Stock Market Outlook 2025: 2024 में बेंचमार्क इंडेक्स निफ्टी 50 ने 2024 में कुल 13 फ़ीसदी का रिटर्न बना कर दिया है.अब हम नए साल में प्रवेश कर रहे हैं तो उससे पहले मन में आ रहा होगा कि 2025 में किन शेयर्स में निवेश किया जा सकता है ताकि अच्छा रिटर्न मिल सके. देखिए GoodReturns का Special Show 'Sauda Khara Khara' Business Editor Bhawna और Dr Ravi Singh के साथ.
#MarketOutlook2025 #Beststocks #TopStocks #TopPicks2025 #ShareMarketToday #ShareMarket #StockMarket #sharemarketinvestment #sharemarket #sharemarketprediction2025 #sharemarketnews #investmentstrategy #investmenttips #investmentplanning #sensex #nifty #nifty50 #banknifty #stockstobuy #stockmarket #sharemarket2025
~PR.147~HT.336~GR.121~
#MarketOutlook2025 #Beststocks #TopStocks #TopPicks2025 #ShareMarketToday #ShareMarket #StockMarket #sharemarketinvestment #sharemarket #sharemarketprediction2025 #sharemarketnews #investmentstrategy #investmenttips #investmentplanning #sensex #nifty #nifty50 #banknifty #stockstobuy #stockmarket #sharemarket2025
~PR.147~HT.336~GR.121~
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00The last day of the year, a new year will begin from tomorrow.
00:05We can see today's market, which is seen to be struggling since the month of September.
00:11The period of correction is going on in the market at the moment.
00:14Today, the opening of Sensex has been at 77,982.57.
00:19The closing of yesterday was at 78,248.
00:24If we talk about Nifty, today's opening has been at 23,560.69.
00:30The closing of yesterday was at 23,644.90.
00:35Today, there is a slight decline.
00:38In this situation, how are you looking at today's market?
00:42Apart from this, what are you seeing in the market on 1st January, a new year?
00:47Will there be a shine in the market or will there be a decline?
00:51Mr. Bhawana, if we understand the market at this time, you have said a very good thing.
00:57The market is going from Diwali to Diwala.
01:02Investors are also at a loss here.
01:05Stocks are falling and the portfolio is decreasing.
01:10The good thing is that if you look at it from Diwali,
01:13you did a special program in which we talked about not buying anything in the market.
01:19Just wait and watch.
01:20Today, I want to start with one thing.
01:25If you are preparing for the new year, then prepare well.
01:29The scenario can be very volatile.
01:37If you talk about Nifty, there is a downtrend.
01:42This downtrend will continue.
01:44The next week will also be in the grip of a downtrend.
01:47You may see some negative returns in the beginning of the year.
01:52But it is a good thing that if you are following a good return,
01:56then it will be very easy for you to get a good return.
01:59I feel that the current level of Nifty will go up to Rs. 22,100.
02:06There is a sign of a big decline below Rs. 500.
02:09So, you have to invest carefully.
02:11The second most important thing is that
02:13as I told you in the last program,
02:18if you look at the top picks of last week,
02:23you will see that 5% is down.
02:26You must have heard that there is a sale in clothes,
02:31there is a sale in stocks,
02:33there is a sale in various programs.
02:36So, I think you should prepare for the sale here as well.
02:41You will get the sale here as well.
02:44You will get a lot of stocks in the sale.
02:46We will discuss how to make the portfolio.
02:49But the market is down now.
02:51There is no need to trade aggressively here.
02:54Absolutely.
02:55This is what we discussed on January 1st and that particular week.
03:01Now, we want to understand the entire year.
03:04Because if we talk about 2024,
03:06the market has given a positive return for the 9th time in a row.
03:09So far, Nifty 50 has given a 9.21% return in the market.
03:15On the other hand, Sensex has given a return of 8.62%.
03:22Sir, how much return can we expect in 2025?
03:26What do you see in 2025?
03:29Will the 9-year trend of positivity remain constant or not?
03:35You have spoken very well here.
03:39You have given a very good data as well.
03:42Despite seeing such a downward trend,
03:45if we look at the year-to-year of Nifty,
03:48we are sitting on January 1st,
03:50and I take the January 1st rate.
03:52Today, you are at a return of 8.5%.
03:55If we specify the exact rate, it is 8.39%.
04:00If we talk about Sensex, it is 7.84%.
04:04If we talk about Bank Nifty, it is 5.5%.
04:08I am telling you the comparison from 1st to 1st.
