Spreads are getting tighter as the Big Game approaches! Joe O helps us find the best betting angles.
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00:00One thing that really jumps out to me
00:03is how sharp these markets are.
00:06And that's expected.
00:07When you get a large sample size
00:09of all these teams playing around 20 games,
00:12you know everything.
00:14There's no uncovered gem here.
00:16You have everything and we trust the market.
00:19And so what does that bring us?
00:22Tight point spreads.
00:24What does that give us an opportunity to do?
00:28Teasers.
00:30Because if you move a number, move a team
00:34where it makes sense and you're not going through zero.
00:37So I did that exercise.
00:38And we talked about teasers
00:39every single round of this playoffs.
00:42So let's say you're not going through zero.
00:44All right, wildcard round.
00:45Houston, you move them up to eight and a half.
00:48Baltimore, let's tease them down
00:49through the seven, through the three.
00:50Buffalo, let's bring them down
00:52through the seven, through the three.
00:54Let's bring that Philly number down
00:57to where it's right around zero.
00:58That's what I'm talking about.
01:00So if we look at the 10 playoff games,
01:04teasers, if you kind of follow that Wong theory,
01:08it's not perfect every time.
01:09But if you follow it for the most part,
01:12nine in one in the playoffs, nine in one.
01:16Buffalo hit every single time, all three times.
01:21Philly hit in every single week.
01:24The one loser where it went against the grain.
01:28Can you guess?
01:29Detroit.
01:31Detroit down.
01:31Yeah, Detroit down.
01:33Washington wins by a couple of scores.
01:36That was, that's your one L right there.
01:39That's it, man.
01:40So when you get tight point spreads,
01:42it kind of, at this point in the year,
01:45you deal with the totals, even though,
01:46even the higher totals.
01:48Unders hit in the first round of the playoffs,
01:51then it was overs after that.
01:53But teasers are a good look,
01:54I think, in the playoffs most years.