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00:00So, but the point being is from the bill side of things, it's clear everyone's there and
00:05healthy.
00:06But if you like Khalil Shakir, him having 60 receiving yards in a game that has a 51
00:13and a half over under, I don't think that would shock anyone.
00:16I don't think that would shock anyone to see Khalil Shakir, who has been an incredibly
00:20consistent option for the bills this season, to see him push towards 60 yards.
00:25So I think there's a spot to jump on some lines early.
00:29As I said at the beginning of the show, lines posted this early are extremely important.
00:35So when it looks at, when we're looking at Khalil Shakir's numbers this season, he had
00:4061 earlier today versus Denver.
00:42He ended the season kind of slow, 25 against the Jets.
00:46He didn't play versus the bills, but he didn't play versus the Pats to end the season for
00:50the bills.
00:5125 versus the Jets, 22 versus the Pats on that Sunday game that would say one, only
00:5839 versus Detroit, 106 versus the Rams, obviously that crazy game, 30 versus the 49ers, that
01:05game was a mess.
01:0670 versus the Chiefs, 58 versus Indy, 50 versus Miami, 107 versus Seattle, 65 versus Tennessee.
01:14The point being is Khalil Shakir's line is at 47 and a half.
01:19He ends the game in a winning or losing effort with 60, 65 yards, that's not going to shock
01:24anyone.
01:25Yeah, he's going over his prop, but he's not going over by some extreme margin that we'd
01:30be like flabbergasted by that has to be like headline news.
01:33It's like, okay, Khalil Shakir, he's going to have his six, seven, eight, nine targets.
01:37He's going to have good yards after the catch as we've seen all season long.
01:40He's one of Josh Howland's favorite targets and him ending with 60 yards is a reasonable
01:46outcome for a game that has a 51 and a half over under.
01:49So it's not only about Khalil Shakir over 47 and a half, which is sitting at minus 114.
01:54But if you want to ult him up and look him for 50 plus, which is only minus 104, that's
01:59fine.
02:00But a 60 plus is sitting at plus 158.
02:03Khalil Shakir having a big game in an environment such as this with the two offenses going back
02:08and forth would not shock anyone.
02:10And frankly, as I said, again, lines posted early are very, very important.
02:17If Zay Flowers is in and healthy, not just like in and he ends up being a decoy, but
02:23if Zay Flowers is in, that will create a more dynamic and scoring offensive environment,
02:30which could push Khalil Shakir's numbers higher.
02:32So by the time this closes in, you know, just over a little or just over, just under a week
02:38from now, Khalil Shakir's number could be at 50 and a half or 49 and a half.
02:43And granted, if he's going over for 60, yeah, it doesn't matter, but we still want to get
02:47the best closing line value that we can and getting in early at over 47 and a half would
02:52be the spot.
02:53So this is where I'm going to jump in, at least to start for this game, and it'll be
02:58under 62 and a half rushing yards for Joe Mixon in the other game.