04:11If you compare sector-wise,
04:15you will see a lot of things are clear here.
04:19The market and the conditions of all these are the same.
04:22But the good thing is that all the sectors keep you happy.
04:27Keeping you happy means that you get good returns.
04:30For example, look at IT.
04:32Even in the lowest conditions, it is giving 25% returns in a year.
04:36If we talk about Pharma, it is outperforming everyone.
04:39At the moment, Pharma is at a 40% return.
04:41If we talk about Metal, it is at a 20% return.
04:44Who is negative?
04:46In the negative is the sugar industry,
04:48which is at a 3.5% negative return.
04:50NBFC is at a 8%-8.5% negative return.
04:54If you compare the entire stock,
04:57you will find that most of them made everyone happy.
05:01Most of them have good returns.
05:04If I tell you about the railway counter,
05:07you will be surprised to know that
05:09the railway counter has also got 34% returns since January.
05:15You are able to understand that
05:17whatever the stock market is,
05:19you will get a safe return.
05:22I believe that if you invest well in today's market,
05:26you will get 30% returns on the upper side,
05:30and 12% returns on the lower side.
05:36But good shares,
05:38and to get a good return,
05:40you have to follow a good return.
05:43Sir, in 2025,
05:45what should be the strategy of our investors?
05:51You have asked a very good question.
05:54This time, you have to keep a different strategy.
05:57We used to buy all the shares in one go.
06:03We made a portfolio and bought all the shares.
06:05Now you have to keep a different strategy in the portfolio.
06:08How to buy?
06:09You have to invest only 30% in the current market.
06:15Divide this investment into three parts.
06:1830% now,
06:1935% later,
06:23and the next 30% in the next opportunity.
06:28Divide it three times in the whole year.
06:31One is the opportunity to make an annual investment.
06:35You took it now.
06:36Try to get it in March and April.
06:38The second is June and July.
06:40So that you can invest in the whole market with a good strategy.
06:45Sir, you have told us the strategy.
06:48We have to divide our investment into three parts.
06:53Now, what are the triggers in 2025,
06:57which will speed up the market?
06:59And what are the factors,
07:01what are the triggers,
07:03which will indicate correction in the market?
07:07Bhawana ji, the risk is a little high this time.
07:11As I said in the calculation of 2025,
07:17this time the Vastu will be a little bad.
07:20According to the calculations,
07:23the geopolitical tension will not be less.
07:26This geopolitical tension is a risk that is above all risks.
07:31As you can see,
07:33Afghanistan and Pakistan have just started.
07:36So you will see many such geopolitical risks increasing by next year.
07:41The risk for the stock market will increase.
07:43I am also talking about risk.
07:46The second risk is that the policies of the US are changing.
07:52The way Trump's policies are being made,
07:55those policies are not looking very good for next year.
08:00So that is also a risk.
08:02If the interest rate of the Fed is related to it,
08:05then it is more important.
08:07And since we are talking about the US,
08:09the data of the US is also positive.
08:12On a domestic level,
08:14since the Modi government is running according to the strong government,
08:17the strength will be good here for the next year.
08:20The government's budget is also positive.
08:22There will be an allocation here.
08:24Infrastructure, pharma sector, FMCG sector,
08:27there will be a possibility of a rally in these sub-countries.
08:30But if you look at the factors,
08:32the domestic factor is strong and the international factor is down.
08:36That is why you will get very conservative returns here.
08:40Absolutely.
08:41Now, sir, I will give you 10 shares that I have picked from a report.
08:46Investors who follow reports will understand
08:50from which report I have taken these top picks.
08:53Now, sir, you will have this segment of Rapid Fire.
08:58In this, you have to quickly tell the price target for 2025.
09:02What will be the name of the share?
09:04And how much is the share trading today?
09:07I will tell you that.
09:08We have 10 shares in this.
09:10Our first share is of ICICI Bank.
09:14If we talk about today,
09:16then today's share is running at 1282.20.
09:21In yesterday's comparison, it is down by 12.45 rupees.
09:28It is down by 0.96% today.
09:30Sir, what is your opinion on the share of ICICI Bank for 2025?
09:34What is the price target?
09:35Bhawana ji, let me take a minute to answer the first question
09:39so that my strategy is clear.
09:41If I want to invest, as I just said,
09:43I will divide my investment into 3 parts.
09:45Absolutely.
09:46ICICI Bank varies in those 3 parts.
09:50Please note the levels.
09:51It is a very important show.
09:53Bhawana ji is preparing everything to make your portfolio shine.
09:57Please note it with a pen and paper.
