in a global statement in the last two years
01:26the world is facing a higher for longer
01:28or the Bunga tribe era that is fueled by inflation
01:32which is responded by the rise of the Bunga tribe
01:35especially in developed countries
01:36so that it causes a gap in the financial market
01:40on the other hand, there are also geopolitical issues
01:42that are getting hotter in various areas
01:44so that it adds uncertainty to the world
01:48This is IDX Channel
02:18Australia has data on retail sales
02:21Next, for Asian major exchanges this morning
02:24as you can see on the television screen
02:27Asian major exchanges opened a weak spot this morning
02:32with Nikkei weakening 2.23% at level 38,691
02:37Singapore's SII weakening 1.19% at level 3,810
02:43Gospi Korea's SII weakening 2.77% at level 2,447
02:48and Hang Seng Hong Kong's SII weakening 0.87%
02:58For this morning's discussion at MarketBuzz
03:00we have Mr. Praska Putrantio, CEO of Advisor.id
03:05Good morning, Mr. Praska
03:07Good morning, Mr. Siki
03:09Thank you for joining us, Mr. Praska
03:11We are talking to Minister of Finance, Sri Mulyani
03:15who said that there is an alarm from the global economy
03:18because there are many uncertainties
03:20If we look at the significance of the domestic economy
03:23what does it look like, Mr. Praska?
03:28If we look at the development of the global economy
03:32if we have an impact on the domestic economy
03:34of course, the value of the rupiah
03:37there are many indications
03:41to other indicators
03:43and what is most concerned here is
03:46our inflation problem has been slowing down
03:49even though our correlation is still above 2%
03:52but our headline inflation
03:56has been slowing down
03:581.57% in December 2024
04:01and it will be released today in January
04:04and it is indeed a concern from the global economy
04:07which is starting to be triggered again
04:09with the start of the trade war
04:12The US released yesterday that
04:14the US imposed an additional tariff of 25%
04:17in Canada and Mexico
04:19while in China it also increased by 10%
04:21plus also from Canada
04:23also repaid 25%
04:25that's the latest news
04:27so it makes the market worried
04:30about the start of the trade war
04:32and this trade war has implications
04:34in the form of global inflation
04:36and the expectation of the exchange rate
04:38which can be lower
04:40to push growth
04:42can certainly be sustained
04:44or can potentially rise again
04:46if the value of goods from imports
04:48increases again
04:50because of the tariff issue
04:52and besides that
04:54the next challenge is
04:56with the existence of this trade war
04:58the slowdown of the global economy
05:00is also a threat
05:02because of the exchange rate
05:04and the economy does not move
05:06and this is what is anticipated
05:08can have an impact especially to the sector
05:10in my opinion, the weakness of the exchange rate
05:12is one thing
05:14but if it does not affect the sector
05:16we are still quite strong
05:18but if it has started to affect the sector
05:20especially in terms of weakness
05:22for example, our manufacturing index
05:24is starting to slow down
05:26now we are fighting
05:28with the increase of the PHK
05:30which is also increasing
05:32and then also the slowdown of the purchasing power
05:34and this is the challenge
05:36in the middle of the global economy
05:38which is starting to
05:40collide again
05:42with the breakdown of the trade war
05:44one sector that is also not forgotten
05:46from the attention of Sri Mulyani
05:48the Minister of Finance
05:50and then Waspada
05:52related to the situation of the global economy
05:54is the banking sector
05:56if we look at the significance
05:58what will happen in the global
06:00the significance of the banking sector
06:02what do you think?
06:04and what is the recommendation
06:06for the banking sector
06:08or the banking emittance in Indonesia?
06:10Mr. Plaska
06:12yes, so in the banking sector
06:14the challenge is
06:16if the global economy
06:18has an impact in the country
06:20especially in the sector
06:22which has been unstable
06:24some sectors are also unstable
06:26for example, the BMI is unstable again
06:28as a result of the situation
06:30and moreover, it is also triggered
06:32because of the increase in inflation from imported goods
06:34of course, here it can trigger an increase in NPL
06:36this is also worrisome
06:38so the weakness of the purchasing power
06:40the increase of NPL at the same time
06:42can affect the banking performance
06:44and if we look here
06:46currently
06:48our banking performance
06:50in terms of income performance
06:52compared to the last 1-2 years
06:54we tend to slow down
06:56let's say we take the last year
06:58from 2023-2024
07:00income growth, interest rates
07:02all slow down
07:04this is also in line with the high flowering era
07:06like that
07:08and we also talk about the national loan growth data
07:10here it also looks like
07:12the data slows down to 10.39%
07:14it slows down in almost
07:16more or less
07:18here in the last year
07:20our national loan growth
07:22compared to the last year
07:24is almost 2.5 years
07:26the lowest point is 10.39%
07:28it means that the challenge
07:30in the banking sector
07:32is the increase
07:34in traffic
07:36the slowdown
07:38because first, the banks are careful
07:40second, because
07:44the market target
07:46is getting smaller
07:48the market target is getting smaller
07:50the eligible option to get credit
07:52because the conditions
07:54have to be prudent
07:56to minimize the risk of traffic
07:58and this is indeed a challenge
08:00for the banking sector
08:02so from the consumer's point of view
08:04when the purchasing power is decreasing
08:06they also think again
08:08to increase the credit and so on
08:10okay, from the performance of the banking sector
08:12in terms of accumulation, you said
08:14there is a weakness
08:16of course there is a weakness
08:18in the banking sector
08:20which is quite strong
08:22maybe you can tell us
08:24the analysis of the banking sector
08:26with a strong fundamental
08:28and what are the recommendations
08:30for the banking sector
08:32stay with us, we will be back