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00:00Uh, are the lights going to be a little bright for Justin Herbert?
00:02At the end of the day, Justin Herbert often will get, kind of, they try and sneak him
00:08into the Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Lamar range.
00:13Herbert's played in one playoff game and was on the other side of the biggest comeback
00:17in NFL postseason history, against the Jacksonville Jaguars, which isn't great.
00:22Shout out Doug Peterson, he's a heck of a coach.
00:24Donny, what are you expecting from Justin Herbert in this game?
00:27I'm expecting exactly what I get in the regular season, because I love the way he's being
00:31coached on that offense, not being asked to do too much.
00:33Think about this.
00:34Like, Justin Herbert, what's his M.O. when he comes into the league?
00:37Elite arm talent?
00:38You better drop him back 45 times and have him air it out, because that's the future
00:42of this Chargers team.
00:43Harbaugh comes in and goes, yeah, I got elite arm talent.
00:46Kid's actually a really good athlete in the pocket.
00:47Let's keep a measure here.
00:48We're going to have to turn the football over, make the throws he needs to, we'll play good
00:51defense and we'll run the football.
00:52And watch this, Justin, you'll win more football games than you ever thought you would.
00:56So I'm not expecting today, like we talk about Lamar Jackson, give me 40 drop back passes.
01:01Just do what you have been doing, because it's been success when it's gotten here.
01:05If you don't turn the football over, Joe, it's hard to beat you.
01:08Win the turnover battle.
01:09That's what he's been doing.
01:10Has to be clean with the football, especially on the road, right?
01:13When you win the turnover battle and run the football effectively, you're going to be within
01:16more times than not within margin and even pick up the victory.
01:20So we'll see how they, you know, utilize his arm talent tonight.
01:23Are they aggressive early on to build a lead and then run the football later in this matchup?
01:28Or do they go back to their philosophy earlier in the year where they were more of a run
01:32heavy offense and then utilize short to intermediate throws, worked off a play action?
01:37The reason why I bring that up is because you look at Houston's defense throughout the
01:41course of the regular season, they've had ups, they've had downs, but at home they've
01:45been very effective.
01:46Look at the games that they, they played elite quarterback talent.
01:49They contain Josh Allen to nine of 30 in terms of that dominating victory, right?
01:54They contain Jared Goff.
01:55What did he have?
01:56Five, five interceptions, even though they won that game 26, 23, Houston did cover that
02:02matchup catching three and a half, but they did force a five interceptions.
02:06And then they contain two in the Miami offense to only 12 points.
02:10So that is the matchup tonight.
02:11I'd be concerned if I'm LA to just start throwing the football all over the yard against that
02:17secondary.
02:18I do believe D'Amico Ryan's dials up some unique secondary looks for Justin Herbert.
02:23Maybe forces him to check that you have to take away lad McConkie.
02:27That is the number one option for Justin Herbert force underneath throws to Disley and maybe
02:32even the running backs.
02:34Because again, to Donnie's point, Quinn Johnson, those wide receivers are banged up.
02:38You have DJ Chalk in there as well.
02:40Not a lot of experience.
02:42So we'll see how this game plays out, but I still give the edge to Houston.
02:45One of the underrated things for Justin Herbert, this season, a number, honestly, I did not
02:49realize until yesterday, just three interceptions this year.
02:54Yes.
02:55I mean, that's how it is and out and I know Lamar has four and like 20 more touchdowns,
03:00but I'm just like reinterceptions is an incredible number for Justin Herbert goes up against
03:08the secondary second to most interceptions on this season.
03:13The ball honking, Minnesota Vikings.
03:15I think that becomes a really interesting part of the game.
03:18Not just can we turn them over?
03:20But I do think if you are someone who's not accustomed to turning the football over as
03:24Justin Herbert isn't, could that get a little, ah, man, I'm in a postseason now and turn
03:29this thing over.
03:30You got to be kidding me on the Stroud side of it.
03:32I do like him over one and a half passing touchdowns plus 154 is a heck of a price for
03:38Stroud at home in a postseason game.
03:41You take a look at the quarterbacks, six of the last eight that have gone up against
03:45the Chargers have had multiple passing touchdowns.
03:48So I think that is, and that's where a lot of the touchdowns have come against LA this
03:53season.
03:54Similar story, by the way, for Houston, a lot of their touchdowns are through the air
03:57as opposed to the ground, which is why it backed off from like a mix and number in terms
04:02of any time touchdown price.
04:04Even if I think he could score quickly, a skill position player, anybody that you're
04:07targeting for me, it's Nico huge day, 83 and a half.
04:10I altered them to a hundred plus.
04:12I think he can score any time touchdown plus one 45 again.
04:16I need CJ.
04:17If you're back in Houston, you need CJ Stroud in the area of two and a quarter to 50 today.
04:22I want to push tempo.
04:23I want to jump up at home.
04:25I need to know that CJ Stroud's in the rhythm early.
04:28Yeah, I believe that's obviously going to try to take away Nico up top.
04:31Then you can look at maybe Mechie B say, Ooh, he has a shoulder injury, finally got in a
04:34full practice late in the week, but I'm going to go Deontay Johnson.
04:36He doesn't need a lot of numbers today.
04:39Position for two to three targets should put them over his now 15 and a half.