09:59First, 30% investment is made at the current level.
10:03By the end of the year, we can see levels of 1480 to 1500.
10:09But if we get a chance of 1150 on the dip,
10:12then there is also an investment strategy.
10:14Invest 30%.
10:15Yes, there should be an investment strategy in this.
10:18Absolutely.
10:19So, we can see Ravish sir bullish on ICICI.
10:23The second share is the share of HCL Technologies.
10:27If we talk about today,
10:29this share is trading around Rs. 1911.
10:32In yesterday's comparison,
10:34the softness of around Rs. 17-18 is visible.
10:38It is down by 0.92%.
10:40Sir, what is your opinion on HCL Technologies for next year?
10:45Should I invest in it?
10:47According to you, what will be its price target?
10:51In the current scenario,
10:53I will avoid HCL Technologies.
10:58Because I can see the concerns of the US on the IT counter increasing.
11:03So, next year, it is possible that the current price of Rs. 1918
11:08will either fall to Rs. 1800 or remain the same.
11:13So, the probability of getting a return is less for next year.
11:17Absolutely.
11:18The third share is the share of Larsen & Toubro.
11:22It is also in a lot of discussion.
11:24Sir, you have also given your opinion on it.
11:26What is your opinion for 2025?
11:28The price of today's share is Rs. 3591.85.
11:33In yesterday's comparison,
11:35it is up by 0.36%.
11:38Sir, what is the strategy for 2025?
11:41For 2025, you should definitely invest.
11:44The current level is 30%.
11:46The second level is Rs. 3500.
11:49The upside target is Rs. 4200.
11:52The target of Rs. 4200 can be achieved very easily.
11:54So, there are two stocks for investment.
11:56The first is ICICI Bank and the second is L&T.
11:59L&T.
12:00It is the fourth share.
12:01We are often asked questions on it.
12:04Sir also talks a lot about that share.
12:09I am talking about Zomato's share.
12:12Today's price is down by 0.87% in yesterday's comparison.
12:17Today's level is Rs. 279.65.
12:21Sir, what do you think in 2025?
12:24Will Zomato shine or not?
12:26What is the strategy?
12:28I am bearish on this stock from the rate of Rs. 300.
12:33I am bearish for the rate of Rs. 220.
12:36It is possible that you will get more volatility in this.
12:39But, for now, I will say that those who are getting profit should book and exit.
12:45There will be an investment strategy.
12:47If you follow the good return,
12:49when it reaches the level of Rs. 220,
12:52Bhavna Mammi will recover again.
12:54She will tell you with recovery that Rs. 220 has come.
12:58Now, we will discuss whether an investment strategy can be made or not.
13:02But, for now, if you have it, please exit.
13:06Don't get stuck in the reports.
13:09Our next share is Nippon Life India Asset Management.
13:15Today's price is Rs. 714.85.
13:18It is down by 0.29% in yesterday's comparison.
13:21Sir, what is your opinion on Nippon for 2025?
13:25Are you bullish or bearish?
13:27I am bullish on this stock.
13:30But, I am not very bullish.
13:32Only 8%-8.5% rally can be seen.
13:34But, you become smart, smart, fast, aggressive.
13:40Make an investment of only 30%.
13:42Wait for the lower level and then invest.
13:46But, you will get 8%-8.5% returns in a year.
13:49We are seeing 8%-8.5% returns.
13:53Ravi Sir is bullish on this.
13:55Our next 6th share is Mankind Pharma Share.
13:59We often talk about the pharma sector.
14:01Today's price of Mankind Pharma Share is Rs. 2862.
14:07It is down by 0.18% in yesterday's comparison.
14:11Sir, what levels do you want to see in 2025?
14:14As it is increasing rapidly, I think it will reach Rs. 3500-4000 soon.
14:23It is a good stock.
14:25You can make an investment of 30% at the current level.
14:30You can make an investment of 30% at the current level.
14:33Our next 7th share is Lemon & Tree.
14:36Today's price is Rs. 150.75.
14:38It is down by 1.41% in yesterday's comparison.
14:44Sir, what is your opinion on Lemon & Tree?
14:48Lemon & Tree is a seasonal stock.
14:52It is better to invest in the season.
14:54That's why you can see the rally.
14:56If you invest in it for the long term, chances of getting a positive return are less.
15:02I will avoid it for now.
15:04Ravi Sir is bearish on this.
15:07Our next share is Polycab.
15:09Today's price is Rs. 7310.
15:13It is down by 0.36% in yesterday's comparison.
