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00:00From a spread perspective, Bluett, one of my favorite handicapping games of the weekend will
00:04be something we could see change in about 24 hours. The Chargers and the Raiders in Las Vegas,
00:11depending on the results of Saturday. If the Ravens beat the Browns, they're nearly a 20-point
00:17favorite. Baltimore wins the AFC North. Why am I mentioning that? Because then we go to Saturday
00:23night in the Steel City. The Steelers might not be able to win the division, but Pittsburgh is
00:27going to want to win against the Bengals to claim the 5-seed and head to Houston and not their
00:33divisional mates in Baltimore. If Pittsburgh beats Cincy, the Bengals also need the game to
00:39keep their playoff hopes alive, then the Chargers are kind of stuck. They're just going to be the
00:456-seed. Currently, L.A. is a 4.5-point favorite against a Raiders team that has nothing to play
00:52for. Las Vegas, after winning two straight, can't even have the number one overall pick anymore.
00:58They've been eliminated from first overall pick contention as well. Bluett, if the Chargers need
01:04this game, I think this line balloons up to pass a touchdown if they can be the 5-seed. You want
01:11to go to Houston. You don't want to go to the Charm City to take on the Ravens. If the Chargers
01:17don't need this game because Pittsburgh wins tomorrow night, then the Raiders could end up
01:22as a home favorite. How do you approach betting this game right here, right now? I think it's
01:28fair for you to call out that there is value to be had right now based on not knowing the results.
01:34However, this game really can change dramatically. I was just talking about the Dobbins
01:40incentive. Well, Dobbins probably doesn't play if the Steelers win and the Chargers are locked in,
01:46and by the way, any coach that tells you they don't really care who they play in the first round,
01:51lie. Nobody wants to go to Baltimore and play Lamar in that first week. Not the Steelers,
01:56not the Chargers. Nobody wants to do that. Teams are supremely motivated on seeding,
02:02particularly in the AFC this year. Ben, honestly, right now, I think this is a stay-away game.
02:08There's too much riding on tomorrow night's result for me to go all in on the Chargers
02:15to try to capture value right now. It can change too dramatically,
02:18and Herbert and Dobbins and others wouldn't play.