• last week
Transcript
00:00Now, when it comes to the Ravens' bills game, this is another one that I spoke about heavily with the receiver market.
00:06Again, it is now 1.5 points. The line is flipped. It was 1.5 in favor of Buffalo. It is now 1.5 in favor of the Ravens.
00:17We were seeing the Ravens at minus 106 or so on the money line. It's now at minus 118. The bills were sitting at minus 110, minus 112.
00:27They are now plus 100 on the money line. So money is coming in on the Ravens, and that has moved.
00:33When it comes to the passing props, we've seen Lamar Jackson's come down just a touch. It was in the low 230s yesterday.
00:41It's now sitting at 226. And the rushing market, obviously, is interesting. Derek Henry's is up just a touch.
00:47James Cook is down just a touch. But the receiving market is the one that I spent the most time on last night.
00:53And this is the one that I will continue to elaborate on throughout the week on various shows across SportsGrid until we have the Zay Flowers news.
01:04Because I made the point last night, and it remains true, that at a game of the 51.5 over-under, the highest player posted right now is Khalil Shakir at 47.5 yards.
01:15And I made the argument for him, over 47.5 yards, the spot that I have him, and over potentially 60 yards if you want to take him on the alt line,
01:24if we're already seeing close to 50 points, which I guess it's good that money is moving towards the Ravens.
01:29If people have confidence that the Ravens will be scoring points, obviously, the bills will need to catch up.
01:35When it comes to the Zay Flowers news, the news on him, is that the market seems a little bit light with 47.5 being the highest for Khalil Shakir.
01:47This is also to note that Rashad Bateman is not posted because the news on Zay Flowers impacts Rashad Bateman props.
01:54Now, you could look to jump early on a Mark Andrews, obviously, because Bateman is not posted.
01:59If Zay Flowers were to be ruled out, Mark Andrews at 37.5, that number could move to 38, 39, maybe 40, as we do see Mark Andrews as a consistent and often favorite target of Lamar Jackson.
02:11Now, there's also an argument to be made that if Flowers is out, the Ravens will just do what they did to an extent, obviously, last week against the Steelers.
02:22This was obviously a very different degree of opponent compared to playing the Bills, but this is okay.
02:28They don't have Zay Flowers, one of their winning passing options.
02:31We will lean into a run game even more.
02:33We will lean into Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson even more.
02:37So, seeing Derrick Henry, seeing his rushing attempts number, not necessarily his yards, but his attempts number, which is at 19.5 right now, seeing that move up to 20.5, that would not be a surprise if we do see Zay Flowers out.
02:50They want to just keep things on the ground, do what works best for them.

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