15:17Sir, what is your opinion on Polycab share for 2025?
15:20What will be the price targets?
15:22If I look at it, I can understand that it has increased by 33% in a year.
15:30In 6 months, it increased by 8%.
15:32In 5 months, it increased by 5%.
15:33In a week, it increased by 3%.
15:35I think it is a little overpriced.
15:37The stock is good.
15:39You will get returns.
15:40But you should not make an investment strategy at the current level.
15:44I will wait for the 30% investment.
15:47If it comes around Rs. 6,000 or Rs. 6,200, then I will make the first investment strategy.
15:53Otherwise, it will give a return.
15:55But the risk is also equal.
15:57If it is 50% risk and 50% return.
16:02If it is 50% return, then there is a need to wait a little.
16:08If it comes on dip, then you should definitely buy it.
16:11It is a good share.
16:12If it comes on dip, then you can buy it.
16:15Next is Macrotech Developers share.
16:17This is our 9th share today.
16:19In yesterday's comparison, there is a down of 4.13%.
16:24Today it is trading at around Rs. 1361.
16:27What will be your opinion on Macrotech Developers?
16:30What will be the price targets for 2025?
16:34If you look at 2025, then there is a little pressure in real estate.
16:40If you want to make this stock an investment strategy, then I find the 1200 level more attractive.
16:45There is a little weight in this too.
16:47After that, if your levels come, your comfortable zone comes.
16:50Then only an investment strategy is made.
16:52Around 1200, because the return you are seeing now.
16:55I feel that you can get a return of around 5% per year.
17:01But if you invest in the right place, then you can get a return of 10%.
17:05So you have to stop investing a little bit.
17:08For now, you need to wait in the first quarter.
17:11For the first quarter, you can avoid this share.
17:14What do you want to do next?
17:17The show of good returns, Sauda Khara Khara.
17:19This will come live.
17:20You can ask your question on it.
17:22The next and today's 10th rapid fire question is about Sirma SGS.
17:28Today's trend is 1.66%.
17:33Today's levels are Rs. 588.25.
17:37What is your viewpoint on Sirma for 2025?
17:41There can be an opportunity in this stock.
17:45You can get a return of around 12%.
17:48But I will go with the same strategy and formula.
17:52Invest in the current market of 30%.
17:54I will wait for a dip.
17:56If there is a correction of 12%, then I will take it there.
17:58So that I can easily achieve the target of 12%.
18:02Sir, our last question for this segment will be.
18:06If a beginner wants to invest in the share market for the first time.
18:11He has saved some money.
18:14I have to put it in the share market this year.
18:16So that I get a return of around 12% to 20%.
18:21What strategy should a beginner adopt?
18:25What do you think? How will he get a return?
18:28The strategy that I have told you.
18:33I have told you a very simple formula.
18:35We release a strategy every year.
18:38In which we try to tell you how to make your portfolio.
18:42For a beginner, it is a very good thing.
18:45I will give you an example.
18:46You have lakhs of rupees.
18:48We have given advice on the current level of investment in 6 stocks.
18:52You can invest in these 6 stocks.
18:5530% of the fund means.
18:57You can divide 30,000 rupees in these 6 stocks.
19:02After that, the levels that I have told you.
19:05Let's wait for March and April.
19:08We will review our portfolio at that time.
19:11We will try to average the stocks where there is a loss or profit.
19:18The third time will be in July.
19:21When the quarter results will come back.
19:23We will put the remaining 30,000-35,000 rupees of our investment there.
19:30Divide it into 3 parts.
19:32According to a beginner, make a strategy for the whole year.
19:35Make a good investment strategy.
19:37We will put all the money at once.
19:39If the money is negative, you will be scared.
19:42There will be a risk.
19:43To cover this risk.
19:46You will have to go in a way.
19:48So that the risk is as low as possible.
19:50And you can get more returns.
19:52If you are a beginner.
19:54Or you are already investing in the share market.
19:56For 2025, it is a very simple strategy.
19:59You have to divide your money into 3 parts.
20:02If there is 1 lakh rupees.
20:03For the first time, you will get 1 lakh rupees.
20:05Many times people take a resolution.
20:08Now I have to invest in the share market.
20:10What will they do?
20:11They will come in their mode.
20:13After that, they will put all the money in the market.
20:16You don't have to do this at all.
20:18You have to work with a little patience.
20:21If you have 1 lakh rupees.
20:23You have to invest 35,000-25,000 rupees in the market.
20:31After that, you will see the trend of the market.
20:33After that, you have to invest the rest of your money.